J. Luis Rodriguez's Avatar

J. Luis Rodriguez

@jluisrodriguez.com

Assistant Professor at George Mason's Schar School of Policy and Government | Affiliate at Stanford CISAC | Adjunct non-resident fellow at CSIS PONI | PhD from Johns Hopkins | International security, international law, and Global South | πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡²πŸ‡½ πŸ³οΈβ€πŸŒˆ

1,082
Followers
316
Following
45
Posts
03.09.2023
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by J. Luis Rodriguez @jluisrodriguez.com

Preview
Trump’s β€˜Shield of the Americas’ coalition is destined to fail The Shield seeks to address serious security and narcotics issues in Latin America. But a detail-light, β€˜Trumpista-only’ alliance repeats past mistakes in Latin America.

The Shield seeks to address serious security and narcotics issues in Latin America. But a detail-light, β€˜Trumpista-only’ alliance repeats past mistakes in Latin America. https://bit.ly/4rmIkOC

10.03.2026 22:00 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Opinion | Latin Americans Already Have a Serious Partner β€” and It’s Not Trump President Trump’s efforts to force the Western Hemisphere into alignment will keep falling short.

In @nytopinion.nytimes.com

Far from choosing sides between the U.S. and China, β€œLatin American leaders are increasingly adept at performing the public rituals of alignment required by Washington while quietly doubling down on their commercial ties with Beijing,” writes Oliver Stuenkel.

10.03.2026 18:40 πŸ‘ 235 πŸ” 67 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 8
Preview
Aggression, Plain and Simple: A Response to Shany and Cohen on the Attack on Iran Legal academics debate the state of international law and international institutions in light of the US-Israel-Iran War.

In a new @justsecurity.org article, CISAC Senior Fellow Tom Dannenbaum & Rebecca Hamilton respond to Shany and Cohen, rejecting claims that the attacks on Iran represent β€œprincipled” violations of international law & warning of the risks to the rule-based order.
www.justsecurity.org/133417/aggre...

10.03.2026 17:44 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

🧡Feels like shouting into the void, but it is essential to note that the Trump/Rubio gutting of the State Department and blowtorching of US diplomatic capacity and credibility is an accelerant to this spiraling war and will seriously undercut US/allied efforts to pick up the pieces after. 1/

06.03.2026 16:25 πŸ‘ 2846 πŸ” 939 πŸ’¬ 52 πŸ“Œ 112
Preview
Conceptualizing and Measuring Geopolitical Alignments A vast literature examines how geopolitical alignments influence militarized conflict, trade, investment, aid, and other outcomes in international relations. Yet, considerable ambiguity remains regard...

Conceptualizing and Measuring Geopolitical Alignments - www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...

03.03.2026 15:00 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 14 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Israel and the US strike Iran. It is a tragedy of Tehran's own making Iran's strategy rested on the critical assumption that the US administration preferred a deal to a war. That proved fatal on Saturday.

Fantastic analysis by @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social!

thebulletin.org/2026/02/isra...

28.02.2026 11:45 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Post image

Can conventional technologies now produce β€œnuclear effects”? Harold Trinkunas and Herb Lin argue that emerging technologies in conventional warfare can now achieve effects once reserved for nuclear weapons.

Read the full article at: tnsr.org/roundtable/e...

#StrategicStability #EmergingTech

26.02.2026 18:02 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Rio Police Chief & Congressman Convicted in Assassination of Socialist Rio Councilwoman Marielle Franco The court found that the former Chief of Rio de Janeiro Civil Police Rivaldo Barbosa, Brazilian Congressman Chiquinho BrazΓ£o, and his brother, Rio State Auditor General Domingos BrazΓ£o, were responsib...

"Today, the Brazilian Supreme Court announced that they had convicted the masterminds behind the assassination of socialist Rio de Janeiro City Councilwoman Marielle Franco guilty on all counts."

massive news in Brazil today, writeup by @mikeelk.bsky.social

paydayreport.com/rio-police-c...

25.02.2026 17:51 πŸ‘ 2044 πŸ” 726 πŸ’¬ 21 πŸ“Œ 59
Post image

Happy no-nuclear-weapons-in-Latin-America day!

