Good question, reminds me of #Taleb saying we shouldn't listen to people making forecasts if they are not affected directly by what they foresee! #BlackSwan
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#Taleb
Latest posts tagged with #Taleb on Bluesky
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Posts tagged #Taleb
What Universe are the Data From: Normalstan or Eextremistan? www.linkedin.com/posts/keitha...
#BlackSwan #Risk #Normal #Gaussian #PowerLaws #Pareto #Taleb #Statistics #DataAnalysis
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The Lindy Effect:
Nassim Taleb popularized the Lindy Effect:
the observation that for non-perishable things,
every additional period of survival implies a longer remaining life expectancy.
A book that has been in print for a hundred years will probably be in print for another hundred.
A […]
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New blog about the #narrativefallacy: our tendency to make simple, coherent stories to explain complex/random events, believing we understand them better so, often omitting seemingly unrelated facts, stressing causes, ignoring luck.
philosophybytheway.blogspot.com/2025/12/the-...
#Taleb #Kahneman
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Very succinct analysis. Also a perfect example of #Taleb 's critique of entrepreneurship without "skin in the game". The AI companies, built on debt and fiction, have nothing to lose. We do. A small number of fanatics have sold a hallucination, and you and I are on the hook for failure. Staggering.
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#Taleb al-Abdulmohsen hat heute im Saal gezeigt, wie kompliziert eine psychiatrische Exploration sein kann. Das der Kollege eine Diagnose gestellt hat, bewundere ich, aber bin unsicher wie manipulativ al-Abdulmohsen ist... halte ihn für sehr gefährlich, auch für Mitarbeiter des Maßregelvollzug...
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Todays favorite paragraph from "The Black Swan" by Nassim Nocholas Taleb
"What is surprising is not the magnitude of our forecast errors but our absence of awareness of it"
#blackswan
#taleb
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There is an unofficial axiom in software development that the last 10% of development will take 90% of the total time.
I wonder how long it will take me to actually finish this :p
#taleb
#cybersecurity
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bemerkenswert : Der Facharzt Taleb A (mittlerweile für seinen Amoklauf/Anschlag am Weihnachtsmarkt in Magdeburg offiziell angeklagt)
bewunderte E Musk und sympathisierte mit der AfD www.deutschlandfunk.de/was-ueber-de... #Taleb #Magdeburg #Weihnachtsmarkt #Amoklauf #Amokfahrt #Anschlag #Musk #AfD
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And it came to me today that I'm "almost certainly" going to have to reread #Taleb 's "Incerto" from end to end. This is a big life investment, given the candle is rapidly burning down. However, I'm desperate to hold onto the ideas, and it's brutally difficult. #PhilSky
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3% of an irreconcilable minority can change the rules for 100%. It takes a few who put not only their skin, but also their soul on the line. 🔁 Save and think about who makes decisions in your life and at whose expense. #RiskFreePolitics #FinancialSystem #Taleb #FailurePoint #Responsibility
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🧠 Nasim Taleb WARNING: (book skin in the game ) Power without risk creates disaster. 📉 Those who make decisions get bonuses. 💥 Those who suffer from failure are taxpayers and ordinary people. 🧾 Bankers win in growth, but we pay for the collapse. ⚖️ No skin in the game - no responsibility. #Taleb
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Looking at recent international football results, I don't think it matters if you pay a lot for a manager. Best asymmetric strategy: get a lower league manager cheaply. You have known, and minimal, potential financial loss, and left yourself open to a big upside. Or maybe #Taleb not Tuchel. #Philsky
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Intrigued by #Taleb 's idea of "political annealing".
"...a computer simulation...showed how adding a certain number of randomly selected politicians...can improve the functioning of the parliamentary system".
A better result with some random election and turnover. Akin to jury service? #PhilSky
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Nassim Taleb critique le bitcoin 📉, le comparant à une bulle spéculative 🌷.
Pourtant, son réseau décentralisé continue de se renforcer 🔗, avec une sécurité fiable et une rareté programmée 🔐🪙
#21Mcrypto #21M #bitcoin #Taleb #valeurrefuge
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Das haben wir doch schon mehrfach geklärt. #Magdeburg war ein islamistischer Terroranschlag. #Taleb A. war Islamist, hat mit islamistischen Terroranschlägen gedroht und islamistische Propaganda verbreitet.
Magdeburg = #Islamismus.
Diskussion vorbei. Gewissheit 100%.
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Das haben wir doch schon mehrfach geklärt. #Magdeburg war ein islamistischer Terroranschlag. #Taleb A. war Islamist, hat mit islamistischen Terroranschlägen gedroht und islamistische Propaganda verbreitet.
Magdeburg = #Islamismus.
Diskussion vorbei. Gewissheit 100%.
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#Taleb A. droht #unbeeindruckt weiter :
Mitte 2015 kündigt er an sich eine #Pistole
zu kaufen und zwei #Richter zu #erschießen.
Auch dieses #Verfahren wird eingestellt - kein
#hinreichender #Tatverdacht #Magdeburg #Täter
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Ein Mann kann #Taleb heißen und trotzdem #Rechtsextremist sein!
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Ein Mann kann #Taleb heißen und trotzdem #Rechtsextremist sein!
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‼️ WAARSCHUWING ‼️
Wilders' haatzaaierij kan dodelijk zijn. Zowel #Breivik (77 doden) als #Taleb (5 doden) waren door hem geïnspireerd.
Wie op hem stemt, wie met hem samenwerkt, bevordert #rechtsextremisme & haat. Diezelfde haat kan ook jouzelf noodlottig worden ⚰️
#aanslag #Maagdenburg #kerstmarkt
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foto de artículo prensa
es un terrorista de extrema derecha. déjense de circunloquios!
#magdeburgo #taleb
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