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Interview with Richard Carrier: The Quest for the Historical Jesus Part 1—Historical Method and the Question of Jesus - The Freethinker Richard Carrier has a PhD in Ancient History and the History of Philosophy from Columbia University. He specialises…

The Freethinker's 1st of a series on my 3 books on the #historicity of #Jesus :

Proving History: Bayes's Theorem & the Quest for the Historical Jesus (2012)

On method & how & why historians are dropping the ball on it.

freethinker.co.uk/2026/02/inte...

#philosophy #BayesTheorem #history

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Asked to inspire a group of AP Stats students.
January drudgery.
Spent time on Monty Hall Problem. Nobody got it. Skeptics! So I used Bayes' theorem to prove it. I also drew pictures of doors. Monty's actions are NOT random. THAT selection is key. Lots of nodding heads! 🚪 #stats #Bayestheorem

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Ever wonder how AI can boost doctors’ accuracy? By applying conditional probability and Bayes’ Theorem, LLMs are sharpening medical diagnosis. Dive into the math behind smarter health AI! #ConditionalProbability #BayesTheorem #MedicalAI

🔗 aidailypost.com/news/conditi...

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Public Zoom on Josephus and Bayes • Richard Carrier Blogs This video is now publicly available. I am keeping the original announcement below. But to watch see The Knowledge Nexus. The de-animated slides are available here (but the usual advisory: the slides ...

My #bayesian #Josephus lecture and slideshow are now available. See my original post for details:

www.richardcarrier.info/archives/39266

#history #HistoricalMethods #BayesTheorem

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Public Zoom on Josephus and Bayes • Richard Carrier Blogs This Saturday I’ll be giving a free public lecture online:  “Josephus on Jesus: How Likely Fake? A Bayesian Tutorial in Historical Reasoning.” I’ll analyze the two passages in Josephus supposedly ment...

This Saturday I'll be lecturing on the #authenticity of the major & minor #testimoniumflavianum in #Josephus using #bayesian methods of #history as #BayesTheorem elucidates why attempts to defend these passage are illogical. Public Zoom w Q&A.

Join us!

www.richardcarrier.info/archives/39266

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Basics of Bayes: Understanding Bayesian Thinking Through Everyday Reasoning — Simply Put Psych Bayes Theorem feels complex, but its logic mirrors how people naturally update beliefs. We explain Bayesian reasoning through real-life examples before introducing the formula, making Bayes intuitive ...

Bayesian statistics intimidate many students, but the logic is intuitive. We use it every day.

If you're struggling, stop staring at P(H|E). We'll walk you through the everyday human reasoning that mirrors Bayesian updating, then we'll hit you with the math.

#BayesTheorem #Psychology #Statistics

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Bayes’ Rule Goes Quantum: A 250-Year-Old Theory Learns New Tricks An international team of researchers has identified a quantum counterpart to Bayes’ rule. The likelihood you assign to an event is influenced by what you already believe about the surrounding conditions....

Bayes’ Rule Goes Quantum: A 250-Year-Old Theory Learns New Tricks #Science #Mathematics #BayesTheorem #QuantumMechanics #DataScience

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The courts need to update their priors.

#BayesTheorem

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Man måste hålla koll på sina "prior probabilities" innan man tvärsäkert säger att t ex en attentatsman är "vänster"eller "höger". #bayestheorem

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What Bayes’ Theorem Really Says About the Resurrection (feat Brian Blais/Than Christopoulos resp)
What Bayes’ Theorem Really Says About the Resurrection (feat Brian Blais/Than Christopoulos resp) YouTube video by Paulogia

-- Why Am I SO BAD at Resurrection MATH?!? (feat Dr Brian Blais) (Than Christopoulos response) --
(from @paulogia.bsky.social)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=v6Qe...

#Resurrection #Jesus #mathematics #probability #BayesTheorem #apologetics #Christianity

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#gametheoryoptimum things with some varying amount of bayesian probability #gto #bayestheorem

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For the visual learners among you.
#mathematics #math #probability #BayesTheorem
Source:https://x.com/DailyDoseOfDS_/status/1897990414365606042

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My Beliefs, My Priors, Good Evidence can change priors

#bayestheorem

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Well if the future crime rate is 10% it only has to predict “no crime” 100% of the time. :) #bayestheorem

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Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal - Bayesian

“Sometimes I change my opinion, and when I do I feel like it’s the result of math.” #StrictBayesian #BayesTheorem www.smbc-comics.com/comic/bayesian

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Depending, #science makes our thinking stronger; education generally does; learning not always; experience sometimes weakens: #BayesTheorem? #SharedFacts

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Depending, #science makes our thinking stronger; education generally does; learning not always; experience sometimes weakens: #BayesTheorem? #SharedFacts

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#Science makes our thinking stronger; education generally does; learning not always; experience sometimes weakens: #BayesTheorem + #EmotionLogic #TraumaticStress #SharedFacts #UnlearningIsDifficult

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#Science makes our thinking stronger; education generally does; learning not always; experience sometimes weakens: #BayesTheorem + #EmotionLogic #TraumaticStress

#SharedFacts #UnlearningIsDifficult

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Depending, #science makes our thinking stronger; education generally does; learning not always; experience sometimes weakens: #BayesTheorem? #SharedFacts

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#science makes our thinking stronger; education generally does; learning not always; experience sometimes weakens: #BayesTheorem + #EmotionLogic #TraumaticStress #SharedFacts

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Depending, #science makes our thinking stronger; education generally does; learning not always; experience sometimes weakens: #BayesTheorem? #SharedFacts

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#Science makes our thinking stronger; education generally does; learning not always; experience sometimes weakens: #BayesTheorem + #EmotionLogic #TraumaticStress #SharedFacts #UnlearningIsDifficult

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#science makes our thinking stronger; education generally does; learning not always; experience sometimes weakens: #BayesTheorem + #EmotionLogic #TraumaticStress #SharedFacts

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#science makes our thinking stronger; education generally does; learning not always; experience sometimes weakens: #BayesTheorem + #EmotionLogic #TraumaticStress #SharedFacts

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#Science makes our thinking stronger; education generally does; learning not always; experience sometimes weakens: #BayesTheorem + #EmotionLogic #TraumaticStress

#SharedFacts #UnlearningIsDifficult

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#Science makes our thinking stronger; education generally does; learning not always; experience sometimes weakens: #BayesTheorem + #EmotionLogic #TraumaticStress #SharedFacts #UnlearningIsDifficult

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#Science makes our thinking stronger; education generally does; learning not always; experience sometimes weakens: #BayesTheorem + #EmotionLogic #TraumaticStress #SharedFacts #UnlearningIsDifficult

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Depending, #science makes our thinking stronger; education generally does; learning not always; experience sometimes weakens: #BayesTheorem? #SharedFacts

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#Science makes our thinking stronger; education generally does; learning not always; experience sometimes weakens: #BayesTheorem + #EmotionLogic #TraumaticStress

#SharedFacts #UnlearningIsDifficult

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