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Andrew Dessler

@andrewdessler.com

Prof of Atmospheric Sciences & climate scientist @ Texas A&M; AGU and AAAS Fellow; Native Texan; find out what I think at https://www.theclimatebrink.com/

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Latest posts by Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com

CMIP6 trends over the last 13 years (red) and the 13 years before (black) (using the screened simulations), along with the estimate trends from FR26 over (roughly) the same periods.

CMIP6 trends over the last 13 years (red) and the 13 years before (black) (using the screened simulations), along with the estimate trends from FR26 over (roughly) the same periods.

Is there an acceleration in global warming expected in the CMIP6 climate models? yes! But not as easy to detect in the real world.

(from www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...)

(see also: www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar... from 2024).

09.03.2026 01:44 πŸ‘ 60 πŸ” 18 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 1

Exactly what I was thinking.

09.03.2026 02:50 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

"I think the current crisis absolutely vindicates China's push to electrify everything, notably road transport... wouldn't be surprised we see China push to be even bigger & bolder to transition to clean energy & electrify everything" Erica Downes from Colombia CGEP on BBG TV just now.

09.03.2026 02:14 πŸ‘ 208 πŸ” 47 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 1

I don’t believe that. The political fallout is going to be tremendous.

09.03.2026 02:43 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I wonder by the US hasn’t started producing from the strategic petroleum reserve. They have 400 million barrels (I think) so they could produce 10 million barrels a day for 40 days, which would reduce the price of oil. Maybe there’s a limit to how fast they can pump the oil out.

09.03.2026 02:16 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Corpus Christi careens toward water catastrophe City officials expect to reach a β€œwater emergency” within months and run out of water next year. That would halt jet fuel deliveries to Texas airports, hike gas prices and trigger a local economic dis...

Corpus Christi is in trouble in terms of water supplies for refineries and has wasted years trying to unsuccessfully build desalination plants. www.texastribune.org/2026/03/08/t...

08.03.2026 23:50 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 2
Chris Wright saying "I made 5 calls for 5 scientists"

Chris Wright saying "I made 5 calls for 5 scientists"

IPCC: thousands of scientists, years of writing and multiple rounds of peer review.

The DOE Climate Working Group report: β€œI made five calls for five scientists.”

Dear DOE: That’s not how you assemble a climate assessment. That’s how you assemble a panel for cable news.

08.03.2026 00:06 πŸ‘ 76 πŸ” 22 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 4

Tell me you know nothing about how science is done while explaining how to do science.

08.03.2026 02:40 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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"Call me about lowering your mortgage."

08.03.2026 00:09 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Chris Wright saying "I made 5 calls for 5 scientists"

Chris Wright saying "I made 5 calls for 5 scientists"

IPCC: thousands of scientists, years of writing and multiple rounds of peer review.

The DOE Climate Working Group report: β€œI made five calls for five scientists.”

Dear DOE: That’s not how you assemble a climate assessment. That’s how you assemble a panel for cable news.

08.03.2026 00:06 πŸ‘ 76 πŸ” 22 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 4
Rep. Dan Crenshaw says culture of
misinformation fueled his primary loss:
"The truth didn't matter"
The fourth-term congressman, who lost decisively to state Rep. Steve Toth, said baseless attacks about his
alleged insider trading and gun stances fueled the upset.
BY GABBY BIRENBAUM
MARCH 6, 2026, 4:25 P.M. CENTRAL
REPUBLISH SHARE

Rep. Dan Crenshaw says culture of misinformation fueled his primary loss: "The truth didn't matter" The fourth-term congressman, who lost decisively to state Rep. Steve Toth, said baseless attacks about his alleged insider trading and gun stances fueled the upset. BY GABBY BIRENBAUM MARCH 6, 2026, 4:25 P.M. CENTRAL REPUBLISH SHARE

"Fire hurts," complains arsonist

www.texastribune.org/2026/03/06/d...

07.03.2026 04:15 πŸ‘ 5378 πŸ” 770 πŸ’¬ 72 πŸ“Œ 38
Preview
The influence of internal variability on Earth's energy balance framework and implications for estimating climate sensitivity Abstract. Our climate is constrained by the balance between solar energy absorbed by the Earth and terrestrial energy radiated to space. This energy balance has been widely used to infer equilibrium c...

"For reasons I don’t understand, instrumental global temperature records don’t constrain ECS very tightly.”

The pattern of warming of the surface causes the inferred climate sensitivity to depart from the equilibrium climate sensitivity.

Explained here: doi.org/10.5194/acp-...

07.03.2026 19:00 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Congratulations, Matt! Continue making us proud.

