#UMMacroNote

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9 months ago

U.S. Court Rules Trump’s Tariffs Unlawful, Easing Trade Tensions - Ultima Markets U.S. federal court has ruled that Trump's tariffs were unlawful, boosting global market sentiment and supporting a rebound in the U.S. dollar. Read more on Ultima News and Analysis.

📣 U.S. court strikes down Trump tariffs

Tariffs “unlawful” under IEEPA

USDX rebounds above 100

Markets cheer easing trade risk

Appeal pending. But dollar sentiment shifts.

#USD #TradePolicy #Tariffs #UMMacroNote #Ultimamarkets

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Ultima Markets

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9 months ago

Australian CPI Holds—What’s Next for the RBA? - Ultima Markets Australia's annual inflation rate remained steady at 2.4% in April 2025, aligning with the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) target range of 2–3%. However, a slight uptick in core inflation to 2.8% ha...

🇦🇺 Australia CPI steady at 2.4%
Core inflation: ↑ to 2.8%

→ RBA may delay further cuts

AUD gains modestly
ASX200 at 3-month high

AUDUSD: 0.6400–0.6500 range holds

#AUDUSD #RBAwatch #UMMacroNote #Ultimamarkets

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Ultima Markets

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9 months ago

OPEC+ Supply Talk Weighs on Oil Prices - Ultima Markets Global oil prices have been consolidating near four-year lows, with Brent crude trading around $64 per barrel and WTI at approximately $61 per barrel. The recent weakness comes amid concerns over glob...

🛢️ Oil prices near 4-year lows
Brent <$64, WTI <$61
OPEC+ may add 411K bpd starting July
Demand slowing trade risks rising
WTI key: $60.10

#CrudeOil #WTI #OPECplus #UMMacroNote #Ultimamarkets

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Ultima Markets

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9 months ago

Trump Delays Tariffs on EU Goods, Easing Near-Term Trade Tensions - Ultima Markets U.S. President Donald Trump has announced a delay in the implementation of the proposed 50% tariffs on European Union (EU) goods. Originally scheduled for June 1, the new implementation date has been ...

🇪🇺🇺🇸 Trump delays EU tariffs to July 9
EURUSD > 1.1400
EU50 futures +1.4%
Risk-on, but deal not done
Key zones:
EURUSD: 1.1280 → 1.1400
EU50: Testing ATHs

#EURUSD #EuroEquities #UMMacroNote #Ultimamarkets

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Ultima Markets

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9 months ago

Japan Inflation Persists Amid Growth Concerns and Market Volatility - Ultima Markets Japan’s National Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April 2025 continues to highlight persistent inflationary pressure, adding complexity to the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) policy outlook. Key Inflation Me...

🇯🇵 Japan CPI stays hot:
Headline: 3.6%
Core: 3.5%
But GDP fell -0.2%…
BoJ dilemma deepens
10Y JGB near 1.65%
40Y JGB hits 3.7% 📈

#BoJ #JPYwatch #UMMacroNote #Ultimamarkets

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Ultima Markets

@ultima-markets.bsky.social

9 months ago

U.S. Credit Rating Downgraded, US Dollar Opens Lower - Ultima Markets Moody’s Investors Service has downgraded the U.S. credit rating from AAA to AA1, citing rising government debt and growing budget deficits. The downgrade unsettled financial markets, leading to declin...

🇺🇸 Moody’s downgrades U.S. credit rating (AAA → AA1)
Stock futures dip
USDJPY gapped down but recovered
DXY support: 100.40
Key watch: May 22 PMI releases

#USDWatch #CreditRating #UMMacroNote #Ultimamarkets

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Ultima Markets

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10 months ago

Japan GDP Contracts Sharply in Q1, BoJ Rate Hike Path in Doubt - Ultima Markets Japan’s economy shrank more than expected in the first quarter of 2025, raising fresh concerns about the sustainability of its economic recovery and casting doubt over the Bank of Japan’s planned path...

🇯🇵 Japan Q1 GDP -0.7% (vs -0.2% exp)
Exports down, real wages fall 2.1%
CPI still 4.2%
BoJ rate hike path in doubt
USDJPY at 148 — key resistance

#USDJPY #BoJ #UMMacroNote #Ultimamarkets

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Ultima Markets

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10 months ago

Gold Prices Decline Amid Rising Trade Optimism - Ultima Markets Gold prices fell sharply on Wednesday, dropping over 2% to hit their lowest level in more than a month, as improving sentiment around US-China trade negotiations dampened demand for safe-haven assets....

