#EconomicForecasts

Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT)

@kit.edu

1 month ago

New method makes #EconomicForecasts more understandable: Researchers at #KITKarlsruhe and HITS @hitsters.bsky.social are developing a transparent procedure that makes the uncertainty of economic forecasts visible.

Next Globe News

@nextnews05.bsky.social

5 months ago

Fed Poised to Cut Rates: What New Projections Reveal About Trump’s Economic Plan

full news :- bit.ly/46yvZyO

#FederalReserve #InterestRates #TrumpEconomy #Inflation #USEconomy #MonetaryPolicy #FedMeeting #RateCut #EconomicForecasts #news #photography

Next Globe News

@nextnews05.bsky.social

5 months ago

Fed Poised to Cut Rates: What New Projections Reveal About Trump’s Economic Plan.

full news :- bit.ly/46yvZyO

#FederalReserve #InterestRates #TrumpEconomy #Inflation #USEconomy #MonetaryPolicy #FedMeeting #RateCut #EconomicForecasts #news #photography

CTrend FX - Algorithmic Trading Solutions

@ctrendfx.bsky.social

6 months ago

What is the distribution of forecasts for the US NFP? The ranges of estimates are important in terms of market reaction because when the actual data deviates from the expectations, it creates a surprise effect. Anotherimportant input in market's reaction is the distribution of forecasts. In fact, although we can have a range of estimates, most forecasts might be clustered on the upper bound of the range, so even if the data comes out inside the range of estimates but on the lower bound of the range, it can still create a surprise effect. Non-Farm Payrolls * 0K-144K range of estimates * 60K-100K range most clustered * 75K consensus Unemployment Rate * 4.4% (1%) * 4.3% (59%) - consensus * 4.2% (39%) * 4.1% (1%) Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y * 3.9% (7%) * 3.8% (31%) * 3.7% (59%) - consensus * 3.4% (3%) Average Hourly Earnings M/M * 0.4% (5%) * 0.3% (91%) - consensus * 0.2% (4%) Average Weekly Hours * 34.4 (3%) * 34.3 (83%) - consensus * 34.2 (14%) Overall, expectations are dovish for this report and the positioning is diametrically opposite to the one we had in August. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

| etsy.me/3RHihSQ | ctrendfx.com #NFP #NonFarmPayrolls #EconomicForecasts #MarketReaction #UnemploymentRate

Citizen Portal News Virginia

@citizenptnewsva.bsky.social

7 months ago

Analysts Project Economic Trends with Inflation Peaking Near 5 Percent Experts predict inflation above 2 percent and a slight rise in unemployment rates.

Experts warn that inflation could peak near 5%, raising questions about retirement planning and investment strategies in an unpredictable economy.

Get the details!

#PortsmouthNorfolkCounty #VA #CitizenPortal #EconomicForecasts #InflationTrends #PortsmouthEconomy #RetirementPlanning

Profit Trading USA

@profittradingusa.bsky.social

7 months ago

Bessent says Fed forecasts ’politically biased’ WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Wednesday suggested without evidence that the Federal Reserve’s widely followed economic forecasts are motivated by politics, as the Trump administration steps up pressure on the U.S. central bank to cut interest rates. "The Fed publishes something called a summary of economic projections, and it’s pretty politically biased," Bessent said, summarizing the projections as forecasts for one to two quarter-point interest-rate cuts this year. President Donald Trump has demanded the Fed deliver an immediate 300 basis-point rate cut. The Fed publishes interest-rate forecasts from each of its 19 policymakers each quarter and does not identify which policymaker made which forecast. In June, eight projected two quarter-point interest-rate cuts this year, seven projected none, two saw one interest rate cut and two saw three. Two of the Fed Board’s Trump appointees - Governor Christopher Waller and Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman -- have each articulated economic reasons for supporting a rate cut this month. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, also a Trump appointee, has not signaled such support. Fed policymakers universally reject the idea that politics have any role in their monetary policy decisions, and say that to suggest they do undermines the central bank’s credibility and its ability to do its job fighting inflation and promoting maximum employment.

