Cai

The actual most shameful entry on here is Saturday Night Live

Woah, america's funniest home videos still providing footage of children falling down and people getting hit in the nuts. God bless America. Rest in peace Bob Saget

They just don't care that much because so far it's not that many people and they're basically all slaves.

OK, but the thing about Fitzcarraldo is it worked

How come the kind of censorship I dream of never happens

Iran Update Morning Special Report, March 11, 2026 The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and the Critical Threats Project (CTP) at the American Enterprise Institute are publishing two updates daily to provide...

Here's one I've been watching pretty carefully for overviews understandingwar.org/research/mid...

I think ultimately the United States will be OK on the amount of munitions it has

Lol, they did not want to give up their nuclear ambitions, that's a silly argument.

They absolutely stayed high enough that most of the predictions should still have been in effect, and acting like this website didn't have a huge, embarrassing misfire puts us in a bad position for evaluating our weaknesses

One of the reasons that I'm being especially critical here is I am thinking back to the extremely selective data that was being posted here consistently in the wave of last year's initial tariffs. But the big picture ended up being very different than the consensus prediction here.

And if it were critically weakened and then collapsed in two years, where otherwise it would not, then is it a win or a loss?

It hasn't been the result yet. To be clear, the final status of the regime wrt this conflict is still an unknown at this time.

I mean, the same goes for you. What are the conditions where you would consider the United States to have won and what are the conditions where you would have considered the US to have lost?

Every regime that ever collapsed was the first to collapse in some way specific to it.

I can't make a good estimation of what they're going to do from here because both their actions and their words make it clear that they do not intended to be guided by past practices.

There is definitely disagreement on the state of the battle, which is significantly reinforced by the absence of actual information on this website about the state of the conflict.

Yes, that's correct.

Victory is neither static nor absolute.

I mean, we've been doing this for less than two weeks, there's a difference between tolerance for airstrikes for two weeks and tolerance for air strikes for six months.

Diplomatic relations are now worse, in the context of a severely weakened military and an economy that will be crippled by the throttling of Hormuz traffic

I mean, they've already significantly done so because Iran has significantly degraded its relationships with many of its neighbors owing to for example firing missiles upon them.

I don't know.

It's a political and a strategic goal because it significantly affects the kind of power they are able to project in the Middle East.

Admitting that they have already lost puts you far more in line with reality than the majority of this website, which is what I'm complaining about.

The destruction of their Tomcat fleet would be another example.

They have admitted that he's wounded though.

It's actually not clear if he's alive right now. Probably, but there hasn't been any video evidence of his survival since his ascension.

Many conflicts have more than one goal.

The biggest concrete goal of the war with Iran was accomplished on the first day.

He really doesn't seem to be that unhappy with how things have gone so far.