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Alan Swallow

@alanswallow

Retired pension risk manager, actuary, with an interest in wider economy. England rugby fan, who likes the French. And Spain. Likes balance.

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27.10.2023
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Latest posts by Alan Swallow @alanswallow

“Fascism does not, generally speaking, believe in the possibility or utility of perpetual peace...War alone keys up all human energies to their maximum tension and sets the seal of nobility on those peoples who have the courage to face it.” The Doctrine of Fascism, 1932.

12.03.2026 16:39 👍 140 🔁 67 💬 4 📌 7
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A tax barrister sued me personally for £8m for libel after we linked him to a tax avoidance scheme.

Today the High Court struck out the claim, granted summary judgment, and ruled it was a SLAPP. The judgment is highly critical.

11.03.2026 12:58 👍 1705 🔁 322 💬 72 📌 26
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Shift in the Gulf Stream could signal ocean current collapse Models show that as the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation gets weaker, the Gulf Stream will drift northwards. There are signs that this is already happening, and a more abrupt shift could wa...

Time to get a move on with the renewable evolution.
www.newscientist.com/article/2518...

07.03.2026 10:08 👍 56 🔁 36 💬 5 📌 2
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Anyone who wants Britain to join the war in Iran needs their head examined They don't know what they want to achieve, why they're doing it or what the consequences might be. They are lost in the void.

Anyone who wants Britain to join the war in Iran needs their head examined open.substack.com/pub/iandunt/...

06.03.2026 07:44 👍 2055 🔁 526 💬 103 📌 63
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FT comments section this morning - saying what everyone else is thinking, right?

05.03.2026 07:15 👍 17231 🔁 6010 💬 517 📌 493
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The first part of the statement covering background and what has happened.

02.03.2026 15:45 👍 31 🔁 10 💬 1 📌 2
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Bonds are no port in this storm, as inflation fears intensify

“We are seeing bonds again failing to provide protection against risk-off events, even as gold delivers,” said one HF investor
www.ft.com/content/b4ad...

02.03.2026 16:25 👍 37 🔁 19 💬 4 📌 5
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Hillary Destroys the Republicans They’d soon regret sending her a subpoena.

If you haven’t read it, Hillary Clinton’s opening statement is powerful stuff.

open.substack.com/pub/borowitz...

28.02.2026 11:27 👍 25 🔁 11 💬 1 📌 1

Fantastic photo. Love them. See one or two who roam the hills at top of our road. They appear close to the main roads from time to time.
Though the much larger Red Kites have also become quite a common site too. If you look.

20.02.2026 19:07 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

It affects me massively.
Without it there is no one to care for my father in law who has dementia.
And insufficient staff to pay for my state pension when it starts in near future.
And my father’s death last year would have been a whole lot worse without the staffing of NHS that relies on them.

14.02.2026 21:37 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

My mother in law didn’t speak any English until she was 18. But she did speak Welsh. I see the census has 161,000 in England and Wales don’t speak any English.

13.02.2026 11:29 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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BBC Verify: Fact-checking Farage's claim that one million in UK 'don't speak any English’ Latest updates from the BBC's specialists in fact-checking, verifying video and tackling disinformation.

Farage's lies about people not speaking English factchecked here.

NB Farage also claimed that "four million speak barely passable English" - this too is a lie.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/c1...

13.02.2026 11:13 👍 325 🔁 152 💬 49 📌 7
Illustration showing a side profile of a human head with red, branching blood vessels extending through the brain and face against a red background. Text below reads: “Why covid-19 is ‘a vascular disease masquerading as a respiratory one’.”

Illustration showing a side profile of a human head with red, branching blood vessels extending through the brain and face against a red background. Text below reads: “Why covid-19 is ‘a vascular disease masquerading as a respiratory one’.”

Why COVID-19 is “a vascular disease masquerading as a respiratory one”

“The virus enters through the airways but exerts its systemic effects through the vasculature, the common denominator in the lungs, heart, kidneys, and brain,” Benest tells The BMJ.

Source: www.bmj.com/content/392/...

11.02.2026 06:00 👍 181 🔁 102 💬 2 📌 5
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Flawed economic models mean climate crisis could crash global economy, experts warn States and financial bodies using modelling that ignores shocks from extreme weather and climate tipping points

“The climate scientists we surveyed were unambiguous: current economic models can’t capture what matters most – the cascading failures and compounding shocks that define climate risk in a warmer world – and could undermine the very foundations of economic growth.”

