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Posts tagged #typhoons

Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
27 minutes ago
ABPW10 PGTW 170300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/170300Z-170600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170151ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 17MAR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 27P (TWENTYSEVEN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3S 156.6E, APPROXIMATELY 685 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.3S 159.1E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA. 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS.// NNNN

ABPW10 PGTW 170300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/170300Z-170600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170151ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 17MAR26 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 27P (TWENTYSEVEN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3S 156.6E, APPROXIMATELY 685 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.3S 159.1E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA. 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS.// NNNN

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 170300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/170300Z-170600ZMAR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

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Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
9 hours ago
ABPW10 PGTW 161830 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/161830Z-170600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/161822ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.3S 159.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.1S 156.8E, APPROXIMATELY 286 NM SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING CIRCULATION WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION OBSCURING THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 161339Z OCEANSAT-3 PASS REVEALS 25- 30KTS WINDS ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS DEPICTS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 TO 20KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28 TO 29C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT OF 96P TAKING A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK AND ITS DEVELOPMENT

ABPW10 PGTW 161830 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/161830Z-170600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/161822ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.3S 159.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.1S 156.8E, APPROXIMATELY 286 NM SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING CIRCULATION WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION OBSCURING THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 161339Z OCEANSAT-3 PASS REVEALS 25- 30KTS WINDS ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS DEPICTS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 TO 20KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28 TO 29C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT OF 96P TAKING A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK AND ITS DEVELOPMENT

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 161830
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/161830Z-170600ZMAR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
21 hours ago
ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/160600Z-170600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.3S 159.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.1S 158.6E, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A GRADUALLY CONSOLIDATING AND BROAD CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION OBSCURING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 160119Z OCEANSAT-3 PASS DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH A SWATH OF ELEVATED SURFACE WINDS THROUGHOUT THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT, RANGING BETWEEN 20-25 KTS. ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS FOR 96P ARE FAVORABLE, WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM (28-29 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE SHIFTED THE TIMELINE FOR CONSOLIDATION 24 HOURS EARLIER WHILE AVAILABLE NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION AND AI SOLUTIONS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT 96P WILL TRACK WEST

ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/160600Z-170600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.3S 159.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.1S 158.6E, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A GRADUALLY CONSOLIDATING AND BROAD CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION OBSCURING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 160119Z OCEANSAT-3 PASS DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH A SWATH OF ELEVATED SURFACE WINDS THROUGHOUT THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT, RANGING BETWEEN 20-25 KTS. ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS FOR 96P ARE FAVORABLE, WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM (28-29 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE SHIFTED THE TIMELINE FOR CONSOLIDATION 24 HOURS EARLIER WHILE AVAILABLE NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION AND AI SOLUTIONS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT 96P WILL TRACK WEST

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 160600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/160600Z-170600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
1 day ago
ABPW10 PGTW 151200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/151200Z-160600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.3S 159.1E, APPROXIMATELY 233 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF TURNING OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION, PREDOMINATELY THROUGHOUT THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. A 151014Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS FURTHER EMPHASIZES THE BROAD SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH WEAK AND VARIABLE WINDS OBSERVED IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC, 10-15 KTS PERSISTS THROUGHOUT THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT, WHILE AN ISOLATED SWATH OF 20 KTS REMAINS DISLOCATED 150 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE ASSESSED CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS FOR 96P ARE MOSTLY FAVORABLE, WITH MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPS. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN

ABPW10 PGTW 151200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/151200Z-160600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.3S 159.1E, APPROXIMATELY 233 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF TURNING OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION, PREDOMINATELY THROUGHOUT THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. A 151014Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS FURTHER EMPHASIZES THE BROAD SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH WEAK AND VARIABLE WINDS OBSERVED IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC, 10-15 KTS PERSISTS THROUGHOUT THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT, WHILE AN ISOLATED SWATH OF 20 KTS REMAINS DISLOCATED 150 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE ASSESSED CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS FOR 96P ARE MOSTLY FAVORABLE, WITH MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPS. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 151200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/151200Z-160600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
1 day ago
ABPW10 PGTW 151200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/151200Z-160600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.3S 159.1E, APPROXIMATELY 233 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF TURNING OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION, PREDOMINATELY THROUGHOUT THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. A 151014Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS FURTHER EMPHASIZES THE BROAD SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH WEAK AND VARIABLE WINDS OBSERVED IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC, 10-15 KTS PERSISTS THROUGHOUT THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT, WHILE AN ISOLATED SWATH OF 20 KTS REMAINS DISLOCATED 150 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE ASSESSED CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS FOR 96P ARE MOSTLY FAVORABLE, WITH MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPS. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN

