#RecessionRisks

@profittradingusa.bsky.social

8 months ago

Schroders upgrades global corporate bonds on easing U.S. recession risks (Reuters) -Schroders upgraded its outlook for global corporate bonds to ’neutral’ from ’negative’ on Wednesday and maintained its positive view on global equities as it expects reduced risks of a U.S. recession. The British asset manager upgraded its stance on both U.S. investment grade and high yield bonds to ’neutral’ from ’negative’ backed by stabilising growth, rising demand and positive consumer sentiment data. In May, Moody’s downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit, while President Trump’s tariff policies has caused some volatility in benchmark Treasury bonds, which in turn have lifted corporate bond yields. U.S. junk bond issuance totaled $28.9 billion in May, the most for a month since September 2024, according to brokerage J.P. Morgan. Schroders (LON:SDR) said the "biggest risks seem to have passed" for U.S. investment grade credit but pointed out that valuations remain high for domestic corporate bonds overall. "Now, the market can pay more attention to deregulation and government spending," it added. Earlier this month, data from the Treasury Department showed foreign investors’ holdings of U.S. Treasuries showed a modest decline in April from record levels of U.S. debt. "While economic uncertainty persists, we think downside risks are contained and the risk of recession this year is lower," they added.

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AI News Brew

@ainewsbrew.bsky.social

10 months ago

Trump's Tariff Policies Impact US Economy: Auto Industry Relief Amid China Trade Concerns | AI News Brew <p>WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump's recent executive orders to relax some of his 25% tariffs on automobiles and auto parts mark a significant shift in his trade policy, as concerns grow over the ...

Trump's Tariff Policies Impact US Economy: Auto Industry Relief Amid China Trade Concerns
ainewsbrew.com/article/4022

#TrumpTariffs #USEconomy #AutoIndustry #ChinaTrade #EconomicPolicy #RecessionRisks #GlobalTrade

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Profit Trading USA

@profittradingusa.bsky.social

11 months ago

Analysts reassess European airlines amid recession risks; AF-KLM downgraded About Us Advertise Help & Support Authors Blog Mobile Portfolio Widgets Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks. Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed. Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website. It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website. Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.

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Deep Value Investing

@deepvalueinvesting.bsky.social

11 months ago

🚨 Delta beats Q1 estimates! $DAL up 6.5%

✈️ EPS: $0.46 vs $0.39 est
💵 Revenue: $14.04B vs $13.89B est
📉 PRASM: 16.78¢ | CASM: 19.69¢
📦 FY guidance paused amid tariff/econ fears

Delta to freeze capacity growth in H2 as global growth stalls. #DAL #Earnings #Airlines #Tariffs #RecessionRisks

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Profit Trading USA

@profittradingusa.bsky.social

11 months ago

Click Subscribe. #GoldmanSachs #RecessionRisks #EconomicNews #Investing #MarketWatch

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Profit Trading USA

@profittradingusa.bsky.social

11 months ago

Stock market whipsaws in early trading as economists cite recession risks - CBS News Stock market whipsaws in early trading as economists cite recession risks CBS News

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RichardJR

@electricbluesfan.bsky.social

11 months ago

8/9 However, some economists warn this may be "the high-water mark" before tariff damage takes hold. "Do the tariffs hold? Does the trade war escalate? How disorderly do markets get? There's a lot of things in play right now," said KPMG's Diane Swonk.
#EconomicUncertainty #RecessionRisks

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Profit Trading USA

@profittradingusa.bsky.social

11 months ago

Factbox-Some brokerages see more Fed rate cuts, recession risks after latest US tariffs (Reuters) -Major brokerages including Goldman Sachs and RBC see more rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve following President Donald Trump’s latest tariffs. Trump on Wednesday imposed a 10% baseline tariff on all imports to the U.S. and higher duties on dozens of other countries, sparking fears of a global economic slowdown. J.P.Morgan raised its global and U.S. recession odds to 60% from 40% for this year, while Barclays and Deutsche Bank see recession risk for the U.S. if the tariffs remain in place. Currently, traders on average expect rate cuts totaling 100 basis points for the year, according to data compiled by LSEG. Here are the forecasts from major brokerages after latest tariffs: Brokerage Total cuts in No. of cuts in 2025 Fed Funds Rate 2025 Deutsche Bank No rate cut 0 4.25-4.50% (end of 2025) Morgan Stanley No rate cut 0 4.25-4.50% (end of 2025) Goldman Sachs 75 bps 3 (25 bps each in 3.5-3.75%(through July, September and December) December) J.P.Morgan 50 bps 2 (25 bps each in 3.75-4.00% (through June and September) September 2025) Citigroup (NYSE:C) 125 bps 5 (starting in May) 3.00-3.25% (end of 2025) Barclays 50 bps 2 (25 bps each in 3.75-4.00% (through June and September) September) Berenberg No rate cut 0 4.25-4.50% (end of 2025) Nomura 25 bps 1 (in December) 3.50 - 3.75% (end of 2025) HSBC 75 bps 3 (25 bps each in 3.50-3.75% (end of June, September and 2025) December) ING 50 bps 2 (H2 2025) 3.75-4.00% (end of 2025) Wells Fargo 75 bps 3 (25 bps each in 3.50-3.75% (end of June, September and 2025) December) BofA Global Research No rate cut 0 4.25-4.50% (end of 2025) RBC Capital Markets - 3 UBS Global Wealth 75-100bps - Management

