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1/3 As cesses and surcharges rise, discretionary transfers expand, and conditional schemes proliferate, States face growing uncertainty in planning public spending and investment. What looks like a technical budget issue is fast becoming a macroeconomic and institutional risk.
#Budget2026 #BPIBudget

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BasisPointInsight.com - What the Union Budget 2026 Can—and Should Not—Do for AI by Kunal Tyagi The Budget cannot outspend Big Tech on compute, but it can shape demand, lower adoption barriers, and steer public spending toward areas where India can build real AI capability. by Kunal Tyagi, Basis...

The Budget cannot outspend Big Tech on compute, but it can shape demand, lower adoption barriers, and steer public spending toward areas where India can build real AI capability.

Read Kunal Tyagi’s column for BasisPoint 👇

#Budget2026 #BPIBudget #AIpolicy #IndiaAI

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1/3 This Budget is about more than numbers. The upcoming fiscal year could mark India’s shift from post-pandemic repair to a durable, growth-led fiscal framework.

#Budget2026 #BPIBudget

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BasisPointInsight.com - Why Carbon Markets Are Failing the World’s Farmers and What Budget Can Do About It by Arvind Mayaram Despite rapid growth, carbon markets exclude smallholder farmers by design. Budget 2026 can fix this by funding public MRV, institutional aggregation, and risk sharing. by Arvind Mayaram, BasisPointIn...

2/3 Union Budget 2026 can change this by treating agri-MRV as public infrastructure and empowering FPOs and SHGs to aggregate farmer action.

#BPIBudget #CarbonMarkets #ClimateFinance

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Budget 2026: India's Manufacturing Conundrum I Rajesh Mahapatra ft. Ajay Shankar
Budget 2026: India's Manufacturing Conundrum I Rajesh Mahapatra ft. Ajay Shankar YouTube video by BasisPoint Insight

1/2 To fix India's manufacturing conundrum, the upcoming Union Budget must pivot from providing piece-meal subsidies to a systemic reduction in the cost of production, focusing specifically on logistics, energy, and competitive exchange rates.

#Budget2026 #bpibudget

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BasisPointInsight.com - Budget Unlikely to Offer any Succour to Capital Markets by Chokkalingam G Despite a ₹50-trillion market-cap wipeout, fiscal constraints, weak tax buoyancy and currency pressures leave little room for the Budget 2026 to offer direct relief to capital markets. by Chokkalingam...

1/3 Despite a ₹50-trillion erosion in market capitalisation since last year’s peak, fiscal math leaves little space for capital-market sops. Cuts in STT, capital gains tax or dividend taxation look unlikely as tax buoyancy weakens and currency pressures rise.

#Budget2026 #BPIBudget

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BasisPointInsight.com - The Budget Through a Political Lens by Rajesh Ramachandran With key elections due in states considered difficult terrain for the ruling BJP, the Budget could double as a political opportunity. by Rajesh Ramachandran, BasisPointInsight.com

1/3 As Union Budget 2026–27 approaches, economics and electoral arithmetic are colliding. With key state elections ahead—many in difficult terrain for the BJP—policy announcements risk doubling as political signalling.

#Budget2026 #BPIBudget

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BasisPointInsight.com - Transforming India's Grid for a Renewable Future by Sharmila Chavaly India’s renewable push is running ahead of grid readiness. As variability strains stability, the Budget must pivot from capacity addition to firm power, storage and grid modernisation to secure reliab...

2/3 Budget 2026 is the moment to pivot—from chasing megawatts to building reliability. That means firm power (including nuclear), grid-scale storage, faster transmission build-out, AI-enabled grid management, and real DISCOM reform.

#Budget2026 #BPIBudget #EnergyTransition

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BasisPointInsight.com - Net-Zero or Clean Air? India’s Climate Challenge Is About Timing, Not Tradeoffs by Amitrajeet A. Batabyal* India’s climate dilemma isn’t net-zero versus clean air. The real challenge is aligning capital, policy and timing to deliver health gains now and decarbonisation later.   by Amitrajeet A. Batabyal* ,...

1/4 India’s climate challenge is often framed as a choice between long-term net-zero goals and short-term clean air. That framing is misleading.

#Budget2026 #BPIBudget

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BasisPointInsight.com - Budget Must Treat Critical Minerals as Economic and Security Assets by G. Chandrashekhar India’s growth and security now depend on critical minerals. This Budget must move past intent and set out how the country plans to secure supply. by G. Chandrashekhar, BasisPointInsight.com

1/2 India’s growth ambitions and security priorities are converging on a single constraint: access to critical minerals.

What once looked like a distant supply issue now sits at the heart of the energy transition, manufacturing strategy and defence planning.

#Budget2026 #BPIBudget

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BasisPointInsight.com - When Private Credit Becomes India’s Financial Morphine by Srinath Sridharan Private credit is emerging as India’s fast-growing financial instrument at a time when global equity capital is cautious, and exits are under sharper scrutiny. by Srinath Sridharan, BasisPointInsight...

2/2 Read @ssmumbai.bsky.social’s column for BasisPoint:
When Private Credit Becomes Financial Morphine

#Budget2026 #BPIBudget #PrivateCredit #FinancialStability #IndiaMacro

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BasisPointInsight.com - PSB Mergers: Bigger Balance Sheets, But Not Quite Better Banks by K. Srinivasa Rao India’s public sector bank mergers created scale and stability, but five years on, credit growth, competition, and inclusion suggest consolidation alone cannot deliver global champions. by K. Srinivas...

1/2 Five years after consolidation, India’s public sector banks are safer and better capitalised, but not meaningfully more competitive or bold in credit delivery. Bigger balance sheets haven’t created global champions.

#Budget2026 #BPIBudget #PublicSectorBanks #BankMergers

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1/2 The real test of Budget 2026 isn’t the deficit number or capex headline. It’s whether India’s economic institutions are ready for sustained volatility—from tariff shocks and AI disruption to climate transition and an informal workforce.

#Budget2026 #BPIBudget #EconomicStatecraft #IndiaMacro

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BasisPointInsight.com - Copying the iPhone Model Will Fail Auto Component Manufacturing by Krishnadevan V India’s iPhone export success tempts copycat policy, but auto components need standards, engineering depth, and integration, not anchor clients by Krishnadevan V, BasisPointInsight.com

1/5 India cracked the iPhone code with $50B in exports, proving we can execute at scale. Now policy wants to replicate that for auto components, targeting $60B by 2030. It won't work the same way.

#Budget2026 #BPIBudget

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BasisPointInsight.com - How Federal Drift Is Starving Strategic Priorities by TK Arun As the Centre expands into state subjects, defence, R&D and strategic autonomy suffer. India’s budget problem is not size, but misplaced priorities. by TK Arun, BasisPointInsight.com

1/3 India’s strategic challenge today is not just geopolitical, it is fiscal. As the Centre steadily expands spending into areas constitutionally assigned to states, resources for core national priorities—defence, advanced technology and R&D—are being squeezed.

#Budget2026 #BPIBudget

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BasisPointInsight.com - Budget’s Bond Test Lies in Solving the States’ Borrowing Problem by Yield Scribe With ₹30.5 trillion of bond supply looming, would it make more sense for the federal government to borrow on behalf of states? by Yield Scribe , BasisPointInsight.com

1/2 The real test for Budget 2026 will be whether it recognises state borrowing as the fulcrum of the yield equation. With ₹30.5 trillion of bond supply looming, the more pressing question is whether it makes sense for the Centre to borrow on behalf of states.

#Budget2026 #BPIBudget

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