ABPW10 PGTW 151200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/151200Z-160600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.3S 159.1E, APPROXIMATELY 233 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF TURNING OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION, PREDOMINATELY THROUGHOUT THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. A 151014Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS FURTHER EMPHASIZES THE BROAD SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH WEAK AND VARIABLE WINDS OBSERVED IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC, 10-15 KTS PERSISTS THROUGHOUT THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT, WHILE AN ISOLATED SWATH OF 20 KTS REMAINS DISLOCATED 150 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE ASSESSED CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS FOR 96P ARE MOSTLY FAVORABLE, WITH MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPS. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 151200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/151200Z-160600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
1 day ago
ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/150600Z-160600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/150600Z-160600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 150600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/150600Z-160600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
2 days ago
ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/140600Z-150600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/140600Z-150600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 140600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/140600Z-150600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
2 days ago
ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/140600Z-150600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/140600Z-150600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 140600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/140600Z-150600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

1 0 0 0
Paul Macdonald
Paul Macdonald
@paulmac.bsky.social
2 days ago

bsky.app/profile/fire...

observervoice.com/tropical-cyc...

#Health
#Disease
#Death
#Grief
#Trauma
#Storms
#Cyclones
#Hurricanes
#Typhoons
#OceanHeat
#RapidIntensification
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2 0 0 0
Paul Macdonald
Paul Macdonald
@paulmac.bsky.social
2 days ago

bsky.app/profile/fire...

observervoice.com/tropical-cyc...

#Storms
#Cyclones
#Hurricanes
#Typhoons
#OceanHeat
#RapidIntensification
#Precipitation
#Floods
#Health
#Disease
#Death
#Grief
#Trauma
#Infrastructure
#HumanDisplacement
#Oil
#Coal
#Gas
#FossilFuelPollution
#AnthropogenicGlobalWarming

1 0 1 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
3 days ago
ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/130600Z-140600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/130600Z-140600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 130600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/130600Z-140600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
3 days ago
ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/130600Z-140600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/130600Z-140600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 130600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/130600Z-140600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 1 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
4 days ago
ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/120600Z-130600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120151ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 12MAR26 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 138.1E, APPROXIMATELY 448 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/120600Z-130600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120151ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 12MAR26 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 138.1E, APPROXIMATELY 448 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 120600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/120600Z-130600ZMAR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
4 days ago
ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/120600Z-130600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120151ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 12MAR26 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 138.1E, APPROXIMATELY 448 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/120600Z-130600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120151ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 12MAR26 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 138.1E, APPROXIMATELY 448 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 120600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/120600Z-130600ZMAR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

1 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
5 days ago
ABPW10 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/120300Z-120600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120151ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 12MAR26 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 138.1E, APPROXIMATELY 448 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: 1.A.(1) WITH 03W FINAL WARNING INFORMATION.// NNNN

ABPW10 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/120300Z-120600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120151ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 12MAR26 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 138.1E, APPROXIMATELY 448 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: 1.A.(1) WITH 03W FINAL WARNING INFORMATION.// NNNN

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 120300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/120300Z-120600ZMAR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
5 days ago
ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/110600Z-120600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 11MAR26 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 136.8E, APPROXIMATELY 94 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/110600Z-120600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 11MAR26 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 136.8E, APPROXIMATELY 94 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 110600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/110600Z-120600ZMAR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
5 days ago
ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/110600Z-120600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 11MAR26 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 136.8E, APPROXIMATELY 94 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/110600Z-120600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 11MAR26 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 136.8E, APPROXIMATELY 94 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 110600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/110600Z-120600ZMAR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
6 days ago
ABPW10 PGTW 110300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/110300Z-110600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 11MAR26 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 136.8E, APPROXIMATELY 94 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 139.7E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA. 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1). TO WARNING STATUS.// NNNN

