Iβm optimistic for your second life.
@bromptonymous.ca
Cities & Urbanism. Solarpunk. Sometimes geochemistry. Often my hound. Climate dad. Always on a bike. βCivilization exists by geologic consent, subject to change without notice.β Born: 344 ppm, PhD 397 ppm, Today: 430 ppm. Victoria, BC.
Iβm optimistic for your second life.
Negative even! paying you to take it off their hands.
"We have a data economy that thrives on selling products we donβt need for problems we donβt have, and a public that falls for these ploysβeven as we think ourselves much too clever to be fooled."
Canadian city governments arenβt real is my conspiracy story. Toronto isnt allowed to toll its roads. Winnipeg cant set safe speeds. We dont even know if Ottawa is a city or small country etc.
www.cbc.ca/news/canada/...
I have a magical device in my driveway that protects me from oil price shocks, emasculates petrothugs, slows the rising seas, and powers my car. During times like these, worth considering!
An elderly couple plays Fake London Frogger at Victoria Hospital.
For people walking at this pace, walking half a kilometre to a crosswalk shouldnβt be the only option to cross a five lane road to the businesses adjacent to the hospital.
9/ oil supply & demand are highly asymmetric.
Supply *can* drop suddenly (war etc) but *canβt* be increased quickly.
Demand, however, canβt* change very fast in either direction. *Except for during Covid and of course oil prices briefly went negative; but that was exaggerated by market structure.
During Covid, oil prices went negative but demand barely fell 10%. As noted in the thread, 20% of supply is currently blockaded. Weβre in for a ride.
I'm glad we've spent the last years engaging in a moral panic over e-bikes
We spent 1/4 of a billion dollars on two highway interchanges in the Victoria suburbs when a billion dollars would have restored passenger rail connecting most of the population of the island. Dougie is talking about tunneling the 401 instead of just building trains. π€·ββοΈ
Canada used to do trains well.
1955 Canadian Rail Network by @seanyyz.bsky.social
Gallup Poll (3/5/26):
Do you approve of $8 gas
No: 99%
Yes: 1%
Do you approve of Donald Trump's $8 gas policy
No: 46.6%
Yes: 38.9%
Unsure: 14.5%
Recommend this. π
FYI the 1970s oil crisis was the impetus for Copenhagen turning into a cycling city
During Covid, oil prices went negative but demand barely fell 10%. As noted in the thread, 20% of supply is currently blockaded. Weβre in for a ride.
Good thread on oil price elasticity. π
Threading some stuff about oil & oil markets, just basic but hope it helps:
1/ oil markets are what you call βfinely balancedβ. Supply is usually very very close to demand/consumption. Demand is hard to shift *quickly* in response to supply hiccups.
So even small supply changes = big price effects
Weβve gone from global rail leader to a primitive laggard in a couple generations. Itβs a choice to spend all our money on car infrastructure while our rail system decays. Letβs choose differently.
I took Via Rail from Toronto to Ottawa and back. Not a big deal, you would think, except it took up two days of my life and cost me hundreds of dollars on top of the ticket. lloydalter.substack.com/p/train-brai...
Steve Carrell captures this moment perfectly in The Big Short. His character is about to make hundreds of millions of dollars and all he can see is the devastation that will happen to so many ordinary people around him.
Apropos of the orange satan driving oil up to $108 a barrel, my bicycle still gets 75 miles per burrito.
I have no idea what gasoline costs, don't care.
anyone who has been on social media for the last 15 years has ptsd for this exact thing when the charts start to buck and the smart weirdos start to flail and vaguely gesture like this
Founding edit In 1973, world oil prices quadrupled due to the Arab oil embargo following the Yom Kippur War. The province of Alberta had substantial oil reserves, whose extraction had long been controlled by American corporations. The government of Canada Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau and the opposition New Democratic Party felt that these corporations geared most of their production to the American market, and as a result little of the benefit of rising oil prices went to Canadians. During debates in the Canadian House of Commons, for example, Tommy Douglas supported the new Crown Corporation by saying: "It should be remembered that the people of Canada have paid billions of dollars to enlarge and enrich foreign oil companies, and only now, belatedly, are we setting up an economic vehicle to develop our petroleum resources for the benefit of Canadians."[1] Trudeau's Liberals were then in a minority government and dependent upon the support of the NDP to stay in power. The idea also fit with the growing movement toward economic nationalism within the Liberals.
Eerily similar times β¦
In other words, Make Petro-Canada (and all its upstream components) Petro-Canada again (currently owned by Suncor since 2009).
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Petro-C...
Now is the time to nationalize all fossil fuel companies and use the profits to fund the clean energy transition while doing a managed retreat from oil and gas. Letting the market shut down the fossil fuel industry will lead to bad things.
Donβt believe me? π
www.volts.wtf/p/the-fate-o...
Interesting to think that Donald Trump may have, completely inadvertently and at a horrific cost, finally woken up the world to how urgent it is we get off our dangerous addiction to fossil fuels.
Thereβs no such thing as the perfect curling shotβ¦
Calvin's dad edited to be like the calvin peeing on things sticker using a conspicuous bulge in the original drawing. Then made to look like a cheap sticker stuck on a gas pump.
What's the weird bulge in his shirt?
bsky.app/profile/egal...
calvin: HEY DAD, I'M DOING A TRAFFIC SAFETY POSTER. DO YOU HAVE ANY IDEAS FOR A SLOGAN? calvinβs dad: SURE! "CYCLISTS HAVE A RIGHT TO THE ROAD TOO, YOU NOISY, POLLUTING, INCONSIDERATE MANIACS! I HOPE GAS GOES UP TO EIGHT BUCKS A GALLON!" calvin: THANKS, DAD. I'LL GO ASK MOM. calvinβs dad: WHY ? THAT'S A GREAT SLOGAN!
every day heβs vindicated