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Danny Crichton

@dannycrichton.com

Write and design Riskgaming scenarios on tech, science and politics. Partner, Research at Lux Capital.

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12.05.2023
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Latest posts by Danny Crichton @dannycrichton.com

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It will never not be miraculous to me that a coding agent proactively solves problems I didn't ask it to fix. So pleasant!

06.03.2026 23:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

My experience with Claude Code and Codex is just having them fix config bugs is a miraculous gift from the intelligence gods. Given the complexities of modern dev tooling, there's just always some small tweak needed to keep the damn machine running – and they always finds it

06.03.2026 19:09 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Wealthy Dubai residents race back to UAE to avoid tax bills Some risk spending too few days in the emirate and too many in the UK

😭😭😭😭😭😭 "He said most were waiting and seeing before taking action, but that the rich 'really value the ability to move and work wherever they want, when they want, and when something like the Iran war disrupts it, they don’t like it'." www.ft.com/content/80b...

06.03.2026 01:06 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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It's nice to know that NATO is starting to figure out that autonomous warfare is the future. In my discussions last week in London, I am always shocked just how much folks are preparing for yesterday's wars rather than the wars of the future. More: www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...

05.03.2026 15:57 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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New York considers bill that would ban chatbots from giving legal, medical advice | StateScoop A bill under consideration in New York would provide a private right of action, allowing people to file lawsuits against chatbot owners who violate the law.

More here: statescoop.com/new-york-bi...

05.03.2026 15:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The combination of AI backlash and crony New York capitalism combines in proposed bills like this one, which would ban chatbots from offering any health or legal advice. These chatbots have already been invaluable to me on mundane issues – I can't imagine going back

05.03.2026 15:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Africa emerges as new arena in US-China competition over artificial intelligence With a fast-growing digital economy and young population, the continent is becoming a critical front in the global race to shape AI’s future.

Read the full article: www.scmp.com/news/us/art...

05.03.2026 15:50 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Why does the Global South matter? Well, it represents a majority of people on Earth, and no AI company targeting trillions in market cap wants to give up half of their potential users (if not half of all profits available):

05.03.2026 15:50 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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AI in the developing world is an angle that far too few are paying attention to. So I appreciate Lucy Quaggin covering the subject for SCMP. A few quotes and a link below. First, I talk about why US AI companies are paying attention to Africa at all:

05.03.2026 15:50 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

It’s weird how, as a writer in say 2002, the only way to reach people in bulk was by collecting email addresses. And in 2026 the only method is… collecting email addresses

05.03.2026 11:26 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you! Sad because the spreadsheet doesn’t actually have that much text

04.03.2026 17:32 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Converting a Riskgaming scoring spreadsheet (and all of its formulas) into Python code using Claude Code … and apparently Claude Code can't handle spreadsheets larger than 256kb? Am I missing something?

04.03.2026 16:27 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Fight punct junk - maintain standards!

04.03.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

FWIW, this is also why I think some of these publications are making a mistake when they opt-out of AI scans, since AI is generating more traffic instead of search.

But it's also why I always focus on direct traffic to @techdirt.com more than any referrer.

04.03.2026 07:26 πŸ‘ 69 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 0

Catastrophic, publication-ending numbers

04.03.2026 14:14 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Google is choking the internet to death, and it's not an accident. Like all the big tech firms, they want to be the only service you interact with at all times.

04.03.2026 14:18 πŸ‘ 28 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I'd also suggest that unless you already know a publication exists it can be really difficult find a real one in a sea of AI slop sites. To say nothing of formerly real sites that have been gutted and turned into AI zombies.

04.03.2026 14:39 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The only subscription pubs that work are either a) hobby pubs (passion) or b) finance-related (profits). The evidence from NYT is that it is all games (entertainment) or cooking (passion) and barely news that draws people in

03.03.2026 21:35 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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No discussion of tech media can get past this basic traffic fact:Β in the AI world, Google and social no longer refer traffic, which means that the vast majority of readers just never find you in the first place. Analysis: growtika.com/blog/tech-m...

03.03.2026 21:33 πŸ‘ 114 πŸ” 46 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 15
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Lux Capital Riskgaming - Hampton at the Cross-Roads Hampton at the Cross-Roads is a Riskgaming scenario by Lux Capital simulating Climate Change and the Future of American Maritime Security

Spending the afternoon trying to convert my first Riskgaming scenario Hampton at the Cross-Roads into an agentic AI negotiation exercise: www.luxcapital.com/riskgaming/...

03.03.2026 18:15 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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How did European and UK policymakers perform in Riskgaming at Chatham House? Well, they fell into the trap of European space sovereignty just like in their everyday government positions. Interestingly, they were *more* dependent on SpaceX by the end then our betatest cohorts

03.03.2026 18:10 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Three attendees engage in conversation, exchanging cards during an event focused on European space sovereignty at Chatham House.

Three attendees engage in conversation, exchanging cards during an event focused on European space sovereignty at Chatham House.

A group of people interacts and shares cards during an event focused on European space sovereignty at a forum.

A group of people interacts and shares cards during an event focused on European space sovereignty at a forum.

A group of people engage in conversation, holding cards and smiling, during a defense forum event focused on European space sovereignty.

A group of people engage in conversation, holding cards and smiling, during a defense forum event focused on European space sovereignty.

A group of people engages in lively conversation at a conference, showcasing a mix of formal attire and camaraderie.

A group of people engages in lively conversation at a conference, showcasing a mix of formal attire and camaraderie.

The whole Lux Riskgaming crew had a blast hosting Dead Reckoning, our scenario on European space sovereignty at Chatham House's annual defense forum. Not the best outcome for the group (or Europe, for that matter), but lots of fun and learning all around

03.03.2026 18:03 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Had a whole hell of a lot of fun hosting Laurence Pevsner's new Riskgaming scenario Dead Reckoning in beta this past week. European space trilemma: space capabilities, autonomy or jobs? The answer was … none, basically, in both runthroughs we ran

16.02.2026 20:10 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Scent, In Silico Once a primal instinct, olfaction is now being mapped, measured, and modeled by machines.

Link to article: www.asimov.press/p/scent

16.02.2026 19:19 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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This is a great article by Taylor Rayne in Asimov Press on the history of scent, the incredible challenges of mapping out its complexities, and how new startups like Osmo are finding novel applications for AI in digital olfaction.

16.02.2026 19:19 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

One thing I love about design is that you can never be done. There is always something to improve in a product, technology, novel, etc. Just made a massive improvement to my game Hampton at the Cross-Roads from a suggestion – why didn't I think of this great improvement before?

22.01.2026 16:16 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I just learned that the U.S. is 30th in the world for public bathrooms per capita. Can we get a Make America Poop Again (MAPA) initiative going? (for those curious, Iceland is apparently number one)

13.01.2026 02:42 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Adversarial ambiguity and Polymarket How we all learned to love ignoring the rules

More here: www.riskgaming.com/p/adversari...

08.01.2026 20:26 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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New post: Why adversarial ambiguity makes prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi extraordinarily challenging to operate. Words like "invasion" and "war" are intentionally avoided in order to not trigger their consequences. Example: The U.S. hasn't declared war since WWII

08.01.2026 20:26 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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How to be a straddle power Korea is just one country creating a dense mesh of tech and political deals to secure power

Link: www.riskgaming.com/p/how-to-be...

07.01.2026 20:43 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0