A Tossup Race for Governor Draws Big Money and a Bright Spotlight National party leaders have taken a keen interest in the race for governor of New Jersey, where Jack Ciattarelli, a Republican, is competing against Representative Mikie Sherrill, a Democrat.
2025 New Jersey Governor - Ciattarelli vs. Sherrill pollster date sample moe Sherrill (D) Ciattarelli (R) spread RCP Average 7/17 - 9/15 — — 47.6 38.8 Sherrill +8.8 Quinnipiac 9/11 - 9/15 1238 LV 3.9 51 42 Sherrill +9 Quantus Insights 9/2 - 9/4 600 LV 4.3 49 39 Sherrill +10 TIPP** 8/25 - 8/28 1325 LV — 46 39 Sherrill +7 Rutgers-Eagleton 7/31 - 8/11 1650 LV 3.7 47 37 Sherrill +10 Fairleigh Dickinson 7/17 - 7/23 806 RV 3.4 45 37 Sherrill +8 RealClearPolitics Poll Average 2025 New Jersey Governor - Ciattarelli vs. Sherrill pollster date sample moe Sherrill (D) Ciattarelli (R) spread RCP Average 7/17 - 9/15 — — 47.6 38.8 Sherrill +8.8 Quinnipiac 9/11 - 9/15 1238 LV 3.9 51 42 Sherrill +9 Quantus Insights 9/2 - 9/4 600 LV 4.3 49 39 Sherrill +10 TIPP** 8/25 - 8/28 1325 LV — 46 39 Sherrill +7 Rutgers-Eagleton 7/31 - 8/11 1650 LV 3.7 47 37 Sherrill +10 Fairleigh Dickinson 7/17 - 7/23 806 RV 3.4 45 37 Sherrill +8 RealClearPolitics Poll Average
"Toss-Up" Race for NJ Gov???
🟦 Sherrill (48%) vs 🟥 Jack (39%)
All outside MOE & mostly LV
Yes- will tighten
No- NOT a toss-up
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