#RecessionRisk

@ependiytis.bsky.social

11 hours ago

// zcu.ge/nqH // #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SoftLanding #RecessionRisk #Inflation #Fed

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@ependiytis.bsky.social

2 days ago

yet faces a complex macroeconomic crossroads as multiple forces converge to shape the trajectory ahead . // zcu.ge/nqH // #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SoftLanding #RecessionRisk #Inflation #Fed

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@ependiytis.bsky.social

2 days ago

zcu.ge/nqH // The United States economy enters 2026 with remarkably resilient momentum, expanding at an estimated 4.3% annualized rate in Q4 2025// #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SoftLanding #RecessionRisk #Inflation #Fed

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@ependiytis.bsky.social

1 week ago

// zcu.ge/nqH // #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SoftLanding #RecessionRisk #Inflation #Fed

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@ependiytis.bsky.social

1 week ago

yet faces a complex macroeconomic crossroads as multiple forces converge to shape the trajectory ahead . // zcu.ge/nqH // #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SoftLanding #RecessionRisk #Inflation #Fed

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@ependiytis.bsky.social

1 week ago

zcu.ge/nqH // The United States economy enters 2026 with remarkably resilient momentum, expanding at an estimated 4.3% annualized rate in Q4 2025// #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SoftLanding #RecessionRisk #Inflation #Fed

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@ependiytis.bsky.social

2 weeks ago

// zcu.ge/nqH // #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SoftLanding #RecessionRisk #Inflation #Fed

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@ependiytis.bsky.social

2 weeks ago

yet faces a complex macroeconomic crossroads as multiple forces converge to shape the trajectory ahead . // zcu.ge/nqH // #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SoftLanding #RecessionRisk #Inflation #Fed

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@ependiytis.bsky.social

2 weeks ago

zcu.ge/nqH // The United States economy enters 2026 with remarkably resilient momentum, expanding at an estimated 4.3% annualized rate in Q4 2025// #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SoftLanding #RecessionRisk #Inflation #Fed

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@ependiytis.bsky.social

3 weeks ago

// zcu.ge/nqH // #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SoftLanding #RecessionRisk #Inflation #Fed

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@ependiytis.bsky.social

3 weeks ago

yet faces a complex macroeconomic crossroads as multiple forces converge to shape the trajectory ahead . // zcu.ge/nqH // #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SoftLanding #RecessionRisk #Inflation #Fed

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@ependiytis.bsky.social

3 weeks ago

zcu.ge/nqH // The United States economy enters 2026 with remarkably resilient momentum, expanding at an estimated 4.3% annualized rate in Q4 2025// #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SoftLanding #RecessionRisk #Inflation #Fed

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Konstantine | World News

@konstantino.bsky.social

1 month ago

💥 A falling dollar could shake the entire world economy

Bank of America warns that a sustained drop in the U.S. dollar wouldn’t just hit the US — it could spark deflation abroad, push central banks to cut rates, and ultimately trigger a global recession.
#GlobalEconomy #USD #RecessionRisk #Markets

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The Witch Next Door

@gothiclg.bsky.social

3 months ago

Treasury Secretary Denies Possibility Of Incoming Recession: 'I Am Very Confident About 2026' "We have set the table for a very strong, noninflationary growth economy," Scott Bessent said on NBC News’ “Meet the Press.”

Trump’s love of tariffs make me feel like this is a lie.

#TariffTalk #TradeTrouble #EconomicDoubt #NotBuyingIt #TariffsWreakingHavoc #RecessionRisk #SkepticalOfClaims #PoliticalEconomy #Tariffs #Economy #Recession

www.huffpost.com/entry/treasu...

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Brian Phillips, CRS

@themobilebroker.bsky.social

3 months ago

📉🧨 The economy looks steady on the surface, but several major sectors are slipping. Housing, restaurants, freight, and state budgets are showing strain. The real risk isn’t if something breaks… it’s how soon. Full breakdown 👇🏾

t.ly/MwEf1

#USEconomy #RecessionRisk

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Warren Smith

@warrensmithd.bsky.social

3 months ago

How markets could topple the global economy If the AI bubble bursts, an unusual recession could follow

Product people: To prep for turbulence in '26, evaluate the actual revenue from AI features. Don't rely on hype. Focus on quantifiable ROI now to prove value against budget cuts. #AI #RecessionRisk #ProductManagement #Innovation

www.economist.com/leaders/2025...