#TlatelolcoTreaty #Tlatelolco59Anniversary

14.02.2026 14:42 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Rethinking the Deterrence-Disarmament Dichotomy: The Complex Landscape of Global Nuclear Weapons Preferences | Perspectives on Politics | Cambridge Core Rethinking the Deterrence-Disarmament Dichotomy: The Complex Landscape of Global Nuclear Weapons Preferences

In a new article, CISAC affiliates Lauren Sukin and J. Luis Rodriguez, along with colleague Stephen Herzog, challenge the idea that nuclear deterrence and disarmament are opposites, drawing on new global survey data from 24 countries.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

30.01.2026 23:21 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Eliminationist politics: an analytical framework The study of eliminationist policies – deliberate actions by state or non-state actors aimed at destroying, removing, or erasing groups based on salient identity categories – has yielded significan...

I’m writing this post to share a new article, co-authored with @mmgarrity.bsky.social, that examines eliminationist politics and proposes an analytical framework for their study, published in @scmrjems.bsky.social

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

nationalisky | polisky

1/8

10.02.2026 18:32 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Stealth Change: How the United States and the United Kingdom Embraced International Humanitarian Limits on Nuclear Use This article analyzes how American and British policy shifted, from rejecting to accepting the applicability of the law of armed conflict (LOAC) to nuclear use. Through a study of primary and secon...

Finally out! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... Longer post to come but for now, key take-aways: international pressure matters, domestic pressure matters, international treaty law (however contested) matters, and super importantly these days, civil servants who believe in international law matter!

06.02.2026 09:36 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
NTI Internship Application – Summer 2026

Applications for our summer internship program are open and will close on February 8.

If you are a student or young professional interested in nuclear policy, biosecurity, AI and emerging tech, our internship program could be a great fit for you!

Learn more and apply now. ‡️

04.02.2026 16:52 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The Trump Corollary and the Fracturing of Latin America Trump’s Jan. 3 attack on Venezuela has accelerated regional fragmentation at a time of deep ideological polarization.

Trump’s Jan. 3 attack on Venezuela has accelerated regional fragmentation at a time of deep ideological polarization, Benjamin N. Gedan and NicolΓ‘s Albertoni write.

04.02.2026 17:00 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Why South America’s Right Won’t Align With Trump on China Even the most MAGA of the region’s leaders can’t abandon their motor of economic development.

Not even Milei has severed ties with China, which produces untold heartburn in Washington. foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/02/t...

03.02.2026 02:30 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Understanding this paradox and its drivers is essential for navigating an increasingly dangerous nuclear landscape. Our paper discusses how global publics see compatibilities between deterrence and disarmament and assesses what the complexity in public views means for policy.

28.01.2026 15:47 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Contrary to conventional wisdom, which views deterrence and disarmament as irreconcilable opposites, our data reveal something far more complex. People around the world embrace both simultaneously. These apparent contradictions aren’t confined to a confused minority. They’re the global norm.

28.01.2026 15:47 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

We conducted a comprehensive survey of global attitudes toward nuclear weapons. Across 24 countries on six continentsβ€”from nuclear powers like the United States and China to non-nuclear-armed states like Brazil and Nigeriaβ€”we asked more than 27,000 people what they thought about the bomb.

28.01.2026 15:47 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Rethinking the Deterrence-Disarmament Dichotomy: The Complex Landscape of Global Nuclear Weapons Preferences | Perspectives on Politics | Cambridge Core Rethinking the Deterrence-Disarmament Dichotomy: The Complex Landscape of Global Nuclear Weapons Preferences

In this new open access article in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social, co-authored by @laurensukin.bsky.social and @herzogsm.bsky.social, we present evidence that challenges key assumptions about nuclear politics.

28.01.2026 15:47 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

πŸ“’ New on First View!

Andrei Mamolea (@andreimamolea.bsky.social) shows that a Latin American bloc with a common agenda emerged in Geneva in the 1920s.

#LeagueofNations #LatinAmerica #internationallaw #smallstates #transatlantic

Read Open Access here: doi.org/10.1017/S174...