Click Subscribe. #FederalReserve #Economy #InterestRates #EconomicForecasts #PoliticalBias

Citizen Portal News US

@citizenptnewsus.bsky.social

8 months ago

Defense access road funding boosts military growth projections for 2037 Growth in military personnel and private sector jobs signals positive economic outlook.

Guam's military expansion is set to create a boom in private sector jobs, but will changes in federal funding impact crucial programs for older Americans?

Click to read more!

#US #EmploymentGrowth #CitizenPortal #EconomicForecasts #GuamEconomy #DefenseFunding

Citizen Portal News US

@citizenptnewsus.bsky.social

8 months ago

FOMC holds federal funds rate steady while revising GDP and unemployment forecasts FOMC maintains interest rates and revises economic forecasts based on recent data.

The Federal Reserve's latest decisions reveal a cautious approach as GDP forecasts dip and unemployment is set to rise—are we on the brink of a significant economic shift?

Click to read more!

#US #CitizenPortal #DataDrivenDecisions #MonetaryPolicy #EconomicForecasts #FederalReserve

Ongoing Now

@ongoingnow.com

9 months ago

Why Global Growth Dips to 2.3%: Money Moves to Win Global growth forecast to 2.3% signals risks for stock market 2025. Discover personal finance tips, investment strategies, and wealth management moves to thrive

Will global growth’s 2.3% dip hit your wallet? Uncover smart money moves for 2025! #StockMarket2025 #PersonalFinance #Investing #EconomicForecasts #OngoingNow24

Citizen Portal News New Hampshire

@citizenptnewsnh.bsky.social

10 months ago

New Hampshire Finance Committee debates Medicaid cuts and revenue forecasts for 2025 budget Committee discusses Medicaid reductions and forecasts for business taxes amid economic uncertainty.

The New Hampshire Senate Ways and Means Committee is grappling with tough decisions on Medicaid cuts and revenue forecasts that could shape the state's financial future.

Get the details!

#NH #MedicaidFunding #CitizenPortal #EconomicForecasts #NewHampshireSenate #BudgetPlanning

Citizen Portal News Massachusetts

@citizenptnewsma.bsky.social

10 months ago

Economists warn of recession risks impacting budget revenues and excise taxes Budget predictions face external risks from potential economic downturn and ongoing trade wars.

Budget talks in Barnstable County reveal looming recession risks that could shake up revenues and force a dip into reserves.

Click to read more!

#BarnstableCounty #MA #CitizenPortal #FiscalResponsibility #BarnstableCountyBudget #EconomicForecasts #TradeWars

Profit Trading USA

@profittradingusa.bsky.social

11 months ago

Walmart leaves annual forecasts unchanged amid Trump tariff woes WMT hereremove ads Latest comments Install Our AppScan QR code to install app Google Play App Store Blog Mobile Portfolio Widgets About Us Advertise Help & Support Authors Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks. Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed. Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website. It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website. Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.

