Latest posts tagged with #ENDF on Bluesky
Has Abiy overreached? As #ENDF moves north, Fano & OLA are gaining ground in the security vacuum. Tensions with #Eritrea & #Tigray are rising, Sudan warns it may strike over drones, and UAE backing may weaken if the Iran war escalates. That’s a lot of fronts to manage.
Ethiopia’s next federal offensive appears focused on #Tigray, w Fano & the OLA capitalizing on #ENDF mobilization toward the north. A major war with #Eritrea looks complicated for now, while the risk of SAF reprisals over alleged ENDF backing of the RSF also appears to be rising.
The current balance of power in the Horn of Africa hinges on an uneasy triangle: the #Tigray Defense Forces, the Eritrean Defense Forces and the #ENDF. None can unilaterally overpower the other. In such a volatile landscape, it’s not ideals but ruthless pragmatism that dictate political calculus. 5/
Selective Outrage: ENDF’s Starvation Tactics in Amhara
It was well documented that #ENDF troops—alongside #Eritrean and #Amhara forces—contaminated food silos during the #Tigray war, sometimes mixing grain with sand and soil. Yet the same people who now feign outrage simply cheered at the time. 1/
Large deployments by the #ENDF aimed at encircling #Tigray & cutting it off from support via #Eritrea. Meanwhile, the TDF are said to have mobilized over 100,000 troops along key front lines, with Welkait and Southern Tigray emerging as major focal points.
Ethiopian Troops Mobilize on Tigray Border
“The #ENDF is encircling #Tigray,” a Western diplomatic source told Agence France-Presse, adding that Tigrayan forces “are also deploying toward their borders. Such large numbers of troops positioning themselves face to face is not a good sign,” he added.
If 75% of #ENDF is mobilized north to invade #Tigray & #Eritrea incl heavy mechanized divisions, the cost isn’t just tanks & fuel — it’s billions in spending, economic collapse risk & long-term reconstruction in the tens of billions. Multi-front war is a fiscal & human catastrophe
Ethiopia Mobilizes Nearly Its Entire Army Toward Tigray
#Ethiopia, aiming for a swift victory through combined‑arms maneuver, has mobilized nearly its entire army. In a mobilization not seen since the 1998–2000 #Eritrea war, up to 75% of the #ENDF is already redeployed — or en route — to #Tigray.
Tensions in #Tigray escalate: Ethiopia’s #ENDF 🇪🇹 recalls personnel who left in the past 3 yrs & ramps up troop deployments. Abiy has frozen #TPLF leaders’ bank accounts. Southern Tigray & Afar will likely play a key role as clashes rise — war could ignite soon. ⚠️🪖
In the Afar direction, a combined #ENDF army command—comprised of the Southern Command (led by Lieutenant General Solomon Etefa) and the Northeastern Command (led by Lieutenant General Asefa Chekol)—is at full combat readiness and approaching #Tigray from the east via Chifra. 3/
In the Southern #Tigray direction, two #ENDF commands stretching across the Dessie–Woldia–Kobo corridor are moving toward Raya. Two additional large forces—made up of Republican Guard units and the 3rd and 8th mechanized divisions—have achieved combat readiness in North Shewa. 2/
#DebreTabor reportedly falling to #Fano would be one of their largest urban gains yet, a major symbolic & logistical boost. For #ENDF, air strikes following withdrawals signal mounting difficulty holding territory in Amhara & a shift toward remote force rather than ground control
Reports from #Ethiopia indicate escalating tensions in the north: #Tigray facing restrictions on budget, food, and fuel, while large #ENDF reinforcements — including mechanized units — move north. At the same time, Fano activity is disrupting key roads. Risk of wider escalation is growing.
