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Mat Paterson

@matpaterson

Climate politics; political economy. University of Manchester Professor. https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=im2kgFUAAAAJ&hl=en. https://research.manchester.ac.uk/en/persons/matthew.paterson.

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25.09.2023
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Latest posts by Mat Paterson @matpaterson

Some thoughts on what the Gorton and Denton byelection means for pursuing climate action in the contemporary UK political landscape. www.just.ac.uk/news/2026/03...

06.03.2026 14:01 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

some keep on telling this story of people not wanting green policies, warning politicians to steer away from climate policies, yet the majority in the heartland of German car production has just voted for a guy that has not backtracked from saying that e-cars are the future

bsky.app/profile/jere...

08.03.2026 21:10 πŸ‘ 63 πŸ” 23 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1
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Global Environmental Politics amid Geopolitical Turbulence Abstract. Over the past decade, three overlapping trends have fundamentally reshaped and now characterize the global geopolitical order: the rise of emerging powers, increasing military conflicts, and...

Given current events, seems like a good time to share this excellent article on geopolitical turbulence from the 25th Anniversary Special Issue of the journal Global Environmental Politics. @yixiansun.bsky.social @jennifer-clapp.bsky.social @matpaterson.bsky.social
direct.mit.edu/glep/article...

08.03.2026 15:52 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Log-scale chart showing cumulative individual days above six temperature thresholds from 0.5C to 2.0C since 1940. By September 2025: 800 days above 1.5C, 139 days above 1.75C, and just 6 days above 2.0C. The curves steepen and shift rightward at higher thresholds, illustrating the pattern this analysis investigates. Credit: @reescatophuls.bsky.social

Log-scale chart showing cumulative individual days above six temperature thresholds from 0.5C to 2.0C since 1940. By September 2025: 800 days above 1.5C, 139 days above 1.75C, and just 6 days above 2.0C. The curves steepen and shift rightward at higher thresholds, illustrating the pattern this analysis investigates. Credit: @reescatophuls.bsky.social

2/ Inspired by @reescatophuls.bsky.social's brilliant cumulative days charts, if you look carefully, there's a pattern hiding in plain sight: the gap between the first daily occurrence at each threshold & rapid accumulation is shrinking at each level.

I wanted to measure that gap precisely.

08.03.2026 10:05 πŸ‘ 35 πŸ” 16 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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All 1817 London council seats are being elected in May.

Starting point is approx
Labour 1150
Cons 400
LibDems 180
Greens 18
Reform 0

One Bombe projection has this London earthquake scenario, with Lab 3rd

Green 548,
Cons 481
Labour 415
LD 252
Reform 132
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

08.03.2026 09:34 πŸ‘ 143 πŸ” 63 πŸ’¬ 22 πŸ“Œ 8

I think it's important to give full credit to the original idiom here.

"The US has its arse lined with noodles"

07.03.2026 09:49 πŸ‘ 35 πŸ” 18 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1
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Global Warming Has Accelerated Significantly During the last decade, the rate at which Earth warmed increased substantially After removing the influence of known natural variability factors, the increase of the warming rate is statistically...

Just in case we wanted reminding of the key global crisis we should be focused on… agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...

06.03.2026 17:23 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Webinar | Joined Up Sustainability Transformations: Mapping the current landscape
Webinar | Joined Up Sustainability Transformations: Mapping the current landscape YouTube video by JUST Centre

πŸ—ΊοΈ RESEARCH | JUST's first major report explores who, where, why and how a fair, low‑carbon future is being built in the North of England and beyond.

πŸ“‘ Read the full report: bit.ly/4cwMRKW
πŸŽ₯ Watch the webinar replay: www.youtube.com/watch?v=sTg8...

06.03.2026 15:12 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Some thoughts on what the Gorton and Denton byelection means for pursuing climate action in the contemporary UK political landscape. www.just.ac.uk/news/2026/03...

06.03.2026 14:01 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
JUST: Gorton, Denton and just climate transformations

πŸ—³οΈ As the dust settles after Gorton and Denton's hard-fought byelection, JUST Deputy Director @matpaterson.bsky.social provides a striking expert analysis of how the UK political landscape is evolving - and what this means for climate policy.

Read the full analysis: bit.ly/40cSczE

05.03.2026 16:50 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Fossil fuel stocks are exploding in response to the war on Iran.

Who stands to benefit? The richest of the rich.

Who stands to lose? All of us who have to pay higher prices for energy and a new round of sellers' inflation.

03.03.2026 10:47 πŸ‘ 359 πŸ” 207 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 16
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Globalisation is under threat from Iran war – and Britain is uniquely vulnerable Economic ripples from US-Israel attacks will soon become waves, engulfing everything from energy prices to food

Excellent article by James Meadway of @macrodosepod.bsky.social on UK's alarming dependence on an unstable world.

This aligns with the message from 10 experts at the
@nebriefing.bsky.social

Emergency action to tackle climate & nature breakdown and build resilience now even more pressing. #NEB2025

05.03.2026 15:45 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

β€œIt isn’t a stretch to claim, as Malm and Carton do, that an actual energy transitionβ€”of the sort that Fressoz shows has never occurredβ€”would challenge the basic power structures of global capitalism and geopolitics.”

05.03.2026 11:41 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump has launched an unprecedented assault on the environment. Where’s the pushback? Climate deniers expected more resistance to the fossil fuel blitz. But Democrats, billionaires and activists have gone silent

Hello? Anybody home?

Climate "hushing" and avoidance has allowed Trump and the fossil industry to destroy decades of effort.

Where is the climate movement? Where are the Democratic politicians?

