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Posts tagged #INFLATIONARY

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In the Iran war, good news is bad news for oil, Canada and our future The longer the conflict continues, the more it’s looking like an act of economic self-harm by the U.S., and Canadians will be collateral damage

β€œ #OilandGas account for about 1 per cent of #American #GDP, and some 7 per cent in #Canada; any gains that will arise in those relatively small sectors will be more than offset by the #inflationary effects in the rest of the #economy.” www.theglobeandmail.com/gift/24ca038... πŸŽπŸ”—

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Β« …. our normal demand-side monetary policy may not be able to ameliorate an #AI -caused #unemployment spell without also increasing #inflationary pressureΒ», chart #Fed Gov Lisa Cook
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...

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2 Desjardins: While #energyprices provided a significant drag, #inflationary pressures looked to be easing across a host of other categories too.
#CPI #usecon

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A sluggish #labor supply growth should help cap the #unemployment rate. All this limits the need for early #Fed easing, giving policymakers more time to assess the #inflationary impacts of #tariffs - chart #JPMorganAM

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A Wonkish Note on Tariffs and Inflation There isn’t really a puzzle here

β€œ …underestimate, because the #tariffs have discouraged #imports, which means that their impact on prices should have been larger than their impact on revenue.
But the revenue still serves, as I said, as a first-pass estimate of how much #inflationary impact we’d expect β€” around 0.8 percent..

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Research in #Sydney confirms what economists knew all along:

Once you install an Urban Growth Boundary you skyrocket the value of land within the boundary.

The action, which is often taken on a rationale of #sustainability or exclusion, is inherently #inflationary.

#planning #sprawl #zoning #UGB

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India's retail inflation rises to 1.33% in December Urban inflation rose sharply to 2.03% in December from 1.4% in November,

#Inflationary trends diverged across regions. Urban inflation rose sharply to 2.03% in December from 1.4% in November, while rural inflation firmed up to 0.76% from 0.10% over the same period.
www.newsinc24.com/business/ret...

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Sticky Bun got into a special type of pokepuff that may or may not have.. side effects..🎈
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#pokemon #pokesona #inflation #expansion #fatfur #pokemonart #inflationary

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Any time the money supply increases even if its through higher wages and low unemployment you'll have additional #inflationary pressures on the #economy. Stagflation is the worst because you have inflation without wage growth or anemic #economic growth as a whole that can be death spiral Ala 1970s.

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The Best Economics Books of 2025 The economic challenges we face today aren't the result of temporary shocks but structural changes that we need to grapple with, argues Jason Furman, a professor at Harvard and formerly the chief econ...

β€œ #Rogoff argues that the era in which the #dollar enjoyed unquestioned dominance alongside broad #global stability may be fading, and that erosion could bring more frequent or severe crisesβ€” #sovereigndebt problems, #inflationary episodes, and #financial #instability” fivebooks.com/best-books/t...

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EM CBs acted aggressively post #Covid19 to contain #inflationary pressures. #Bond investors are now reaping the rewards of these decisions, with EM #debt offering a significant real income pick up relative to DMs - chart #JPMorganAM

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OE Research expects downward pressure on #freight rates to continue through 2026, so the risk that #supplychain stress becomes #inflationary is small, notes #OxfordEconomics

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Well there goes the BS about #tariffs being a #tax paid by other countries. #America will be able to afford a cup of #coffee again….#Trump u turns under #inflationary pressure

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#China's #overcapacity

And the #impact

#Deflationary or #Inflationary?

acemaxxanalytics.substack.com/p/chinas-ove...

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Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 0.25% for second straight meeting, 2 officials vote against move as shutdown challenges mount The Federal Reserve on Wednesday cut interest rates by 0.25%, the second straight policy meeting in which it has eased monetary policy.

#Fed Federal Reserve again cuts rates while the stock market is at all time highs. This is #INFLATIONARY.

We are already seeing the Trump inflation from trade wars. This action will accelerate inflation.

I guess the voters wanted even higher beef prices, eh?

finance.yahoo.com/news/federal...

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The weaker #labor market has also helped mitigate #inflationary pressures. Due to the recent federal Govt #shutdown, @BLS_gov has not released its monthly #employment report for Sept 2025,
chart @sffed
www.frbsf.org/research-and...

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While the overall #inflation rate sits at 1.9 per cent, the Bank of Canada is finding comfort in its core measures, which have shown easing growth in recent months.

"At this point, #inflationary pressures look a little more contained," Macklem noted.
#InflationRate #BankOfCanada

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The #inflationary effects of US #tariffs may complicate forecasts for incremental US dollar liquidity. US inflation #swaps imply a peak in #inflation within the next year, suggesting the tariff impulse will prove short-lived, chart #MorganStanley

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2 CIBC: Overall, the report shows that core #inflationary pressures are still running hotter than what's consistent with the #Fed's target while #consumers are still enjoying healthy #income gains and a pace of spending despite higher #prices. #usecon #inflation #Fed #PCE

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The net result is there is more to the #inflationary story than meets the eye. While #Fed will likely succumb to cutting pressure in Sept, investors should realize that the trajectory for interest rates may not be as aggressively dovish as recent data suggest, chart #JPMorganAM

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Moreover, with #tariff policy still unfolding and its #inflationary impacts just beginning to materialize …

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#equity income solutions have historically delivered superior returns while offering some protection during macro shocks. In the US, high-#dividend stocks have outperformed low-dividend stocks by 2% during #inflationary periods and by 11% during #recessions - chart @goldmansachsbank.bsky.social

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US businesses, entering the year with elevated #profit #margins, might be absorbing the impact. They could also be #postponing price increases by selling existing inventory ramped up ahead of #tariffs, delaying the #inflationary impact.

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Inflationary Weather Why was the economist so relieved after reading the latest inflation report? Because it showed that the economic climate wasn't as stormy as predicted, and there was a chance of... a cooler front!

New entry of AI-generated #comics and #jokes added to our #website:

#Inflationary #Weather

comics.lucentinian.com/8503
#VisitUsNow #DailyJokes #Comedy #ComedyGold #AIJokes

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Inflationary Weather Why was the economist so relieved after reading the latest inflation report? Because it showed that the economic climate wasn't as stormy as predicted, and there was a chance of... a cooler front!

New entry of AI-generated #comics and #jokes added to our #website:

#Inflationary #Weather

comics.lucentinian.com/8503
#VisitUsNow #DailyJokes #Comedy #ComedyGold #AIJokes

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Oh look, the US economy added 139,000 nonfarm payrolls in May, more than the 126,000 expected by economists.

#Inflationary
#collapse

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2 CIBC: Future cuts will rest on evidence of #growth remaining weak but also #inflationary pressures being contained, and we expect to see enough on both fronts to bring a 25bp rate cut in July.
#BOC #BankofCanada #cdnecon #inflation

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It’s noticeable that #German #breakevens are falling (despite a #fiscal splurge that is on its face #inflationary) - they are now below 2% β€” while US #breakevens are stuck above the target level, chart @johnauthers.bsky.social

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The release is yet another sign that while economists and consumers alike expect Trump's #tariffs to push prices higher, the #inflationary impact from policy largely isn't showing up in hard economic data, chart @yahoofinance.com
finance.yahoo.com/news/feds-pr...

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