Yet in October 2021, he echoed the very words he attributes to Abiy—“we need to once and for all crush these people”—and rallied support for the #ENDF, though he now admits knowing of its atrocities in #Tigray a year prior. For #Amhara elites, hate-mongering and lies aren’t flaws—they’re tactics. 2/
Reports indicate Tigray Peace Force units advancing in southern #Tigray with alleged #ENDF air support to disrupt TPLF supply routes from Mekelle southward, while multiple ENDF drone strikes are reportedly occurring across parts of Tigray amid rising tensions. #Addis
The current balance of power in the Horn of Africa hinges on an uneasy triangle: the #Tigray Defense Forces, the Eritrean Defense Forces and the #ENDF. None can unilaterally overpower the other. In such a volatile landscape, it’s not ideals but ruthless pragmatism that dictate political calculus. 5/
“The report depicts that EDF shares 55.63% of the SGBV perpetrated on #Tigray women and girls, followed by 35.78% by ENDF, 5.75% by #Amhara forces, and 0.07% by Afar forces. Co-perpetration of SGBV by #ENDF, #EDF, #Amhara, and #Afar forces accounts for 2.89% of the total GBV committed.” 4/
Never Forget: Both Ethiopia, Eritrea Committed Tigray Genocide
The Commission of Inquiry on Tigray Genocide (CITG): “The report depicts that EDF shares 55.63% of the SGBV perpetrated on #Tigray women and girls, followed by 35.78% by #ENDF, 5.75% by #Amhara forces and 0.07% by #Afar forces.” 1/
“The report depicts that EDF shares 55.63% of the SGBV perpetrated on #Tigray women and girls, followed by 35.78% by ENDF, 5.75% by #Amhara forces, and 0.07% by Afar forces. Co-perpetration of SGBV by #ENDF, #EDF, #Amhara, and #Afar forces accounts for 2.89% of the total
GBV committed.” 4/
Never Forget: Both Ethiopia, Eritrea Committed Tigray Genocide
Commission of Inquiry on Tigray Genocide (CITG): “EDF shares 55.63% of the SGBV perpetrated on #Tigray women and girls, followed by 35.78% by #ENDF, 5.75% by #Amhara forces and 0.07% by Afar forces.” 1/
citghub.org/war-induced-...
Cheering Yesterday, Targeted Today: Amhara Women
The same #Amhara women that once cheered Fano, #ENDF and Eritrean forces as they commit sexual violence against hundreds of thousands of #Tigray women now face the violence of the very army they cheered. 1/
www.bbc.com/news/article...
#Ethiopia 🇪🇹: Tigray Defense Forces ( #TDF ) carrying out artillery rocket strikes against the Ethiopian Forces ( #ENDF ).
TDF fighters seemingly using #China made 🇨🇳 107mm Type 63 Rocket Launcher with Type 63-2 HE rockets —notably powered by the truck's battery.
#Ethiopia 🇪🇹: "Oromo Liberation Army" ( #OLA / #WBO ) reportedly raided Ethiopian Forces ( #ENDF ) positions and captured a large arsenal.
Seemingly OLA fighters also seized rare "UP-7.62" Universal Machine Guns —which were produced by #Azerbaijan 🇦🇿 and later supplied to the ENDF.
#Ethiopia 🇪🇹: "Oromo Liberation Army" ( #OLA / #WBO ) ambushed Ethiopian Forces ( #ENDF ); destroyed and looted vehicles in #Oromia Region.
OLA fighters were seemingly armed with a couple of captured KL-103 / AZ-7,62 assault rifles and numerous common AKM / Type 56-2 rifles.
#Eritrea & #Tigray fought each other during Tigraywar, so for #Abiy it was unthinkable they’d be allies. A strategic mistake: If they coordinate, even loosely, it creates a 2 front vulnerability (Fano in Amhara & Eritrea Tigray) forcing #ENDF into reactive, fragmented strategies
#Fano’s ability to mount a coordinated multi-front op in #Wollo suggests #ENDF intel did not fully anticipate the timing & scale. Abiy recently set up a command post on Eritrea due to lack of intel. While focused on Assab & being warned to no start war by the US EU, Wollo ignited
#Ethiopia 🇪🇹: #FANO Forces stormed multiple Ethiopian Army ( #ENDF ) positions in North Wollo, #Amhara Region.
FANO fighters captured #Azerbaijan made 🇦🇿 AZ-7,62 rifles, #Iran made 🇮🇷 "Hoshdar-M" sniper rifles, "KL-103" rifles, #China made 🇨🇳 Type 56-1 rifles and PKM machine guns.
Abiy Keeps Tigrayan Opposition on a Tight Leash
Several leaders of the so-called #Tigray Peace Forces, funded and armed by the federal gov’t, have been detained by the #ENDF. I guess Tacitus was right: “Traitors are hated even by those whom they prefer.”
www.africaintelligence.com/eastern-afri...