ABPW10 PGTW 110300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/110300Z-110600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 11MAR26 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 136.8E, APPROXIMATELY 94 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 139.7E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA. 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1). TO WARNING STATUS.// NNNN

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/110300Z-110600ZMAR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
6 days ago
ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/100600Z-110600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100251ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 139.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 137.1E, APPROXIMATELY 119 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 092354Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS DEPICT AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN FLARING CONVECTION WITH SWATHS OF ELEVATED WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERIES. THE CIRCULATION IS CONSIDERED TOO ILL-DEFINED TO JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW ALOFT, MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE ON SOME DEGREE OF CONSOLIDATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS PRIOR TO VERTICAL SHEAR BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN 24 TO 48 HOURS. MODELS ALSO AGREE ON A GRADUAL TRANSIT NORTHEASTWARD

ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/100600Z-110600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100251ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 139.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 137.1E, APPROXIMATELY 119 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 092354Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS DEPICT AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN FLARING CONVECTION WITH SWATHS OF ELEVATED WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERIES. THE CIRCULATION IS CONSIDERED TOO ILL-DEFINED TO JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW ALOFT, MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE ON SOME DEGREE OF CONSOLIDATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS PRIOR TO VERTICAL SHEAR BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN 24 TO 48 HOURS. MODELS ALSO AGREE ON A GRADUAL TRANSIT NORTHEASTWARD

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 100600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/100600Z-110600ZMAR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

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Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
6 days ago
ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/100600Z-110600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100251ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 139.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 137.1E, APPROXIMATELY 119 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 092354Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS DEPICT AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN FLARING CONVECTION WITH SWATHS OF ELEVATED WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERIES. THE CIRCULATION IS CONSIDERED TOO ILL-DEFINED TO JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW ALOFT, MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE ON SOME DEGREE OF CONSOLIDATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS PRIOR TO VERTICAL SHEAR BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN 24 TO 48 HOURS. MODELS ALSO AGREE ON A GRADUAL TRANSIT NORTHEASTWARD

ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/100600Z-110600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100251ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 139.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 137.1E, APPROXIMATELY 119 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 092354Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS DEPICT AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN FLARING CONVECTION WITH SWATHS OF ELEVATED WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERIES. THE CIRCULATION IS CONSIDERED TOO ILL-DEFINED TO JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW ALOFT, MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE ON SOME DEGREE OF CONSOLIDATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS PRIOR TO VERTICAL SHEAR BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN 24 TO 48 HOURS. MODELS ALSO AGREE ON A GRADUAL TRANSIT NORTHEASTWARD

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 100600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/100600Z-110600ZMAR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

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Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
1 week ago
ABPW10 PGTW 100300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/100300Z-100600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100251ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 139.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 137.1E, APPROXIMATELY 119 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 092354Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS DEPICT AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN FLARING CONVECTION WITH SWATHS OF ELEVATED WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERIES. THE CIRCULATION IS CONSIDERED TOO ILL-DEFINED TO JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW ALOFT, MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE ON SOME DEGREE OF CONSOLIDATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS PRIOR TO VERTICAL SHEAR BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN 24 TO 48 HOURS. MODELS ALSO AGREE ON A GRADUAL TRANSIT NORTH

ABPW10 PGTW 100300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/100300Z-100600ZMAR2026// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100251ZMAR2026// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 139.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 137.1E, APPROXIMATELY 119 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 092354Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS DEPICT AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN FLARING CONVECTION WITH SWATHS OF ELEVATED WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERIES. THE CIRCULATION IS CONSIDERED TOO ILL-DEFINED TO JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW ALOFT, MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE ON SOME DEGREE OF CONSOLIDATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS PRIOR TO VERTICAL SHEAR BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN 24 TO 48 HOURS. MODELS ALSO AGREE ON A GRADUAL TRANSIT NORTH

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 100300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/100300Z-100600ZMAR2026//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

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Ars Technica News
Ars Technica News
@arstechni.ca
1 week ago

