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Byrd, N. (2025, July). Map My Words—Using Waitlist Controlled Trials To Test Whether Argument Mapping Improves Individuals’ Persuasive Writing or Critical Thinking. Experimental Argument Analysis, University of East Anglia. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/390977878

Abstract. Argument mapping is the practice of diagraming the logical relationships between each proposition in an argument, including objections and counter-objections. Some studies find that courses that teach students how to map arguments exhibit better critical thinking and persuasive writing than students in other courses. These promising results are sometimes from surveyors of argument mapping goods and services, and they garner plenty of attention in fields that champion careful thinking and communication. However, the total evidence is mixed, null results are often never published, and many promising studies have not controlled for known confounds. Two waitlist control trials (N  = 83) attempted to address these issues; they detected no benefits of argument map training within or between groups (p > 0.13). Rather, variance in outcomes was explained by enrollment in the instructor’s other courses, prior academic achievement, and — most robustly — engagement in flipped classroom activities. These findings raise questions about whether benefits previously attributed to argument mapping in less controlled studies were caused by other factors that were already known to produce such benefits. Implications for pedagogy, course assessment, and the science of learning are discussed.

Byrd, N. (2025, July). Map My Words—Using Waitlist Controlled Trials To Test Whether Argument Mapping Improves Individuals’ Persuasive Writing or Critical Thinking. Experimental Argument Analysis, University of East Anglia. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/390977878 Abstract. Argument mapping is the practice of diagraming the logical relationships between each proposition in an argument, including objections and counter-objections. Some studies find that courses that teach students how to map arguments exhibit better critical thinking and persuasive writing than students in other courses. These promising results are sometimes from surveyors of argument mapping goods and services, and they garner plenty of attention in fields that champion careful thinking and communication. However, the total evidence is mixed, null results are often never published, and many promising studies have not controlled for known confounds. Two waitlist control trials (N = 83) attempted to address these issues; they detected no benefits of argument map training within or between groups (p > 0.13). Rather, variance in outcomes was explained by enrollment in the instructor’s other courses, prior academic achievement, and — most robustly — engagement in flipped classroom activities. These findings raise questions about whether benefits previously attributed to argument mapping in less controlled studies were caused by other factors that were already known to produce such benefits. Implications for pedagogy, course assessment, and the science of learning are discussed.

🧠🏔️ Below I'll share mine and others' presentations from the Society for Judgment and Decision Making conference in #Denver.

Did you attend a session I missed?
Did I fail to tag a presenter?
Feel free to add to the thread!

Long live #openAccess conferencing.

#SJDM #SJDM25 @sjdm-tweets.bsky.social

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‘Nag-away away na’: Double parked vehicles cause traffic on Bulacan road A road in San Jose Del Monte, Bulacan was clogged with parked vehicles occupying both lanes, causing traffic and tension among motorists in the area. A Facebook user shared a video on Wednesday, July 2, showing both lanes of Road 1 in Barangay Minuyan Proper lined with parked four-wheeled vehicles. Jr Alvren Mangapot, who uploaded the […] The post ‘Nag-away away na’: Double parked vehicles cause traffic on Bulacan road appeared first on Interaksyon.
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Christmas @ SM City San Jose Del Monte 🎄

#smsupermalls #smsanjosedelmonte #christmas #sanjosedelmonte #sjdm #bulacan #philippines #photography #mall #holidays

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@jakereynolds.bsky.social caught the essence of the 'sJDM meetings and of a certain party. #sjdm. Thanks Jake!!!

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Congratulations to Maué Pantoja (https://cbdr-lab.net/pantoja/ for the 2nd place of the student poster award (Society for Judgment & Decision Making #SJDM / New York) 🚀🚀 🚀 #CBDR

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Workshop outline (with names and affiliations in case that helps you find and cite the experts).

Workshop outline (with names and affiliations in case that helps you find and cite the experts).

Ian Krajbich and visual examples of online eye-tracking, mouse-tracking, and text one may want to analyze (e.g., online reviews)

Ian Krajbich and visual examples of online eye-tracking, mouse-tracking, and text one may want to analyze (e.g., online reviews)

Nitisha Desai showing an example of mouse tracking patterns can reveal about decisions and judgments.

Nitisha Desai showing an example of mouse tracking patterns can reveal about decisions and judgments.

Ada Aka explaining how think-aloud protocols and other forms of text process tracing matter: they get us inside the opaque box of people's reasoning!