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RichardJR

@electricbluesfan.bsky.social

11 months ago

ANALYSIS | Trump wants to upend the entire global order. Can he stomach the price tag? | CBC News On the one hand, the U.S. president wants to upend 70 years of global trade and fundamentally change the way the world does business. But in handing out exemptions and carve-outs, he’s trying to do th...

9/9 The key question: will the administration stick to its guns as stocks tank and prices rise? Many economists fear these policies could trigger a global recession if trade partners retaliate further and Trump escalates.

www.cbc.ca/news/busines...
#GlobalEconomy #RecessionRisks

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RichardJR

@electricbluesfan.bsky.social

11 months ago

5/9 The Liberal leader delivered a sobering assessment: "The global economy is fundamentally different today than it was yesterday."

He warned Trump's policies could trigger a U.S. recession with significant knock-on effects for Canada's economy.
#EconomicOutlook #RecessionRisks #CDNpoli

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Profit Trading USA

@profittradingusa.bsky.social

11 months ago

Trump tariffs raise recession risks for U.S., global economy, analysts say About Us Advertise Help & Support Authors Blog Mobile Portfolio Widgets Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks. Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed. Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website. It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website. Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.

Click Subscribe. #TrumpTariffs #RecessionRisks #GlobalEconomy #TradeWar #EconomicAnalysis

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Profit Trading USA

@profittradingusa.bsky.social

11 months ago

US tariffs hit Europe, China harder than expected, recession risks rise: Barclays About Us Advertise Help & Support Authors Blog Mobile Portfolio Widgets Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks. Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed. Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website. It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website. Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.

Click Subscribe #Tariffs #TradeWar #RecessionRisks #Europe #China

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Profit Trading USA

@profittradingusa.bsky.social

11 months ago

US tariffs raise recession risks for Eurozone and UK Investing.com -- The latest round of tariffs announced by the US administration is expected to weigh heavily on economic growth in the eurozone and the UK, increasing the likelihood of a recession in the second half of 2025, analysts at Barclays warn. The new trade barriers, coupled with heightened policy uncertainty, are set to slow investment, dampen consumer spending, and put further strain on industries reliant on exports to the US. The US administration has imposed tariffs of 20% on most European Union (EU) goods and 10% on UK exports to the US, higher than previously anticipated. While steel, aluminum, and car imports remain subject to a 25% tariff, the new measures expand trade restrictions to a broader range of products. Some categories remain exempt, but the announced EU tariffs are double Barclays’ initial projections, while the UK tariffs align with their expectations. These tariffs, along with a surge in trade policy uncertainty in March, have prompted Barclays to review its economic forecasts. European governments are expected to respond with measures aimed at supporting affected industries and mitigating job losses. However, the uncertainty surrounding trade policy is already delaying investment and consumption decisions, leading to a slowdown in domestic demand. Germany and Italy, which have large trade surpluses with the US, are likely to feel the most impact, while France and Spain could see somewhat smaller effects. The eurozone and the UK may also consider retaliatory tariffs, but current estimates assume a limited response, with an average 5% tariff imposed on US imports. Barclays’ analysis breaks down the impact of tariffs into two key economic channels: the direct trade channel and the uncertainty channel. Through the trade channel, the new tariffs could lower real GDP growth in the eurozone by around 0.8 percentage points over 2025-2026, while the impact on UK growth remains at approximately 0.1 percentage points. This aligns with broader global trade trends, where the US has already imposed higher tariffs on Chinese goods and has faced retaliatory measures from Beijing. The uncertainty channel, however, presents an even greater risk. In February, the trade policy uncertainty index stood at 470—already elevated compared to historical levels—but it surged to a record high of 603 in March. This spike is expected to delay investment and hiring, further slowing economic activity. Barclays’ estimates suggest that the combination of tariffs and uncertainty could shave 1.9 percentage points off eurozone growth and 1.5 percentage points off UK growth by 2026. With these factors in play, the risk of recession in the eurozone and the UK has risen sharply. Barclays’ current forecasts already account for a 1.1 percentage point drag on growth due to trade disruptions. However, further downward revisions are possible as governments decide how to respond to the US measures. Adding to the uncertainty, the US administration has left the door open for negotiations, which could potentially ease some of the economic damage. However, prolonged talks would keep uncertainty elevated, limiting any immediate relief for businesses and consumers.

