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Stef Espeel

@stefespeel

Famines, epidemics and their economic impact in a late medieval (urban) context PhD in History | Postdoc FWO Vlaanderen | @UAntwerp

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29.10.2024
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Latest posts by Stef Espeel @stefespeel

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Tweehonderd tonnen mest elk jaar: “Niet omscheppen tot we komen kijken!” - bladspiegel Arnoud Jensen (UAntwerpen & UGent) bestudeerde de huur van landbouwgrond in de late middeleeuwen in onze streken.

🚜Hoe duurzaam sprong de middeleeuwse boer om met zijn grond?

In aanloop naar zijn doctoraatsverdediging op 12 februari schreef CSG-lid Arnoud Jensen een blogpost voor de faculteitsblog 'Bladspiegel'.

👉Lees de blog hier:
blog.uantwerpen.be/bladspiegel/...

30.01.2026 11:28 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

The final review concludes with the key role of the grain market in this 'Age of Shocks', especially in an as urbanised society as Flanders in this century.

This research was done at the @urbanhistoryua.bsky.social under the supervision of @tsoens.bsky.social & Alexis Wilkin (ULB)

Happy reading!

06.10.2025 08:13 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The fourth part focuses on the large landlords, but analyses the production of grain, with decision-making regarding demesne farming and leasehold patterns being central here.

06.10.2025 08:13 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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The third part examines the role of large Flemish landlords in the grain trade: what do all the prices in their accounting records signify, and how did they strategise their grain sales and thus the distribution of grain?

06.10.2025 08:13 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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After an introductory part, the second part analyses the evolution of the grain prices, with a special focus on the price integration over this period and how this influenced hunger levels during several crisis periods.

06.10.2025 08:13 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Prices and Crises

New book publication ❗ 📖

Last month, my first monograph was published by the Académie royale de Belgique.

It is a slightly reworked version of my PhD, focusing on the grain prices and the grain economy of 14th-C Flanders 🌿

#medievalsky #graineconomy #MiddleAges

For the contents, see below 👇

06.10.2025 08:13 👍 12 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 0

Epidemics hit harder for those already struggling. New article by colleague @stefespeel.bsky.social maps the impact of medieval plagues on household budgets. Very interesting🧵 below 👇

05.03.2025 18:07 👍 3 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0

📍Additionally, regional disparities emerged: larger cities (Bruges/Ghent) experienced relatively milder crises than those in the south (Lille/Douai/Cambrai), where institutional differences influenced the extent of food insecurity.

A more detailed discussion is in the article. Happy reading!

11/11

05.03.2025 12:14 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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💀 The first three plague outbreaks of the mid-fourteenth century in Flanders were closely tied to episodes of hunger, though the intensity and length of food shortages varied. Disease mortality meets deprivation.

The plague of 1360–61 stands out as particularly severe for this region.

10/11

05.03.2025 12:14 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

All of these factors could influence the purchasing power of urban households relying on market purchases for their food provisioning.

❗Nonetheless, this article has some important contributions and findings:

9/11

05.03.2025 12:14 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Wages in the building sector also do not (necessarily) represent other sectors, and certain work was seasonal and could not be done all year round.

People also tend to resort to a 'substitution mechanism': purchasing cheaper food variants in times when the staple food is more expensive.

8/11

05.03.2025 12:14 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Some caveats: for the late Middle Ages, we have to work with a limited amount of data. Household composition & the contribution of each member to its budget is in many cases obscure, especially for this region and for women and children (in Flanders).

7/11

05.03.2025 12:14 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Combined with calorific deficits, I can study the chronology, duration, and intensity of these episodes of food shortage during plague outbreaks.

The pestis secunda stands out as the harshest episode among the three in this region.

6/11

05.03.2025 12:14 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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As an example, the pestis secunda (1360-61) shows that households of unskilled labourers get into trouble early on, and their inability to provide enough calories for their families persists for some years.

In contrast, the skilled labourers do not get into real trouble, even during the peak.

5/11

05.03.2025 12:14 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

I have computed a "welfare ratio" of an average household of (un)skilled building labourers (w/ biases) using the monthly grain price averages.

When these ratios surpass the 60 or 80% threshold, households (completely reliant on market purchases) have trouble providing for their families.

4/11

05.03.2025 12:14 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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📍🗺️ Geographically, I have compared the cities of Bruges, Ghent, Lille, Douai and Cambrai.

⏲️Temporally, the plague waves of 1349-1352 (Black Death in Flanders), 1360-1361 (the 'pestis secunda'), and 1367-1370 were studied.

3/11

05.03.2025 12:14 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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It is a part of a Special Issue on "Household, Family, and Community Responses to the Direct Costs of Epidemics".

The article focuses on monthly grain prices - unique for Continental Europe in this period - to assess changes in household purchasing power during these demographic shocks.

2/11

05.03.2025 12:14 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Plague and hunger. Epidemic-induced pressures on household purchasing power in fourteenth-century Flanders In the late Middle Ages, surging grain prices frequently triggered subsistence crises, as grain was the primary staple of nutrition. When these price shocks coincided with major mortality peaks fro...

🚨New publication alert🚨

My study on the short-term changes in purchasing power in the county of Flanders during the Black Death and two subsequent plague outbreaks is now out in The History of the Family. doi.org/10.1080/1081...

#BlackDeath #plague #hunger #purchasingpower #medievalstudies

1/11 🧵

05.03.2025 12:14 👍 13 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 3
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Ongelijkheid aan de universiteit is toegenomen: ‘We zitten weer op het niveau van voor 1950’ Wie geboren werd tussen 1970 en 1994 in de hoge middenklasse, heeft vijf keer zoveel kans om een masterdiploma te halen als een generatiegenoot uit een arbeidersgezin. Dat blijkt uit onderzoek van de ...

Onderzoek van VUB sociologen over ongelijkheid in het hoger onderwijs: de universiteiten bedienen vooral de middenklasse, alleen tussen 1950 en 70 was er sprake van democratisering www.demorgen.be/nieuws/ongel...

03.12.2024 19:21 👍 2 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0

Late medieval plague waves as a universal killer? ☠️ Or was it selective to age, sex or wealth? 🤔

10 days left to submit a paper proposal for this special issue!

Do not hesitate to spread the message to anyone of interest.

20.11.2024 09:53 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

I would like to be added please!

14.11.2024 05:43 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

the biggest mystery in the history of the Second - Medieval - Plague Pandemic: was plague indeed a universal killer? Or was it selective with regard to age, gender, wealth....? We are preparing a special issue on this topic. Contributions welcome!

31.10.2024 16:46 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Feel free to spread the word and circulate this call amongst other relevant networks!

31.10.2024 13:23 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Selective bibliography:

31.10.2024 13:23 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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❗ Call for Papers ❗

📖💀"The Fortunate and the Forsaken: Selective Mortality in pre-1500 Pandemics"💀📖

(Guest-editors: myself, @tsoens.bsky.social & Sam Geens)

📅Want to participate? Abstracts deadline: 1 December 2024📅

#CFP #plague #mortality #medievalhistory #pandemics #selectivity

31.10.2024 13:23 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 2