Did you know think-aloud protocols can also be done online? See Byrd et al 2023 below:

Byrd, N., Joseph, B., Gongora, G., & Sirota, M. (2023). Tell Us What You Really Think: A Think Aloud Protocol Analysis of the Verbal Cognitive Reflection Test. Journal of Intelligence, 11(4). DOI: 10.3390/jintelligence11040076

Ada Aka explaining how think-aloud protocols and other forms of text process tracing matter: they get us inside the opaque box of people's reasoning! Did you know think-aloud protocols can also be done online? See Byrd et al 2023 below: Byrd, N., Joseph, B., Gongora, G., & Sirota, M. (2023). Tell Us What You Really Think: A Think Aloud Protocol Analysis of the Verbal Cognitive Reflection Test. Journal of Intelligence, 11(4). DOI: 10.3390/jintelligence11040076

My final session at #SJDM 2024: Online #ProcessTracing!

Ian Krajbich gave the rationale.

Xiaozhi Yang demoed webcam #eyeTracking.

Nitisha Desai showed #mouseTracking code.

@adaaka.bsky.social advised on #coding scalable #textAnalysis with #LLMs.

Files on github.com/krajbichlab/...

#python #AI

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Emily Hu starting off the last session at #SJDM with a bang! Text analysis for JDM

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Anyone know if the #SJDM keynotes were recorded?

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Great conversations happen everywhere. This week's highlight: sharing my research with the great service team at the #SJDM conference. Love how research sparks curiosity across all walks of life.
@sjdm-tweets.bsky.social

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what are the takes on @joesimmons.bsky.social talk #sjdm @sjdm-tweets.bsky.social - should we be hopeful, is everything going down the drain? (@bsky.app we need polls!) - I am at a business school and see a lot of the 'old pattern' from 10 years ago in psych ...

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nuget of knowledge (ie poster) in a recycle bin

nuget of knowledge (ie poster) in a recycle bin

closing the circle ... #sjdm

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Presenting some work on pessimistic prescriptions for severe storms in the second #SJDM poster session! Come check it out!

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A distribution of p-values (from < 0.01 to 0.05) that you'd expect to find in a psychological science literature full of REAL effects — as opposed to misleading, p-hacked, fraudulent, or otherwise suspicious effects. The curve starts high (because most, 70%, of effects have p-values less than 0.01) and falls dramatically from (p-values between 0.01 to 0.05). If you don't know, p-values that are less than 0.05 are conventionally considered "statistically significant", which is why the plot stops there (instead of continuing to higher values).

A distribution of p-values (from < 0.01 to 0.05) that you'd expect to find in a psychological science literature full of REAL effects — as opposed to misleading, p-hacked, fraudulent, or otherwise suspicious effects. The curve starts high (because most, 70%, of effects have p-values less than 0.01) and falls dramatically from (p-values between 0.01 to 0.05). If you don't know, p-values that are less than 0.05 are conventionally considered "statistically significant", which is why the plot stops there (instead of continuing to higher values).

After showing us the statistical oddities of results from Sanna et al., many papers authored by Sanna et al. were retracted and Sanna left the field. More recently, oddities have been revealed about authors like Dan Ariely and Francesca Gina — there are plenty of headlines about this and, as of today, those stories have not yet concluded.

After showing us the statistical oddities of results from Sanna et al., many papers authored by Sanna et al. were retracted and Sanna left the field. More recently, oddities have been revealed about authors like Dan Ariely and Francesca Gina — there are plenty of headlines about this and, as of today, those stories have not yet concluded.

Some good news in an otherwise haunting history of science accountability: the lawsuit against the authors of Data Colada has been dismissed. 

Even better, Data Colada have been financially supported by researchers in Judgment and Decision-making. So they can afford the legal representation to continue to speaking openly about remarkably bad psychological science.

Some good news in an otherwise haunting history of science accountability: the lawsuit against the authors of Data Colada has been dismissed. Even better, Data Colada have been financially supported by researchers in Judgment and Decision-making. So they can afford the legal representation to continue to speaking openly about remarkably bad psychological science.

A closing lesson from Joe Simmons: if your field is predicated on the goal of replicating and extending junk results, you are doomed to either fail or resort to the vicious practices revealed by Data Colada. 

If you find yourself in such a field, get out now while the sunk costs of lowest. Jump to a field based on highly transparent, replicable, and actionable effects. JDM has plenty of these effects. And JDM has huge community of researchers who prioritize scientific rigor — the survival of Data Colada is evidence of that. If you need new collaborators, advisors, etc., then connect with the open science communities that are thriving around the world. SJDM is a great place to start, but its just one.