An unlikely set of clues helps reconstruct ancient Chinese disasters https://arstechni.ca #anthropogenicclimatechange #extremeweather #ancientchina #Archaeology #typhoons #Science #science #ElNiño

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Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
1 week ago
ABPW10 PGTW 091230 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/091230Z-100600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 139.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 138.8E, APPROXIMATELY 74 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 090414Z AMSR2 89GHZ PASS DEPICTS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (10-15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). DETERMINISTIC MODELS CONTINUE TO BE HESITANT REGARDING THE FORMATION OF 95W WITH GFS STILL BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL. ENSEMBLE MODELS HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE CONSISTENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF ITS MEMBERS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER

ABPW10 PGTW 091230 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/091230Z-100600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 139.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 138.8E, APPROXIMATELY 74 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 090414Z AMSR2 89GHZ PASS DEPICTS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (10-15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). DETERMINISTIC MODELS CONTINUE TO BE HESITANT REGARDING THE FORMATION OF 95W WITH GFS STILL BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL. ENSEMBLE MODELS HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE CONSISTENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF ITS MEMBERS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 091230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/091230Z-100600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
1 week ago
ABPW10 PGTW 091230 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/091230Z-100600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 139.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 138.8E, APPROXIMATELY 74 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 090414Z AMSR2 89GHZ PASS DEPICTS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (10-15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). DETERMINISTIC MODELS CONTINUE TO BE HESITANT REGARDING THE FORMATION OF 95W WITH GFS STILL BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL. ENSEMBLE MODELS HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE CONSISTENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF ITS MEMBERS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER

ABPW10 PGTW 091230 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/091230Z-100600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 139.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 138.8E, APPROXIMATELY 74 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 090414Z AMSR2 89GHZ PASS DEPICTS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (10-15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). DETERMINISTIC MODELS CONTINUE TO BE HESITANT REGARDING THE FORMATION OF 95W WITH GFS STILL BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL. ENSEMBLE MODELS HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE CONSISTENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF ITS MEMBERS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 091230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/091230Z-100600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
1 week ago
ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/090600Z-100600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 139.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 138.8E, APPROXIMATELY 74 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 090414Z AMSR2 89GHZ PASS DEPICTS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (10-15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). DETERMINISTIC MODELS CONTINUE TO BE HESITANT REGARDING THE FORMATION OF 95W WITH GFS STILL BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL. ENSEMBLE MODELS HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE CONSISTENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF ITS MEMBERS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AR

ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/090600Z-100600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 139.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 138.8E, APPROXIMATELY 74 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 090414Z AMSR2 89GHZ PASS DEPICTS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (10-15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). DETERMINISTIC MODELS CONTINUE TO BE HESITANT REGARDING THE FORMATION OF 95W WITH GFS STILL BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL. ENSEMBLE MODELS HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE CONSISTENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF ITS MEMBERS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AR

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 090600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/090600Z-100600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
1 week ago
ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 140.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 140.2E, APPROXIMATELY 152 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A HIGHLY ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH SPORADIC DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. A 080035Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS SHOWS THAT 95W IS PRIMARILY COMPOSED OF TROUGHING THAT EXTENDS TO THE MARIANAS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). BOTH THE GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE INCONSISTENT WITH THE FORMATION OF 95W. OUT OF THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS, GFS IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE BUT HAS BACKED OFF ON DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST FEW MODEL RUNS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAI

ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 140.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 140.2E, APPROXIMATELY 152 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A HIGHLY ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH SPORADIC DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. A 080035Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS SHOWS THAT 95W IS PRIMARILY COMPOSED OF TROUGHING THAT EXTENDS TO THE MARIANAS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). BOTH THE GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE INCONSISTENT WITH THE FORMATION OF 95W. OUT OF THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS, GFS IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE BUT HAS BACKED OFF ON DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST FEW MODEL RUNS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAI

