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Kayly Ober

@kayly

Climate mobility @carnegieendowment.org β€’ Author Groundswell (World Bank) & Migration and Displacement in a Changing Climate (Cambridge)β€’ Also: πŸš²πŸˆπŸ³οΈβ€πŸŒˆ β€’ Views=own β€’πŸ“DC (for now)

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23.08.2023
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Latest posts by Kayly Ober @kayly

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Will there be a super El NiΓ±o later this year? Here’s what that would mean. The planet may experience a strong or even a super El NiΓ±o later this year. And it could cause record heat.

Some early indications that we may be dealing with a formidable El Nino event by the fall.

@bennollweather.bsky.social reports...

www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2026...

09.03.2026 19:37 πŸ‘ 38 πŸ” 14 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2
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Pace of global warming has nearly doubled since 2015, study says - Carbon Brief An acceleration in human-caused global warming could see the Paris Agreement’s 1.5C limit breached before...

NEW – Pace of global warming has nearly doubled since 2015, study says

✍️ @ayeshatandon.carbonbrief.org

Read here ⬇️

06.03.2026 14:24 πŸ‘ 131 πŸ” 105 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 28
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No ships at all going through the Strait of Hormuz

06.03.2026 13:14 πŸ‘ 26 πŸ” 14 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 3

Wait. Didn't Kulp & Strauss warn us of this in 2019? www.nature.com/articles/s41...

05.03.2026 19:35 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Good news: Scientists were wrong about how bad sea level rise is.

Bad news: It’s even worse than we thought.

04.03.2026 23:06 πŸ‘ 463 πŸ” 188 πŸ’¬ 16 πŸ“Œ 12
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The Coming Humanitarian Data Drought Aid cuts have left hundreds of thousands without food aid and other vital humanitarian services. Although major impacts have been documented by researchers and the media, the damage to the humanitaria...

Aid cuts are eroding the world’s ability to detect and respond to food crises.

Advances in AI can help, but without sustained funding for primary data collection, responses will be less effective, explain Jean-Martin Bauer and @hanshengchia.bsky.social:
https://go.cgdev.org/4shNZGD

04.03.2026 17:53 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Happy birthday!

03.03.2026 21:56 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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China’s latest energy data offers a signal worth paying attention to. In 2025, emissions from energy and industry fell by 0.3%, modest, but notable, even as total energy consumption rose by 3.5%.

The key driver? A continued surge in solar power capacity.

02.03.2026 08:50 πŸ‘ 1701 πŸ” 494 πŸ’¬ 53 πŸ“Œ 43
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Analysis: China’s clean-energy exports in 2024 alone will cut overseas CO2 by 1% - Carbon Brief China’s clean-energy technologies such as solar panels, batteries and electric vehicles are helping to cut emissions in other countries.

The solar panels, batteries, electric vehicles (EVs) and wind turbines exported from China in 2024 are set to cut annual CO2 emissions in the rest of the world by 1%, some 220m tonnes (MtCO2). www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chi...

27.02.2026 13:59 πŸ‘ 4335 πŸ” 1170 πŸ’¬ 147 πŸ“Œ 80

"The utility has pointed to the region’s historically cold winter as a cause of rising heating demand and costs...But in an email to The 51st, Pepco’s own data show that their D.C. customers actually used more energy in January 2025 than January 2026."

26.02.2026 00:21 πŸ‘ 256 πŸ” 105 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 5
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Current Geopolitics Shift Deep-Sea Mining Debates β€’ Stimson Center The need to secure critical minerals, combined with recent U.S. actions, is impacting arguments that surround seabed mining.

Critical minerals are reshaping geopolitics and driving a new frontier: deep-sea mining. As countries aim to secure their supply chains, the push for the seabed accelerates, reshaping the debate around deep-sea mining.

Full analysis on @stimsoncenter.bsky.social: stimson.org/2026/current...

23.02.2026 19:49 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This is very exciting for JHU! Congrats πŸ‘πŸΌ

23.02.2026 16:17 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Project Drawdown launches Climate Science Serving America Fellowship to support scientists working in the public good Fellowship seeks early- to mid-career researchers based in America who are committed to science and public expertise

FELLOWSHIP! We’re proud to announce the launch of the Climate Science Serving America fellowship, open to early- and mid-career scientists & engineers who work on climate solutions.

Full salary, benefits, and a research stipend. Remote anywhere in the United States.

drawdown.org/news/project...

20.02.2026 17:16 πŸ‘ 46 πŸ” 30 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2
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The Colorado River Crisis is Here States fail to reach a deal; Lake Powell Deadpool appears imminent

Federal officials now project that Lake Powell will "most probably" drop below power pool level β€” meaning Glen Canyon Dam will no longer be able to generate hydropower β€” before the end of this year: www.landdesk.org/p/the-colora... via @landdesk.bsky.social

19.02.2026 01:39 πŸ‘ 315 πŸ” 190 πŸ’¬ 16 πŸ“Œ 26
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I just did the dumbest thing of my entire career to prove a much more serious point.

I tricked ChatGPT and Google, and made them tell other users I’m a competitive hot-dog-eating world champion

People are using this trick on a massive scale to make AI tell you lies. I’ll explain how I did it

18.02.2026 16:37 πŸ‘ 4855 πŸ” 2138 πŸ’¬ 86 πŸ“Œ 304
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Trump Is Strong-Arming the World Out of Climate Action Washington is leveraging its power to intimidate countries that are trying to protect the planet.

The US has become a climate bully.
The sabotage of the IMO shipping levy is the most dramatic example. The pressure on Vanuatu to stop its legal efforts is the most recent.
My new piece for @foreignpolicy.com

foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/18/t...