27.01.2026 14:08 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Are nuclear issues at the heart of the Russia-Iran relationship? Interview with Nicole Grajewsi

As some of you already know, I recently moved to Paris for a tenure-track Assistant Professor position at @ceri-sciencespo.bsky.social @sciencespo.bsky.social. Here is a recent interview I did on my research agenda and background. www.sciencespo.fr/ceri/en/news...

22.01.2026 13:07 πŸ‘ 57 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Economic Displacement by Francisco Urdinez
China's economic displacement of the US in Latin America erodes US political leverage, challenging international order.
πŸ“š https://cup.org/3NaVGPU

20.01.2026 18:00 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Agency Strategic Plan - United States Department of State The Agency Strategic Plan sets forth the vision and direction for how the Department will implement U.S. foreign policy and foreign assistance.

Apparently the State Department, led Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the nation's top diplomat, released a strategic plan. Goal 1 is U.S. National Sovereignty. Goal 2 is "The Western Hemisphere and Establishment of the Donroe Doctrine."

There's more, but take that in.

www.state.gov/agency-strat...

16.01.2026 17:34 πŸ‘ 352 πŸ” 212 πŸ’¬ 50 πŸ“Œ 72
Preview
International Fellowships 2026 The International Fellowships Programme enables researchers to work for two years at a UK institution with the aim of building a globally connected, mobile research and innovation workforce.

@britishacademy.bsky.social International Fellowships are now open

Applications are welcome across the #humanities and #socialsciences from early career researchers anywhere in the world to come to πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ for 2 years

The deadline is 11 March

www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/funding/sche...

15.01.2026 23:20 πŸ‘ 29 πŸ” 35 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
International Fellowships 2026
The International Fellowships Programme enables researchers to work for two years at a UK institution with the aim of building a globally connected, mobile research and innovation workforce.
Funding status
Open for applications
Career stage
Early-career

International Fellowships 2026 The International Fellowships Programme enables researchers to work for two years at a UK institution with the aim of building a globally connected, mobile research and innovation workforce. Funding status Open for applications Career stage Early-career

Please help spread the word on this, especially to those who may be feeling cold winds towards their research.

We’ve opened the call for our International Fellowships, enabling early career researchers to work for two years at a UK research institution
www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/funding/sche...

15.01.2026 20:00 πŸ‘ 173 πŸ” 251 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 13
Preview
A World Without Rules The consequences of Trump’s assault on international law.

In the wake of the U.S. operation in Venezuela, all constraints on the exercise of state power are in jeopardy, write β€ͺ@oonahathaway.bsky.social and Scott Shapiro. β€œA system of rules can survive some hypocrisy, but nihilism will bring it down.”

13.01.2026 21:42 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2
Preview
El bloqueo naval y el ataque a Venezuela hace mΓ‘s de 120 aΓ±os que inspirΓ³ la Doctrina Drago - BBC News Mundo Lo que sucediΓ³ en las costas venezolanas en diciembre de 1902 provocΓ³ que un diplomΓ‘tico argentino se pronunciara con alarma. Lo que planteΓ³ se convirtiΓ³ en un hito en el derecho internacional.

I spoke with BBC Mundo about the Drago Doctrine: a Latin American pushback against using force to collect public debts.
Latin America's early history of decolonisation helped make it a champion of non-intervention, a key principle that now looks increasingly fragile.

www.bbc.com/mundo/articl...

11.01.2026 14:26 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Hegemony is when the dominant state is liked and supported by followers. Empire is when the dominant state acts transactionally, with impunity. There is an important difference and we have elided that difference to our detriment.

08.01.2026 15:03 πŸ‘ 23 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 2

Congrats, James! πŸ™ŒπŸ½

08.01.2026 13:09 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Denmark's PM urges Trump to 'stop the threats' of annexing Greenland The prime minister of Denmark called on Trump to β€œstop the threats” of the U.S. annexing Greenland after renewed comments garnered international attention.

1/Leaders are abducted/allies are threatened but pundits and governments are scratching their heads on what the US is doing. Danish PM on Greenland "It makes absolutely no sense". Why? Because actors using old IR models when we need a new lens. Enter neo-royalism.
abcnews.go.com/Internationa...

05.01.2026 13:24 πŸ‘ 560 πŸ” 270 πŸ’¬ 20 πŸ“Œ 85