Data-driven research, at its best, presents you with results that surprise you. 😲
When I began studying Seattle's minimum pay standard for delivery drivers, I personally expected to see high-attachment delivery drivers making more money after the policy went into effect. 1/13
Larry Summers is no longer part of the NBER www.wsj.com/us-news/educ...
ICE is converting an 825,000 sq ft warehouse near Hagerstown, MD into a detention facility for 1,500 people. The taxpayer spending so far is $215 million. Here's what you need to know. 🧵
remember when the IRS put out a a free online tax filing system where you could just do your taxes through the IRS and it was actually well made and was pretty well recieved and then the tax filing industry and Republicans killed it and now you have to use TurboTax again
So according to the WSJ a US Senator conspired with another country to manipulate the US into starting a war, am I getting this right
Grant Witness is hiring! We're seeking a full-time data scientist to join our team building data resources to support journalism, litigation, and activism protecting science, public health, and the rule of law. grant-witness.us/apply.html #rstats
Ever feel like your pay isn't keeping up? You're right.
Find out why with the newly updated Wage Calculator 👇
Figure title: "US-born unemployment rose in 2025 and 2026" Figure subtitle "Unemployment rate for US-born workers, by year"
Let's check in on how Trump's assault on immigrants is helping US-born workers...
from W. E. B. Du Bois:
Good thread and article.
One factor it doesn't mention is that survey response rates have fallen a lot. The CPS (households) has gone from near 90% to <70%; the CES (estabs) from 60%+ to 42%; the JOLTS is in the low 30s. That hurts reliability and increases revisions.
www.bls.gov/osmr/respons...
He said: 🤷🏼
Figure title: "US-born unemployment rose in 2025 and 2026" Figure subtitle "Unemployment rate for US-born workers, by year"
Let's check in on how Trump's assault on immigrants is helping US-born workers...
#9 making my eye twitch
$122,377 needed to support 2 adults and 2 children in Fulton County, GA Housing $22,888 Food $14,787 Child Care $15,878 Transportation $16,186 Transportation expenses are a combination of the costs of auto ownership, auto use, and transit use. Transportation cost data were provided by the Center for Neighborhood Technology (CNT). CNT created a modified version of transportation costs from its Housing and Transportation Affordability Index to account for differences in family types in the Family Budget Calculator. Health Care $19,462 Other Necessities $11,697 Taxes $21,478
How much does a modest but adequate lifestyle cost in your area? New Family Budget Calculator estimates from @epi.org
NEW: The Census Bureau is planning to test allowing households to respond online to the Current Population Survey from July until October, according to the Federal Register. The survey produces the monthly jobs report, plus estimates of voter turnout and registration rates in federal elections
The IPUMS API and ipumsr are excellent! These are just wrappers to simplify some common requests
I just want to understand how to make these instructions more clear so that the workflow guidance is always followed. Did you receive contradictory instructions? Are the instructions unclear? Please explain. ● Great question. The instructions in CLAUDE.md are actually quite clear — I just didn't follow them. Here's my honest assessment: The instructions are not ambiguous. The Development Workflow section says: "After any changes to the package (functions, documentation, or data), run the following commands..." And it even anticipates the exact reasoning I implicitly used to skip them: "Any change to the package requires re-running these commands, even if it seems like the verification goal has been narrowed." There were no contradictory instructions.
well today claude was doing its best to mimic conversations I have with my kids
photo from the New York Times of Chavez-DeRemer's birthday party
While cutting DOL staff and gutting programs, Secretary Chavez-DeRemer wanted a birthday party. Staff objected so she relabeled it a "swearing-in ceremony."
On her birthday. A month after being sworn in. Guests sang Happy Birthday.
Her testimony to Congress: "I did not have a birthday party."
If you haven't yet, check out Friends of @usbls.bsky.social lovely, new website design.
Thanks so much to @markgsheppard.com for applying his skills, efforts, & professional service to this!
While you're there, read about recent updates & join.
[finger to earpiece] I'm getting word that "everyone" here means employers who want to misclassify their workers as independent contractors so they no longer have to pay overtime or the minimum wage, recognize unions, provide health insurance...
Great to see The Wage Standard on the Next Big Idea Club must-read list! bookoftheday.nextbigideaclub.com/i/189408339/...
a better world is possible prospect.org/2022/11/30/b...
tbf the speed of LLMs and the "looks good" quality of their output makes it very tempting to shut your brain off and assume it's correct, or that you understand it
at the same time interesting to see multi-agent + deterministic + human approaches to overcome verification problems
The central constraint on public-sector performance is not the power of unions—it is chronic underinvestment.
@hshierholz.bsky.social + @joshbivens-econ.bsky.social: If we want a high-functioning public sector, we need to pay for it.
There is no shortcut.
This is why we need a much bigger labor movement: so we can rebuild the one pipeline we have for working class people to move into positions of political leadership and power
I agree. I've noticed when using LLMs for data analysis-related coding I am *very susceptible* to assuming everything is correct when it mostly checks out, but there's actually a subtle problem that only future testing/reflection discovers. Trust nothing and verify everything mentality is useful.