🟡 Gold falls 2% to $3,150
Trade truce cuts safe-haven demand
Fed cut odds drop (4 → 2)
Key zone: $3,150
Below = watch $3,000 psychological level

#Gold #XAUUSD #UMMacroNote #Ultimamarkets

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Ultima Markets

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10 months ago

GBPUSD Analysis: The Fed Still Has Expectations of Cuts This Year - Ultima Markets In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets brings you an insightful breakdown of the GBPUSD for May 14th, 2025. Fundamental Analysis of GBPUSD GBPUSD Key Takeaways British economic resilience: The...

📈 GBPUSD breaks out
UK jobs data solid
BoE still hawkish
Fed cuts likely delayed
1.3245 pivot → broken ✅

Next targets: 1.3340 / 1.3370

#GBPUSD #UMMacroNote #Ultimamarkets

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Ultima Markets

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10 months ago

April CPI Shows Mixed Signals, Delays Fed Cut Expectations - Ultima Markets The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April, released on April 13, reflects a continued cooling in inflation on a year-over-year basis, offering some relief to both consumers and policymakers. Howev...

🇺🇸 April CPI = mixed bag
YoY: 2.3% ↓
MoM: +0.2% ↑
Core CPI: still sticky
DXY pulled back from 101.30 but still above 100

Fed likely holds in July, cuts in Sep

#UMMacroNote #USDWatch #Ultimamarkets

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Ultima Markets

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10 months ago

Bank of England Cuts Rate, UK-US Trade Deal - Ultima Markets At its May meeting, the Bank of England (BoE) cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.25%, marking the fourth consecutive cut since August 2024. The move aims to support the UK economy...

🇬🇧 BoE cuts rate to 4.25%
4th straight cut
GDP now 1.0%
Unemployment seen at 5%

GBPUSD breaks 1.3250 → bearish bias
UK-US trade deal in, Pound out?

#GBPUSD #BOE #UMMacroNote #Ultimamarkets

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Ultima Markets

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10 months ago

Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady, Cites Trade Uncertainty - Ultima Markets At its May meeting, the Federal Reserve kept the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%, in line with market expectations. This marks the third consecutive meeting without a rate change. The Fed ...

🏦 Fed holds rate at 4.25–4.50%
Powell warns tariffs = inflation risk
USD remains stuck at DXY 99–100
July rate cut odds drop to 55.9%

Range-bound until CPI or jobs move the needle

#USDWatch #FOMC #UMMacroNote #Ultimamarkets

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Ultima Markets

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10 months ago

US-China Trade Talks Optimism: Stock Gains, Gold Tumbles - Ultima Markets On Wednesday morning (Asia time), both US and China officials confirmed that trade negotiations would begin this week. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will ...

🇺🇸🇨🇳 US-China trade talks start May 8 in Switzerland

Stocks up ✅
Gold pulls back 🟡
Tariff rollback? Maybe.
Market’s cautiously optimistic.

Key gold zone: $3,350–$3,380

#USChinaTalks #Gold #UMMacroNote

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Ultima Markets

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10 months ago

ETHUSD Analysis: risk sentiment boosts Ethereum - Ultima Markets In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets brings you an insightful breakdown of the ETHUSD for May 7th, 2025. Fundamental Analysis of ETHUSD ETHUSD Key Takeaways Fed rate cut expectations: Invest...

🟢 ETH rises as risk-on returns

US-China talks begin May 8
Fed cuts likely delayed
Pivot: 1749

ETH above 1749 → targets 1850 / 1879
Below → 1700 / 1671

#ETHUSD #CryptoSentiment #UMMacroNote #Ultimamarkets

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Ultima Markets

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10 months ago

BTCUSD Analysis: Bitcoin to Break through Key Levels - Ultima Markets In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets brings you an insightful breakdown of the BTCUSD for April 30th, 2025. Fundamental Analysis of BTCUSD BTCUSD Key Takeaways US legislation: On Monday, US ...

🇦🇺 Aussie CPI flat at 2.4%, core CPI falls to 2.9%

RBA rate cut odds (May): 62%
AUDUSD at 200-day MA (0.6400)
AUDJPY rejected at 92.00—bearish wedge in play

Can the Aussie stay afloat?

#AUDUSD #RBAWatch #UMMacroNote

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Posts tagged #UMMacroNote