Click Subscribe. #USTariffs #RecessionRisks #EurozoneEconomy #UKEconomy #TradeWar

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Profit Trading USA

@profittradingusa.bsky.social

11 months ago

Trump tariffs worse than anticipated, raise recession risks, analysts say copper hereremove ads hereremove ads Latest comments P Lance Sheldon Irene Wu Install Our AppScan QR code to install app Google Play App Store Blog Mobile Portfolio Widgets About Us Advertise Help & Support Authors Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks. Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed. Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website. It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website. Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.

Click Subscribe. #TrumpTariffs #RecessionRisks #EconomicAnalysis #TradeWar #MarketTrends

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deVere Group

@deveregroup.bsky.social

11 months ago

📉 UK Faces Growing Recession Risks as Spring Statement Highlights Worsening Economic Conditions 🇬🇧 abcmoney.co.uk/2025/03/spri...

#UKEconomy #RecessionRisks #SpringStatement #Inflation #Growth

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George Prior

@georgeprior.bsky.social

11 months ago

📉 UK faces growing recession risks as Spring Statement highlights worsening economic conditions, says deVere boss
@nigeljgreen.bsky.social 🏦⚠️ abcmoney.co.uk/2025/03/spri...

#UKEconomy #RecessionRisks #SpringStatement #Inflation #Growth

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George Prior

@georgeprior.bsky.social

11 months ago

⚠️📉 Recession risks rise as the Spring Statement signals austerity-lite theintermediary.co.uk/2025/03/uk-r... @nigeljgreen.bsky.social

#UKEconomy #RachelReeves #RecessionRisks #AusterityLite #SpringStatement #EconomicChallenges #FinanceNews

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💙💙💙💙Blue wave resistance💙💙💙💙

@eliminatethegop.bsky.social

1 year ago

“Tariffs and economic policies can shape the future of millions. When policies increase costs, jobs are lost, and recession risks rise. Who really benefits? Follow the money, question the motives, and demand accountability. The economy shouldn’t be a political game. #EconomicPolicy #RecessionRisks”

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Wiobs

@wiobs.bsky.social

1 year ago

Trump’s 2025 Tariff Chaos: Economic Impacts and Market Turmoil Unraveled - WIOBS Explore how Trump’s 2025 tariffs disrupt the U.S. economy, unsettle markets, and spark trade wars. A deep dive into the financial...

Trump’s 2025 Tariff Chaos: Economic Impacts and Market Turmoil Unraveled
wiobs.com/trumps-2025-...
#TrumpTariffs #USEconomy2025 #TradeWar #EconomicImpact #MarketTurmoil #SteelTariffs #CanadaTrade #Inflation2025 #BusinessNews #RecessionRisks

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Robert C. Fried (Bob Fried)

@robertcfried.bsky.social

1 year ago

#TrumpEconomy #TradeTariffs #SoftLanding #RecessionRisks #WallStreet #EconomicPolicy #MarketVolatility #FederalReserve #ConsumerSpending #BusinessSentiment #EconomicUncertainty #TradeWars #StockMarket #EconomicGrowth #Inflation #JPMorgan #GoldmanSachs #FederalSpending #EconomicStability #HardLanding

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Proofofhell

@proofofhell.bsky.social

1 year ago

Trump tariffs to push down U.S. growth 'a great deal' going into 2026, Morgan Stanley warns Donald Trump's proposed tariffs will dent U.S. economic growth going into 2026, said Morgan Stanley's chief global economist Seth Carpenter.

So, Morgan Stanley’s saying Trump’s tariffs could really put a drag on the economy through 2026. Higher prices, less investment, and all that nonsense could lead us straight to a recession. Like we need that! #TrumpTariffs #USEconomy #RecessionRisks #EconomicGrowth

www.cnbc.com/2024/11/20/t...

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Posts tagged #RecessionRisks