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The Saker Index: Incentive-Driven Weekly Mapping of Geopolitical Escalation Abstract. The Saker Index is an operational methodology for incentive-driven mapping of short-term geopolitical escalation. Drawing on a hierarchy of observable signals (costly vs cheap) the Index pri...

Introducing the Saker Index.

A framework for mapping geopolitical escalation through incentive-driven signals.

The model prioritizes costly operational signals over rhetorical indicators.

Preprint: doi.org/10.5281/zeno...

#Geopolitics #RiskAnalysis #GameTheory #ConflictModeling

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