09.02.2026 21:10 👍 104 🔁 45 💬 2 📌 3
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06.02.2026 07:52 👍 49 🔁 15 💬 2 📌 2

I agree with the piece that's what the balance sheet hysterics are about. It's about deregulating the financial sector a lot. If I recall correctly, it was Main Street who got slammed the last time they went overboard with that.

03.02.2026 16:33 👍 28 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 0

The age of reason. (?)

29.01.2026 19:03 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

What was the amount he needed to pay to HMRC subsequent to having been found to be careless with his tax affairs? Was it c£5m including any penalties? Past news feeds seem to say so.

12.01.2026 15:21 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Then perhaps could be a chain of events across other hospitals as they work out the impact of those new allocations on their own functionality.
So perhaps about how some in the NHS try to maximise their resources, and how that plays out under stress? And the media would just take it at face value?

08.01.2026 20:29 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Is perhaps the answer just a simple one. It was about budgets for hospitals. And then the media exaggerated the position, for whatever reasons they may have. Eg Birmingham hospitals called a critical incident. This, I think, puts in play different resource allocations for them at a crucial time.

08.01.2026 20:29 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Prof Helen Thompson (Cambridge) on @BBCRadio4 today - and I paraphrase:

This is not about oil.

It's about AI.

This is the first of AI wars between the big powers due to the sector's huge demand for energy....

05.01.2026 10:46 👍 13 🔁 3 💬 3 📌 1

I am not an expert is international diplomacy, by any stretch, but the current argument sweeping Bsky, that "the UK gov't must demonstrate it recognises just how aggressive, dangerous, and unpredictable Trump's US has become, by poking Trump publicly in the eye" is not entirely rational.

05.01.2026 10:48 👍 367 🔁 48 💬 62 📌 9

Trump's actions in Venezuela shows why it was wrong to dismiss his threats to Greenland. If he's willing to do this, he will be willing to do anything

03.01.2026 09:45 👍 2708 🔁 741 💬 113 📌 41

Un ataque militar unilateral para vulnerar la soberanía de un país es injustificable, sea en Palestina, Ucrania o Venezuela. Hay que volver urgentemente al derecho internacional y a un mundo basado en reglas, diálogo y cooperación.

03.01.2026 09:46 👍 648 🔁 226 💬 27 📌 9
A female Sparrowhawk in flight at eye level showing her yellow eye and feet

A female Sparrowhawk in flight at eye level showing her yellow eye and feet

I was thrilled to get this photo of a female Sparrowhawk as it shot through RSPB Greylake this lunchtime! 😍😊🐦
#Birds 🪶

30.12.2025 18:09 👍 566 🔁 69 💬 8 📌 3
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<em>Immunology & Cell Biology</em> | ASI Journal | Wiley Online Library Public trust and cooperation in infectious disease control rest on three pillars: engagement, vaccine communication, and data presentation. Together, these foundations support resilient and inclusive....

New peer-reviewed paper by me, @sheencr.bsky.social and @martinmckee.bsky.social about effective communication and public engagement around infectious diseases and vaccines.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

14.12.2025 11:35 👍 138 🔁 65 💬 3 📌 6

On top of this community care is scarce and clogs up hospitals. Much more resource is needed in community at front and back end. This will help hospitals dramatically.

12.12.2025 09:01 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Had 4 elderly parents in the system over last 3 years. 2 have died in hospital. 1 in hospital now. The fourth has a disability. Across the piece I see staff working tirelessly but within what for me is a structure that gets in the way of good care.

12.12.2025 09:01 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Issue at A&E that keeps ambulances on tarmac is the move to self reporting check in screens at A&E. When you are 30th in the GP queue at 8.00.01 am and 111 process is very slow many just go to A&E for inappropriate cases. But all check-ins need to be seen my medical staff. And very bad at weekends.

12.12.2025 09:01 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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A&E waiting times are shocking. Over 50,000 people in England waited more than 12 hours in November, after the decision to admit. But that has been the case for each of the last 3 winters! And the system is failing to recover in the summer.

We need to acknowledge the systemic issue, not blame flu.

12.12.2025 07:26 👍 55 🔁 18 💬 5 📌 0