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Stockmantics

@stockmantics.com

4 months ago

October saw the highest number of layoffs in over 20 years, a stark indicator of labour market weakening. Some economists now suggest parts of the economy are already in recession. 📉 #Economy #RecessionRisk #JobMarket

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Good Revenue

@goodrevenue.bsky.social

4 months ago

California and New York are slowing, and Moody’s notes the weakness is uneven, fragmented across regions rather than a single national downturn. The data points to a more complex, slower-moving cycle than past recessions.

zurl.co/JUHlN
#Economy #RecessionRisk #USOutlook #Markets #goodrevenue

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Good Revenue

@goodrevenue.bsky.social

4 months ago

Moody’s says 22 states and DC—about a third of U.S. GDP—are already in or near recession. With California and New York now slowing, the data suggest a national economy that looks solid on paper but fragile underneath.
zurl.co/xDhJ2
#Economy #RecessionRisk #MoodyAnalytics #USOutlook #goodrevenue

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Good Revenue

@goodrevenue.bsky.social

5 months ago

Layoffs near 1 million — highest since 2020. Unemployment = 4.3%, and now more job seekers than jobs. Is the slowdown turning into a slide?
🎥 zurl.co/klg6n
#Jobs #RecessionRisk #Economy #goodrevenue

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Kautious

@kautious.com

5 months ago

📊 #Earnings #CostOfLiving #RecessionRisk #NFP #ISM #ADP #ConsumerConfidence

#JOLTS #LaborMarket #Jobs #Inflation #Fed #FOMC #Markets #Equities #Bonds #Rates #Credit #Earnings #CostOfLiving #RecessionRisk #NFP #ISM #ADP #ConsumerConfidence (10/10)

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Krunchiebro

@krunchiebro.bsky.social

5 months ago

Q2 growth got bumped up 📈—soft landing or a head fake before a slowdown? What are you watching: jobs, prices, or debt?
#Economy #GDP #Inflation #Jobs #SoftLanding #RecessionRisk

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Dick Taylor

@dicktaylor.bsky.social

5 months ago

When business leaders start signaling crisis, it’s time to pay attention. What’s whispered in private boardrooms today could shape the public economy tomorrow.
fortune.com/2025/09/21/b...

#RecessionRisk #EconomicOutlook #LeadershipInsights #BusinessTrends

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Basispoint Insight

@basispointinsight.bsky.social

5 months ago

BasisPointInsight.com - Fed Risks Losing Independence Under Powell’s Double Error by Yield Scribe Powell’s legacy may be defined by delays on both inflation and growth, leaving the Fed exposed to political pressures and erosion of autonomy. by Yield Scribe , BasisPointInsight.com

2/3 By waiting 15 months to hike and then another two years before cutting, the Fed fell behind both the inflation and disinflation curves.

