Dmitry Grozoubinski's Avatar

Dmitry Grozoubinski

@explaintrade.com

Author of Why Politicians Lie About Trade | Trade and Negotiations Explainer. Forever D&D DM. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Born. πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Raised. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ Based. Media and training: explaintrade.com Consultancy network: auroramacro.com Speaking representation: cwgspeakers.com

41,415
Followers
347
Following
5,313
Posts
12.04.2023
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by Dmitry Grozoubinski @explaintrade.com

Do you want to explain to my guild why my Preservation Evoker is too undergeared to keep them alive through the inevitable damage checks in the first three raids?

Do you?!?

(This is a joke. I'm 234 ilvl. No one dies on my watch.)

10.03.2026 11:58 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I'm sorry Anand but as I tried to explain the new World of Warcraft expansion just came out and gearing up ahead of Season 1 has to take priority.

10.03.2026 11:57 πŸ‘ 25 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

I understand the Lincicome clan has bred succesfully behind your concentric rings of landmines, auto-turrets and Vietnam war era spike traps.

10.03.2026 11:20 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I mean, the "orchestra plays live score of Lord of the Rings" stuff sold out every seat...

10.03.2026 11:19 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

The Australian Chamber Orchestra (which fucking slaps by the way, go see them if you can) used to sell tickets for like 1/3rd the price to under 30's in a desperate attempt to get anyone below retirement age into a concert.

10.03.2026 11:17 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This is definitely one of those "no one gets to talk shit about my sister except me" things.

You talk to anyone in opera, ballet, classical music, they'll tell you they're terrified of the demographics and desperate for how to increase mass appeal.

10.03.2026 11:16 πŸ‘ 27 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

No, which is why he's petrified of doing full mobilization - which is ironically about the only thing that could potentially break the deadlock in his favor.

10.03.2026 10:31 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Not to be all "getting Boss Baby vibes" about this but this is also true of the trade war.

The President made absolutely no effort to prepare the American people for the hardships his plans required them to endure, or to tell a coherent story about goals that would be worth that sacrifice.

10.03.2026 10:18 πŸ‘ 140 πŸ” 22 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1

I've taken to overcompensating.

"COVID 19, which was a terrible pandemic you're probably too young to remember..."

"We're masters students..."

"I'm 27..."

"It was like two years ago..."

"Ah, read some history have you? "

10.03.2026 09:52 πŸ‘ 89 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Cities aren't privately owned foreign flagged floating containers filled with oil or gas, though?

10.03.2026 09:46 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Ukrainian cities still get hit every day though, even Kyiv which sits within concentric circles of air defense.

Wunderwaffe refers to a weapon that can single-handedly turn a war around, but drones don't need to do that here. They just need to make crossing the Strait very scary.

10.03.2026 09:15 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

Why would anyone want to take Marmite out of a jar where it's safely contained away from humans?

10.03.2026 09:11 πŸ‘ 27 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

I'm a little more hesitant given how much drones have decreased the cost, sophistication and launch base required to launch attacks on shipping.

In the Tanker War it was mines, missiles and speedboats...

10.03.2026 09:10 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Absolutely though I guess the volume and vulnerability of oil transit through the Strait is such that you don't need THAT much capacity to threaten it.

It's not like you need to sink 100% of the tankers. Damage like two and no one will insure a passage for months.

10.03.2026 09:01 πŸ‘ 19 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

This is like that bit in the first Iron Man where the last thing he sees before being knocked out is his own logo on the explosive, if instead of rethinking his life Tony has been like, "that could be any weapons manufacturer named 'Stark'!"

10.03.2026 08:42 πŸ‘ 113 πŸ” 20 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 0

What's insane is, they work in a huge corporation with internal rules, legal and HR.

They are presumably therefore aware that you don't just get to take massive risks as an employee because you're personally up for it.

09.03.2026 15:52 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Baby-brain nonsense to pretend this a matter of personal courage from the captains and crew, and not the straight-forward economics of prohibitively astronomical insurance costs.

Also, easy to be vicariously brave about sailing a giant floating bomb under Shaheds when you're safe in a Fox studio.

09.03.2026 15:36 πŸ‘ 306 πŸ” 58 πŸ’¬ 22 πŸ“Œ 1

I really, really don't think you want to bet on the failure of hundreds of warhead delivery systems.

Also, I'm not sure we'd enjoy the environmental and fallout implications of 200 bombs going off in Russia all that much either.

09.03.2026 13:59 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Common error there Maia, that's the Council of Cuck, not the Cuckean Coucil.

09.03.2026 13:44 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Just remarkable how easy it is to build a career as a thought leader on the right if you're capable of speaking in full sentences while smirking.

09.03.2026 11:21 πŸ‘ 121 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0

I appreciate you've probably already listed this at least twice, but just to confirm that yes my book's publisher is British and so you're correct to include it.

09.03.2026 11:20 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Screenshot of a tweet by Richard Hanania (@RichardHanania). The tweet reads: 

β€œHas any theory in international relations been more discredited than blowback? 

It turns out you can just kill bad people and everything is fine.” 

The timestamp below shows 10:08 PM Β· Feb 28, 2026

Screenshot of a tweet by Richard Hanania (@RichardHanania). The tweet reads: β€œHas any theory in international relations been more discredited than blowback? It turns out you can just kill bad people and everything is fine.” The timestamp below shows 10:08 PM Β· Feb 28, 2026

Dunno, folks.

If the intellectual leaders of my movement were the dumbest human beings alive, that might give me some pause regarding their claims of inherent genetic superiority over other races.

Apparently not so for our Nazi buddies, but here we are.

09.03.2026 11:19 πŸ‘ 137 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0

bsky.app/profile/theg...

Which, to be fair...

09.03.2026 11:01 πŸ‘ 27 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

No, but I nose why you might have thought so.

09.03.2026 10:04 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I'm not named Dmitry because I'm from Greece, let me just say.

09.03.2026 09:56 πŸ‘ 46 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

Alright but counterargument - I don't think, "we should consider the consequences of even righteous acts" is that insane a position, though?

It would be justice to see NATO F-35's bombing the Kremlin with Putin in it, but I'm pretty sure we'd all die in nuclear fire, so we probably shouldn't.

09.03.2026 09:35 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

That sensation of sitting in the fourth row of an overnight bus and watching the driver drink an entire 750ml of vodka straight from the bottle while the first flurries of a heavy snowfall begin to swirl past the window.

09.03.2026 09:33 πŸ‘ 94 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Can you expand on that?

09.03.2026 09:28 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I'm not advocating blind optimism, but it's worth interrogating any analysis which seems to be wishcasting consequences onto the US because it deserves them rather than thinking through the systemic, political and structural incentives and constraints of the players.

09.03.2026 09:19 πŸ‘ 56 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Important point.

During Brexit some commentators treated international relations as a morality play, insisting the EU would punish Johnson et al for their hubris and wickedness.

In fact, the EU position was predictably driven by its internal dynamics and interests, not punitive vengeance.

09.03.2026 09:17 πŸ‘ 91 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0