18.02.2026 12:49 πŸ‘ 50 πŸ” 33 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

Conveniently forgotten.

@ipcc.bsky.social AR6 SPM C.3 :

"Hard limits to adaptation have been reached in some ecosystems (high confidence). With increasing global warming, losses and damages will increase and additional human and natural systems will reach adaptation limits (high confidence)."

18.02.2026 13:23 πŸ‘ 45 πŸ” 31 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1
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Electric Vehicle Sales Boom as Ethiopia Bans Fossil-Fuel Car Imports The East African country is making use of cheap hydropower and Chinese electric vehicles to ditch the internal combustion engine.

Two years ago, Ethiopia did something no other rich country has yet. It banned the import of new fossil fuel cars. In that time, the country went from less than 1% of its vehicles being electric to more than 6% β€” higher than the global average. Read our feature:

πŸŽπŸ”— www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...

18.02.2026 06:04 πŸ‘ 145 πŸ” 57 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 11
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How African Governments Responded to the 2025 Aid Shock We examine what African governments actually did or said in response to announcements of aid cuts in 2025; mapping the type, scope, and intensity of government responses, using the previous year as a ...

With aid cuts hitting Africa hard, governments must protect essential services while pursuing long-term self-reliance.

Biniam Bedasso maps responses to the 2025 disruptions, finding the most aid-dependent countries are least able to adjust:
https://go.cgdev.org/46dh1yO

17.02.2026 17:54 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

The Colorado River situation is a big f*ing deal, more than most people outside the West realize.

17.02.2026 17:42 πŸ‘ 48 πŸ” 18 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 2
Making the case for policy interventions in disaster governance and management in Australia to better support internally displaced people Purpose. Policy is key for effective displacement governance in times of crises and in response and recovery. Therefore, this study assessed if Australian climate, disaster and emergency management po...

Does #ICanHazPDF still work here? www.emerald.com/ijdrbe/artic...

17.02.2026 18:49 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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How WA lawmakers are trying to regulate data centers β€’ Washington State Standard Washington legislators advanced data center legislation out of the House Appropriations Committee Monday with two significant changes.

With data centers expected to become the largest source of electricity demand in the Pacific Northwest, Washington legislators are pressing ahead with a bill aimed at protecting the grid and offsetting potential hikes for utility ratepayers. washingtonstatestandard.com/2026/02/11/h...

11.02.2026 16:51 πŸ‘ 3913 πŸ” 1294 πŸ’¬ 221 πŸ“Œ 96
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Today we’re launching Open Climate Risk, a fully open option for U.S. building-level climate risk data. It’s unique because it allows you to see not only risk scores, starting with wildfire, but also the complete underlying dataset, methods, and codebase. carbonplan.org/research/cli...

10.02.2026 16:54 πŸ‘ 317 πŸ” 141 πŸ’¬ 10 πŸ“Œ 30
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Grazalema, Spain, received over 2,000 mm (78 inches) of rain in just the last 20 days.

Over a year’s worth of rain β€” and it’s only early February. This is hydrologically absurd.

09.02.2026 16:11 πŸ‘ 578 πŸ” 280 πŸ’¬ 18 πŸ“Œ 76

Good gut check. At the same time, the symbolism of the US loudly and proudly shirking its responsibilities seems to be having a chilling effect across forward-leaning allies...

10.02.2026 16:58 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

THERE'S NO MEANINGFUL US CLIMATE REGULATION TO WIPE OUT

look I want my government to acknowledge CO2 bad too but this is not a massive deregulatory victory or whatever

10.02.2026 16:03 πŸ‘ 38 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 3
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China sold 11 million electric vehicles in one year, leaving less room for the oil it used to buy from Venezuela But there is a basic question lurking behind the headlines. Who will actually need that oil in the years ahead? For years, China has been one of Venezuela’s

More than half of the world’s new electric cars are now plugging into Chinese sockets instead of lining up at gas stations. By 2024, it is estimated that China’s EV sales were growing about 40% year on year, even as some Western markets stumbled.

www.ecoticias.com/en/china-sol...

09.02.2026 22:45 πŸ‘ 5348 πŸ” 1465 πŸ’¬ 314 πŸ“Œ 121
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ICE to begin detaining immigrants inside Social Circle warehouse in April Homeland Security plans to build warehouse detention facilities in other cities being met with opposition.

ICE has now spent over half a BILLION dollars just on purchasing warehouses around the country to convert into detention camps.

If these mega-camps are utilized to the full capacity ICE intends, they'll be the largest prisons in the country, with little real oversight. www.ajc.com/politics/202...

09.02.2026 17:56 πŸ‘ 12859 πŸ” 7478 πŸ’¬ 1284 πŸ“Œ 1243
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Exclusive: US plans initial payment towards billions owed to UN, envoy Waltz says The United States will make an initial payment towards the billions of dollars it owes to the United Nations in a matter of weeks, the U.S. ambassador to the world body told Reuters on Friday, while s...

"You'll certainly see an initial tranche of money very shortly," Waltz said. "It'll be a significant ... down payment on our annual dues ... I don't believe that the ultimate figure is decided, but it'll be in a matter of weeks."

www.reuters.com/business/fin...

09.02.2026 16:28 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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A Climate β€˜Shock’ Is Eroding Some Home Values. New Data Shows How Much. Changes in the insurance market have started to affect home prices in the most disaster-prone areas, new research finds, pushing some homeowners’ finances to the breaking point.

This riskβ€”now this realityβ€” was clearly foreseen 20 years ago when in first started working on climate change, and warnings were givenβ€” but no one wanted to hear them and some fought to belittle the Cassandras. So many Americans are now trapped in a terrible position as a result.

07.02.2026 19:32 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0