Click Subscribe #Walmart #Tariffs #StockMarket #InvestorDay #EconomicForecasts

Profit Trading USA

@profittradingusa.bsky.social

11 months ago

Click Subscribe #EconomicForecasts #Tariffs #SPGlobal #StockMarket #Investing

CTrend FX - Algorithmic Trading Solutions

@ctrendfx.bsky.social

11 months ago

What is the distribution of forecasts for the US NFP? Why it's important? The ranges of estimates are important in terms of market reaction because when the actual data deviates from the expectations, it creates a surprise effect. Another important input in market's reaction is the distribution of forecasts. In fact, although we can have a range of estimates, most forecasts might be clustered on the upper bound of the range, so even if the data comes out inside the range of estimates but on the lower bound of the range, it can still create a surprise effect. Non-Farm Payrolls * 50K-185K range of estimates * 110K-155K range most clustered * 135K consensus Unemployment Rate * 4.2% (45%) * 4.1% (51%) - consensus * 4.0% (4%) Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y * 4.0% (38%) * 3.9% (59%) - consensus * 3.8% (3%) Average Hourly Earnings M/M * 0.4% (2%) * 0.3% (92%) - consensus * 0.2% (6%) Average Weekly Hours * 34.3 (3%) * 34.2 (68%) - consensus * 34.1 (29%) As I already mentioned in the previous days, this data is old news because it doesn't reflect yet the new hit to growth from Wednesday's tariffs announcement. I would expect the market to fade a positive report and increase the bearish momentum in case we get bad data. The focus should be on Fed Chair Powell's speech as he can turn the sentiment around by opening the door for cuts despite higher inflation or sink everything further if he remains on the sidelines. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

| ctrendfx.com | bit.ly/CTrendFX1 #NFP #NonFarmPayrolls #USEconomy #MarketReaction #EconomicForecasts

Brent Clanton

@brentclanton.bsky.social

11 months ago

Who do you believe when economic forecasts diverge??
Catch #TheRealInvestmentShow w Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz, starting at 6:06a CDT on KSEV AM 700 - The Voice of Texas, and streaming-live on YouTube:
www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInv...
#EconomicForecasts #GDPNow #Nowcast

CTrend FX - Algorithmic Trading Solutions

@ctrendfx.bsky.social

11 months ago

ECB Kazimir is speaking on Tuesday 0900 GMT/0500 US Eastern time * National Bank of Slovakia (Národná banka Slovenska), and therefore a member of the ECB's Governing Council, Governor Peter Kazimir is speaking * he'll be presenting the Slovak central bank's latest economic forecasts and speaking on his policy outlook This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

| ctrendfx.com | bit.ly/CTrendFX1 #ECB #PeterKazimir #EconomicForecasts #MonetaryPolicy #Slovakia

Citizen Portal News North Dakota

@citizenptnewsnd.bsky.social

11 months ago

Oil price forecasts suggest global production increase amid stable Bakken output Experts project oil prices to decline due to rising global production and stable Bakken output.

North Dakota's economic future hangs in the balance as oil production forecasts signal a troubling decline, raising urgent questions about state revenue and budget stability.

Click to read more!

#ND #NorthDakotaOil #ResourceManagement #EconomicForecasts #CitizenPortal #EnergyPolicy

Citizen Portal News New Mexico

@citizenptnewsnm.bsky.social

11 months ago

New Mexico officials warn of budget impacts from rising oil breakeven prices Officials discuss risks to New Mexico's budget amid rising oil breakeven prices and taxes.

New Mexico's oil industry faces a critical crossroads as lawmakers warn that rising breakeven prices and potential tax hikes could threaten its very survival.

Click to read more!

#NM #IndustryRegulations #TaxPolicy #EconomicForecasts #NewMexicoOilIndustry #CitizenPortal

Citizen Portal News Florida

@citizenptnewsfl.bsky.social

1 year ago

Fiscal forecast projects slight growth amidst rising transportation alternatives Forecast anticipates 1.1% revenue increase for FY25 due to changing tourism patterns

Florida's transportation revenues are on the rise, but shifting tourism trends could mean a bumpy road ahead.

Get the details!

#FL #EconomicForecasts #PublicTransportation #CitizenPortal #TourismTrends

Citizen Portal News Vermont

@citizenptnewsvt.bsky.social

1 year ago

State Budget Faces $120K Cut to Clean Water Fund from Meals and Rooms Tax Budget changes reduce Clean Water Fund by $120K due to downgraded meals and rooms tax.

Vermont's budget faces a $120,000 hit to the Clean Water Fund as economic forecasts downgrade the meals and rooms tax—what's the impact on our vital resources?

Click to read more!

#VT #VermontCleanWater #BudgetaryChallenges #CivicAccountability #EconomicForecasts #CitizenPortal