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 080600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
1 week ago
ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 140.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 140.2E, APPROXIMATELY 152 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A HIGHLY ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH SPORADIC DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. A 080035Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS SHOWS THAT 95W IS PRIMARILY COMPOSED OF TROUGHING THAT EXTENDS TO THE MARIANAS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). BOTH THE GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE INCONSISTENT WITH THE FORMATION OF 95W. OUT OF THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS, GFS IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE BUT HAS BACKED OFF ON DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST FEW MODEL RUNS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAI

ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 140.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 140.2E, APPROXIMATELY 152 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A HIGHLY ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH SPORADIC DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. A 080035Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS SHOWS THAT 95W IS PRIMARILY COMPOSED OF TROUGHING THAT EXTENDS TO THE MARIANAS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). BOTH THE GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE INCONSISTENT WITH THE FORMATION OF 95W. OUT OF THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS, GFS IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE BUT HAS BACKED OFF ON DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST FEW MODEL RUNS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAI

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 080600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
1 week ago
ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 140.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 140.2E, APPROXIMATELY 152 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A HIGHLY ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH SPORADIC DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. A 080035Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS SHOWS THAT 95W IS PRIMARILY COMPOSED OF TROUGHING THAT EXTENDS TO THE MARIANAS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). BOTH THE GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE INCONSISTENT WITH THE FORMATION OF 95W. OUT OF THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS, GFS IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE BUT HAS BACKED OFF ON DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST FEW MODEL RUNS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAI

ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 140.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 140.2E, APPROXIMATELY 152 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A HIGHLY ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH SPORADIC DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. A 080035Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS SHOWS THAT 95W IS PRIMARILY COMPOSED OF TROUGHING THAT EXTENDS TO THE MARIANAS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). BOTH THE GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE INCONSISTENT WITH THE FORMATION OF 95W. OUT OF THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS, GFS IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE BUT HAS BACKED OFF ON DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST FEW MODEL RUNS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAI

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 080600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/080600Z-090600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

1 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
1 week ago
ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 140.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 140.7E, APPROXIMATELY 164 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS BROAD TURNING WITH DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE HESITANT IN THE FORMATION OF 95W WITH INDIVIDUAL ENSEMBLE MEMBERS BEING SCATTERED. THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE SIMILARLY SCATTERED WITH GFS BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN TERMS OF DEVELOPMENT. MODELS GENERALLY AGREE ON THE SYSTEM MAINTAINING AN ELONGATED WIND FIELD AS IT TRACKS NEAR THE MARIANAS ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 H

ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 140.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 140.7E, APPROXIMATELY 164 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS BROAD TURNING WITH DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE HESITANT IN THE FORMATION OF 95W WITH INDIVIDUAL ENSEMBLE MEMBERS BEING SCATTERED. THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE SIMILARLY SCATTERED WITH GFS BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN TERMS OF DEVELOPMENT. MODELS GENERALLY AGREE ON THE SYSTEM MAINTAINING AN ELONGATED WIND FIELD AS IT TRACKS NEAR THE MARIANAS ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 H

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0
Disaster Info Bot
Disaster Info Bot
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy
1 week ago
ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 140.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 140.7E, APPROXIMATELY 164 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS BROAD TURNING WITH DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE HESITANT IN THE FORMATION OF 95W WITH INDIVIDUAL ENSEMBLE MEMBERS BEING SCATTERED. THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE SIMILARLY SCATTERED WITH GFS BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN TERMS OF DEVELOPMENT. MODELS GENERALLY AGREE ON THE SYSTEM MAINTAINING AN ELONGATED WIND FIELD AS IT TRACKS NEAR THE MARIANAS ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 H

ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZMAR2026// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 140.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 140.7E, APPROXIMATELY 164 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS BROAD TURNING WITH DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE HESITANT IN THE FORMATION OF 95W WITH INDIVIDUAL ENSEMBLE MEMBERS BEING SCATTERED. THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE SIMILARLY SCATTERED WITH GFS BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN TERMS OF DEVELOPMENT. MODELS GENERALLY AGREE ON THE SYSTEM MAINTAINING AN ELONGATED WIND FIELD AS IT TRACKS NEAR THE MARIANAS ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 H

#cyclones #typhoons #JTWC ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZMAR2026//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY […]

[Original post on ai6yr.org]

0 0 0 0