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Latest posts tagged with #bayesianism on Bluesky
#books #philsky #philosophy #religion #miracles #davidhume #philosophychat #bayesianism #probability
Jan-Willem Romeijn on päivittänyt SEP-entryään tilastotieteen filosofiasta,
https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/statistics/
#tilastotiede #tiede #tieteenfilosofia #filosofia #statistics #philosophyofScience #epistemology #probability #induction #confirmation #evidence #learning #reasoning […]
hashtag#bayesianism hashtag#machinelearning hashtag#conformalprediction
As conformal prediction continues its ascent, it is replacing bayesianism in pretty much every application.
Bayesianism is the obsolete past, conformal prediction is the future.
#conformalprediction #bayesianism
Funny coming from the guy who ran half a million Bayesian Monte Carlo sims and still botched the last election forecast
#bayesianism
Even AI sees through the futility of Bayesianism.
#bayesianism
❌ Prone to instability
❌ Disrupt base models
❌ Tough to build and maintain
🤷♂️Confidence in such a framework? 🙅♂️Seems doubtful ⁉️
TL;DR hashtag#bayesianism often brings more problems than solutions
hashtag#DataScience hashtag#MachineLearning hashtag#uncertainty
Vincenzo Crupi has revised his SEP-entry on Confirmation, https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/confirmation/
#confirmation #reasoning #logic #epistemology #philosophy #sep #revised #hypotheses #science #concepts #filosofia #tiede #evidence #induction #probability #bayesianism #statistics
hashtag#bayesianism hashtag#machinelearning hashtag#conformalprediction
Put simply: GPs are the Theranos of ML methods—too good to be true, propped up by hype, and ultimately a monumental waste of time and resources.
#bayesianism
It’s time we stop pretending it works and move on to methods that actually deliver on their promises. Conformal prediction shows how it should be done: honest, calibrated, and dependable.
#bayesianism
Context: following bayesianis models fiasco, Bank of England is relocating to … Leeds.
#bayesianism
Want to know how bayesianism contributed to global financial crisis and torched the Challenger?
My new article got it covered.
#bayesianism
Yes
#bayesianism
Bayesianism in textbooks. Bayesianism in reality.
#bayesianism
hashtag#bayesianism hashtag#machinelearning hashtag#conformalprediction
Friends don't let friends to use quasi-science.
#bayesianism
Probability predictions are produced directly by awesome technologies such as conformal predictive distributions at the click of a button with a few lines of code.
#bayesianism #conformalprediction
Anyone doing research in probabilistic prediction should be required to read the Gneiting and Katzfuss paper before releasing more hot air.
Bayesianism is an academic virus 🦠
#bayesianism
Gaussian processes are the SMOTE of Uncertainty Quantification. The ultimate #snakeoil.
#bayesianism
Gaussian Processes are snake oil. This needs to be said repeatedly. What’s worse than using or researching GPs? Pretending they come with validity guarantees. A five-year-old could write a few lines of code, run them, and see they don’t deliver coverage.
#bayesianism
arxiv.org/pdf/2407.0...
#Bayesianism #UncertaintyTheater
Igor Douven has revised his SEP-entry on Abduction, https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/abduction/
#abduction #reasoning #logic #epistemology #tieto #filosofia #paattely #philosophy #explanation #induction #peirce #bayesianism #selitys #skepticism
Bayesianism strikes again —some people claim Farrell's book is commendable, but in reality, it contains glaring gaps, even in foundational concepts that every student should be well-acquainted with.
#bayesianism
If you're looking for real uncertainty, stop guessing with Bayes. Start guaranteeing with conformal prediction.
#uq #bayesianism #conformalprediction