Vast majorities are concerned about climate change.

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

04.03.2026 22:09 πŸ‘ 75 πŸ” 45 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 5
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Beyond Forecasting: Using MRP (multi-level regression with post-stratification) to investigate minority political behaviour at The University of Manchester on FindAPhD.com PhD Project - Beyond Forecasting: Using MRP (multi-level regression with post-stratification) to investigate minority political behaviour at The University of Manchester, listed on FindAPhD.com

*Academics of Bluesky:* Do you know a great UG/PG student with excellent quants skills?

@nspmartin.bsky.social and I are advertising a great fully-funded PhD on MRP and minority voting with our friends at Ipsos, so send them our way! ✌️

www.findaphd.com/phds/project...

03.03.2026 16:16 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 35 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Power in Fossil Fuel Supply-Side Policy: Closing Down and Opening Up Opportunities to Phase Out Fossil Fuel Production Abstract. Supply-side climate policy initiatives that restrict fossil fuel production are gathering momentum. A growing body of academic scholarship seeks to understand this new frontier in global cli...

Check out our new article "Power in Fossil Fuel Supply-Side Policy: Closing Down and Opening Up Opportunities to Phase Out Fossil Fuel Production" co-authored with @peternewell.bsky.social @freddiedaley.bsky.social and Daniela Soto Hernandez in @gepjournal.bsky.social direct.mit.edu/glep/article...

02.03.2026 17:10 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

The Labour leadership have resumed campaigning for the Green Party. www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026...

02.03.2026 09:26 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Suspect May is going to be a happy time to be Green. Or Plaid. Or SNP. Or LD. Or anyone on the left except Labour really

28.02.2026 09:44 πŸ‘ 230 πŸ” 45 πŸ’¬ 23 πŸ“Œ 3

I think it's a deeper cultural issue in Labour. So few of them seem to be able to count to more than two, i.e. understand politics outside a Labour-Tory frame. When they see people not voting Labour, they blame those voters, thus alienating them further. extraordinary lack of political imagination

27.02.2026 18:33 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

And everyone in that constituency got umpteen leaflets with Labour saying the Greens can't win here (GP did the same in reverse to be clear, they just turned out to be correct), so somehow magically Galloway changed all that ...

27.02.2026 18:29 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It's also so transparently in contradiction to the messaging of around half their leaflets which boldly state that the Greens can't win in the election. which everyone in that constituency got in spades!

27.02.2026 18:28 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Towards a circular economy of plastic: exploring the vital role of everyday household disposal This article draws on a three-year interdisciplinary project exploring UK household waste to illuminate the crucial yet underexplored role of the household in improving recycling rates. We highligh...

πŸ‘β™»οΈ New Article Accepted!

Towards a circular economy of plastic: exploring the vital role of everyday household disposal.

Helen Holmes & Torik Holmes, with Michael Shaver & Kris Kortsen, share insights on recycling & supply chain misalignment.

πŸ”— doi.org/10.1080/2325...

27.02.2026 15:31 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Spot on by @robfordmancs.bsky.social as usual

27.02.2026 17:43 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Nevertheless it is such a weird take. And shows how deluded he is (the dog whistle won’t be his first time of course) about why and where Labour is so unpopular. And by attacking the GP in this way he is attacking the people he should be trying to court. Barmy.

27.02.2026 17:41 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Hannah Spencer: the Green MP speaking to everyday people’s frustrations Winner of Gorton and Denton byelection was driven into politics by growing gap between super-rich and the β€˜rest of us’

The small, brave band of MPs who represent the trampled, not the tramplers, has a very welcome new member.

We should all ask ourselves why, in a supposed democracy, such representatives are so rare.

www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

27.02.2026 13:26 πŸ‘ 2042 πŸ” 499 πŸ’¬ 52 πŸ“Œ 16
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Volume 26 Issue 1 | Global Environmental Politics | MIT Press

There are journal issues...and then there are journal issues! The truly epic 25th Anniversary Special Issue of the GEP journal, titled "Continuity and Change in Global Environmental Politics," is now live and free to read for the next 90 days through @mitpress.bsky.social.

25.02.2026 15:25 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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🎈 We're celebrating one year of the JUST Centre: A year of collaboration, community energy and new thinking on climate justice across the North of England and beyond.

πŸ‘‡ Take a look at our researchers’ reflections on the journey so far

26.02.2026 11:41 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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State capacities for decarbonization: from investable transitions to green transformations Researchers increasingly invoke the concept of β€˜state capacity’ to analyze how and when states pursue decarbonization and renewable energy policies. Drawing on a review of recent climate governance...

The literature on state capacity for decarbonization has grown so much since I started my PhD back in 2020, so this review has been rewritten so many times (and I had to cut a lot in this final iteration). Hope I’ve done it justice. Available open access here πŸ”“ www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

25.02.2026 13:47 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
Empty lecture hall seats. Photo by Zsofia Hajnal via Unsplash

Empty lecture hall seats. Photo by Zsofia Hajnal via Unsplash

πŸ“…πŸŒŽ Bookmark this post to save the important dates that climate researchers and academics need to know about in 2026: tyndall.ac.uk/news/the-com...

25.02.2026 10:55 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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AI vs. Net Zero: The UK’s Next Climate Battle As a data centre construction boom sweeps the UK, creating soaring electricity demands that threaten to decimate climate targets, opportunist politicians and commentators are using this new…

New from @desmog.com: AI vs. Net Zero

Opponents of climate action are seizing on the AI boom to attack the UK government’s clean energy goals and push more fossil fuels.

25.02.2026 11:00 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0