#USMarkets #Inflation #RecessionRisk #CentralBank

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Profit Trading USA

@profittradingusa.bsky.social

6 months ago

Barclays flags U.S. economy at ‘stall speed,’ recession odds near 50% Investing.com -- Barclays said the U.S. economy has slowed to a pace that leaves it vulnerable to recession, with its updated “tipping points” model suggesting about a 50% chance of contraction within the next eight quarters. Analyst described the current phase as a “stall” state, a period when growth decelerates enough to raise recession risks without confirming one is underway. Barclays said this heightened susceptibility supports expectations that the Federal Reserve could start cutting rates in September. On positioning, the bank said hedge funds and systematic investors increased equity buying in August as volatility fell, while long-only managers and commodity trading advisers favored bonds over stocks. It cautioned that any weakness in labor data could accelerate this shift and weigh on equities, even as broader participation has supported the summer rally. In China, Barclays said wafer fab equipment demand has held up better than expected, and now sees 2025 industry sales falling about 5% rather than more sharply. It expects logic chips to account for about 70% of China’s market next year, before easing to 65% in 2026 as DRAM and NAND take a larger share. The bank added that EU chipmaker ASML faces limited substitution risk, while U.S. peers Lam Research and KLA are more exposed to Chinese competition. 3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads. Most investors will find it hard to answer that question with total confidence. Short of a guarantee, which no one can give you, the most successful traders stick to proven best practices without letting hype or hyper-vigilance take over their better judgment. But that doesn't mean you can't use smart shortcuts. If you're considering LRCX, try chatting with WarrenAI, our powerful AI financial assistant. It's just like ChatGPT for investors, but with access to 10 years of company data, a built-in screener, Wall Street analysts' reports, and earnings call transcripts for real-time, vetted insights. Even if you end up going with your gut feeling, at least you'll know why.

Click Subscribe. #USEconomy #RecessionRisk #Barclays #EconomicForecast #StallSpeed

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Profit Trading USA

@profittradingusa.bsky.social

6 months ago

Barclays: U.S. economy in stall state, 50% recession risk in 2 years Investing.com -- The U.S. economy has likely entered a “stall state,” with the risk of recession within two years rising to around 50%, according to Barclays analysts. In a research note, the bank said its updated “tipping points” model, which incorporates recent payroll revisions, suggests “the underlying pace of US growth has decelerated to a pace that makes it vulnerable to a recession.” Barclays added: “Various specifications suggest that the US is likely in a stall state, and perhaps for a year or more. With this heightened susceptibility, the model places odds of a recession within eight quarters at about 50%.” The analysis draws on a regime-switching model assessing the probability that the economy is in one of four states: rapid expansion, expansion, stall speed, or recession. Barclays said the stall state is defined as one where the economy is “susceptible to entering a recession, but it is not a foregone conclusion.” Two key indicators were used: the ratio of nonfarm payroll employment to the labor force and the unemployment rate, often referred to through the Sahm Rule. Barclays said both measures “imply an elevated probability that the economy is in a stall state,” with probabilities ranging from 47% to 90% when factoring in early estimates of upcoming payroll survey benchmark revisions. Barclays said the results support expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year. “Our results offer some support for expectations that the FOMC will pivot to rate cuts in September,” the bank wrote, adding it expects 25-basis-point cuts in both September and December. 3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads. Which stocks should you consider in your very next trade? Successful investors know to check multiple angles before making their move. InvestingPro's three powerful features work together to give you that edge: ProPicks AI runs 80+ stock-picking strategies, including Tech Titans, which doubled the S&P 500's performance in just 18 months! Fair Value combines 17 proven valuation models to help you spot overpriced stocks and undervalued gems. And WarrenAI delivers instant insights on any stock. Ask questions, get vetted answers backed by real-time data (unlike ChatGPT). Our subscribers use all three to identify stocks before double-digit gains and avoid costly mistakes. But with 50% during our Summer Sale, even if you only use one of these features the value pays for itself. Sale ends soon—don't wait until prices go back up.

Click Subscribe. #Barclays #USEconomy #RecessionRisk #EconomicAnalysis #FinancialNews

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@happytimes503.bsky.social

7 months ago

#EconomicReality #TrumpTariffs #GDPExplained #MAGAeconomy #RecessionRisk

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TJ369

@traderjoseph369.bsky.social

7 months ago

Fed Governor Christopher Waller urges a 25bps rate cut in July, citing slowing growth and job market risks. He sees tariff-driven inflation as temporary and warns that delaying action could put the Fed behind the curve. #FOMCJuly #PolicyShift #CentralBankMoves #RecessionRisk #fed

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TJ369

@traderjoseph369.bsky.social

8 months ago

June CPI due Tuesday may show tariffs starting to bite. Core inflation seen up 0.3%, but focus is on goods like autos, apparel, and furniture. Tariff impact could shape Fed rate path. #RecessionRisk #CostOfLiving #FYP #ApparelCosts #AutoPrices #MacroInsights #SupplyChainWatch #US

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Posts tagged #RecessionRisk