07.03.2026 00:13 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The war in Iran shows us another cost of our fossil-fuel economy our reliance on fossil fuels makes us less safe

As I wrote yesterday, these are actually linked. As we spend less on fossil fuels, we can also spend less on national defense. This is yet another subsidy for fossil fuels.
www.theclimatebrink.com/p/the-war-in...

06.03.2026 19:09 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
When will clean energy spending exceed military spending? Why I may have been a tad premature in my 2026 prediction.

On The Climate Brink, @hausfath.bsky.social writes about the trends of spending on clean energy vs. national defense:

When will clean energy spending exceed military spending?
www.theclimatebrink.com/p/when-will-...

06.03.2026 19:09 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Nice interview with @andymiller24.bsky.social about the endangerment findings. He was a bit more upbeat than I would have been, but I suppose it's good to look on the bright side.

05.03.2026 20:59 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

@andrewdessler.com on huge govt subsidies for #FossilFuels. US spends over $81bn every yr to protect oil supplyπŸ›’! Securing America’s Future Energy (SAFE) calculates about 1/5 of US Dept of Defense base budget exists at least partly to keep oil flowing via vulnerable choke points like #StraitOfHormuz

05.03.2026 20:36 πŸ‘ 19 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
The war in Iran shows us another cost of our fossil-fuel economy our reliance on fossil fuels makes us less safe

On The Climate Brink, my latest post is on what the war in Iran tells us about the hidden costs of fossil fuels

05.03.2026 17:29 πŸ‘ 22 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 3
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Next time someone asks you to sum up MAGA in 30 seconds or less, show them this clip of Andrew Tate explaining why he doesn't read books.

07.02.2026 17:44 πŸ‘ 1252 πŸ” 310 πŸ’¬ 162 πŸ“Œ 256
Trump’s Iran conflict cuts the world off from a crucial energy source

Liquified natural gas from Qatar was a safe energy bet for countries across Europe and Asia. Now they face an energy crisis.

Qatar shut down production of liquefied natural gas this week at a plant in Doha after Iranian attacks targeting energy installations. 

Countries across Europe and Asia are facing a potential energy crisis after an Iranian drone strike shut down Qatar’s exports of liquefied natural gas this week, cutting off nations from India to Italy from a crucial energy source and potentially increasing costs for key industries in the United States.

Trump’s Iran conflict cuts the world off from a crucial energy source Liquified natural gas from Qatar was a safe energy bet for countries across Europe and Asia. Now they face an energy crisis. Qatar shut down production of liquefied natural gas this week at a plant in Doha after Iranian attacks targeting energy installations. Countries across Europe and Asia are facing a potential energy crisis after an Iranian drone strike shut down Qatar’s exports of liquefied natural gas this week, cutting off nations from India to Italy from a crucial energy source and potentially increasing costs for key industries in the United States.

the moral case for fossil fuels

05.03.2026 16:36 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

our publication system is broken
bsky.app/profile/andr...

05.03.2026 16:09 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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OBITUARY: The DOE Climate Working Group Report, 2025–2026 it died in a footnote

"The [DOE Climate Working Group] report is survived by grieving former members of the Climate Working Group, who remain defiant. They have vowed to respond to the scientific criticisms of their report but have so far done nothing." www.theclimatebrink.com/p/obituary-t...

03.03.2026 17:09 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

internal consistency is not their strong suit

04.03.2026 19:24 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
04.03.2026 00:59 πŸ‘ 7577 πŸ” 1553 πŸ’¬ 91 πŸ“Œ 39
Preview
Skeptics Dispute Climate Worries and Each Other (Published 2009)

Another @revkin.bsky.social article about the 2009 meeting. Gift link: www.nytimes.com/2009/03/09/s...

04.03.2026 03:36 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Great article from 2008 by @revkin.bsky.social about the meeting that year. This summed it up perfectly: out of more than 500 attendees, only 19 were "scientists" (and I suspect that was an overestimate).

gift link: www.nytimes.com/2008/03/04/s...

04.03.2026 03:36 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2
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It's cheaper than the AGU meeting!

04.03.2026 03:36 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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Bad news for climate alarmist reporters. You ain't gettin' in.

04.03.2026 03:36 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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Here are the keynote speakers. Hoo boy, it's quite a lineup.

04.03.2026 03:36 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Home - 16th International Conference on Climate Change Get Tickets Learn More 30+ Expert Speakers 6 Plenary Sessions 12 Panel Discussions 2 Concurrent Tracks Featured Speakers View All Speakers Schedule Subject to change Day 1 Schedule 8:00 am - 9:45 am M...

the Heartland Institute's Conference on Climate Change agenda is now out.
climateconference.heartland.org

04.03.2026 03:36 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 2