Tony Dewan

There’s a there there now, something meaningfully changed recently. Not every codebase or tool chain or problem or practitioner gets equal value, but value is there.

Maybe when anthropic starts charging real rates for inference it’ll all come crashing down. 🤷🏼

I’ve been using things since copilot closed beta, and have been circumspect the whole time. I’m uneasy about our lack of tools and processes to safely and thoughtfully handle all the new robot code. I don’t get 10x value on every project, sometimes it’s net-negative. Overall I’m faster than without.

I’m personally also seeing a ton of innovation in harnesses and other dev tooling, so some of it is may be future-not-evenly-distributed problem?

In the small teams I’m on, much more is getting done now than 6 months ago. Some of it is stuff that wouldn’t have been done at all before, like esoteric exceptions. Some is net new feature work. Some is smoothing out customer support and related stuff (e.g, better importing for new customers)

It’s also only with CC and opus 4.5 that it crossed a threshold of good-enough-for-enough-people, and that was like 3 or 4 months ago?

I think it might just be early, and the hype far oversells the results. In my experience there’s a distribution of value, from like -1x to maybe 4x, depending on the task, practitioner, and codebase.

Deep in conversation, Trump peered over the Resolute Desk at their feet, Vance recalled during an event later that day celebrating Kennedy Center honoree Sylvester Stallone. "Marco, JD, you guys have s-y shoes," Trump declared before retrieving a catalog. A third politician was in the room-Vance didn't name him-and Trump asked each person for their size. Rubio said 11.5, Vance 13. The third man said 7, according to Vance. "The president kind of leans back in his chair and says, 'You know you can tell a lot about a man by his shoe size,' " Vance said.

From the WSJ article..!

How would you know? Are you looking for it? I’m not trying to be antagonistic here, I’m really interested in your heuristics.

you are supposed to share this advertisement with your friends to help spread the good word about the aeropress brand, good work you did it, Tiny Capital thanks you

Heard it downtown too, though it sounded like multiple cycles. Is the missile thing really a thing? I had no idea it was more than tornadoes!

I sure did

love how we killed the old, frail anti-nuke ayatollah just to have him replaced with his young, healthy son who wants nukes and who just had his father, mother, wife, and child murdered on the same day by his mortal enemy. surely this will bring peace to the region

Wikipedia images of celebrities are always so hilariously bad

The limited efficacy of air power alone has been known since the Battle of Britain in WW2. This is why combined arms is the standard for every nation-state military since.

...and there are enough of us that if we show up, it matters!

Recap: we're aware, educated, hungry, burned, motivated, and numerous.

...many overeducated, many sandwiched between kids and parents and thus with the maximum view of the cost of degraded institutions on daily life, many should be in maximum earning years and instead are seeing incomes decimated by oligarchy and decades of bad antitrust policy...

...too young to have brains destroyed by lead poisoning as children, too old to have brains destroyed by social media as children, native to technology, came of age in the relative peace and prosperity of post-cold-war US hegemony AND the epic failures of 2 decades-long wars in the Middle East...

I'm probably just @runforsomething.net pilled, but I think that if our our democracy (and society as we've understood it) is to be saved, it'll be by millennials...

...to the dash cam recs, not to the hit and run

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Harrison Ruffin Tyler - Wikipedia

John Tyler, 10th US President, was born in 1790. His last surviving grandchild, Harrison Ruffin Tyler, died on May 25, 2025.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harriso...

A picture from a Dr Seuss book that says “And you don't have to stop. You can think about SCHLOPP. Schlopp. Schlopp. Beautiful schlopp. Beautiful schlopp with a cherry on top.”

Making software in 2026

The savings we're getting here by annihilating decades of American science will pay for whole minutes of the operation to create decades of death, immiseration, and chaos in Iran.

One of my favourite sides of politics/media.

Those three downed jets run around $90 million each.

It cost $20 million a year to operate the food kitchens serving 816,000 people in Sudan.

Press gave Biden far worse coverage for a small number of American soldiers dying while leaving a war than to Trump for a similar number dying while starting a war for no reason. It makes you think!

the war is unpopular but it's also illegal but it also doesn't serve any purpose but it also undermines diplomacy but it also is set to produce the opposite outcome as intended but it also already has hundreds dead and threatens more but it also will not make anything better for anyone but it also

congress sounds cool i wish it was real

I think if I'd gotten away with attempting a coup, suffered no consequences for it, then won an election four years later, got away with executing citizens in the streets and foreigners in boats, and successfully abducted a head of state, I too might think I could just bomb my way to regime change

Never forget who you’re fighting for.