A closing lesson from Joe Simmons: if your field is predicated on the goal of replicating and extending junk results, you are doomed to either fail or resort to the vicious practices revealed by Data Colada. If you find yourself in such a field, get out now while the sunk costs of lowest. Jump to a field based on highly transparent, replicable, and actionable effects. JDM has plenty of these effects. And JDM has huge community of researchers who prioritize scientific rigor — the survival of Data Colada is evidence of that. If you need new collaborators, advisors, etc., then connect with the open science communities that are thriving around the world. SJDM is a great place to start, but its just one.

@joesimmons.bsky.social's 2024 Prez Address at #SJDM was WILD — a behind the scenes of @datacolada.bsky.social:

Takeaways:
- P-curves aren't sufficient
- Share EVERYTHING (including #Qualtrics files)
- Describe findings AS OPERATIONALIZED
- Loads of #JDM is good! (cf. headlines)
- Keep speaking up!

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Presidential address #sjdm

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Learning a lot from all the fantastic work presented at #SJDM in NYC this year. Check out my poster #3 on the neural basis of risk-taking behavior and the gut-brain axis influence in this mechanism. #decisionmaking #neuroskyence

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Brilliant photo, amazing people! I trust #SJDM is as brilliant as it always is.

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If you're at #SJDM, we have two posters on Sunday afternoon:

Jen Yang -- "Evidence Accumulation Rate Mediates the Links between Decision Strategy and Decision Maker’s Reward Sensitivity and Trait Emotional Intelligence"

Daniel Sazhin -- "Effects of Trends in Information on Predictive Judgments"

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The reasoning team from LaPsyDE in New York for the #SJDM & #Psychonomic conferences! @sjdm-tweets.bsky.social @psychonomicsociety.bsky.social
w/ @ninafraniatte.bsky.social @boissinesther.bsky.social @lauracharbit.bsky.social Matthieu Raoelison @jeremiebeucler.bsky.social & @wimdeneys.bsky.social

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there is @sjdm-tweets.bsky.social with highlights from this year #SJDM meeting!

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it is on #sjdm

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Are you attending #SJDM, and interested in how to create pro-environmental behavior change?

On saturday (2:30pm, Nudge session), my friend & colleague Mathias Ekström will present our new field experiment on recycling behavior, studying the long-term behavior of 2000 households.

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a woman in a red dress is standing in a glass container with the words it 's time written on it ALT: a woman in a red dress is standing in a glass container with the words it 's time written on it

#SJDM @sjdm-tweets.bsky.social

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Looking forward to presenting my JMP at #SJDM conference on Saturday. Come say hi!

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en route to #sjdm at #nyc !! Looking forward to meeting brilliant colleagues and hearing about great research!

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#sjdm #nyc

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the empire state building is lit up with colorful lights at night ALT: the empire state building is lit up with colorful lights at night

First time attending #SJDM this week - who else is going? @elizabethlinos.bsky.social @dgrand.bsky.social @spbhanot.bsky.social @katymilkman.bsky.social

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if you are at the #SJDM conference in NYC over the weekend, stop by our (w/ @smetanamichal.bsky.social & Ondrej Rosendorf) poster #151 about causal beliefs and nuclear deterrence at Sunday morning poster session! or check the poster below or the full preprint at papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

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there are so many great workshops and panels on Monday, it is impossible to pick! I am definitely going to be there, probably running between rooms, paralyzed by too many tempting options; how fitting for a judgment & decision making conference ,) #SJDM

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Figure 4 from Byrd and colleagues' working report, "Experiments In Reflective Equilibrium Using The Socrates Platform" (link in post)

Figure 4 from Byrd and colleagues' working report, "Experiments In Reflective Equilibrium Using The Socrates Platform" (link in post)

Abstract for "Experiments In Reflective Equilibrium Using The Socrates Platform"

Abstract for "Experiments In Reflective Equilibrium Using The Socrates Platform"

Some of the posters in the Sunday morning poster session from the drafted program for SJDM 2024 in New York City, including Byrd and colleagues, "Experiments In Reflective Equilibrium Using The Socrates Platform"

Some of the posters in the Sunday morning poster session from the drafted program for SJDM 2024 in New York City, including Byrd and colleagues, "Experiments In Reflective Equilibrium Using The Socrates Platform"

A peek at our poster for #SJDM 2024 in #NYC (Nov 22-25)

CASH was less effective than a CHAT with someone who disagreed at
(1) improving decisions on reflection tests involving #logic or #statistics
(2) nudging people toward certain #philosophy judgments

researchgate.net/pub...

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a picture of a city with the words new york on it ALT: a picture of a city with the words new york on it

Let's see - #SJDM next week in #NYC - who is game?

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