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09.25.2025 -@DTNWeather Atlantic Tropical Planner morning update

09.25.2025 -@DTNWeather Atlantic Tropical Planner morning update

9/25 Morning Atlantic Tropical Planner: #Gabrielle will continue gradual weakening trend throughout the week. #93L is now #TropicalStormHumberto. Both #Humberto & #Invest94L will progress into favorable conditions, potentially developing into a #Hurricane. dtn.link/ba7q20

#ThinkWeather

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#Invest93L now 40mph #TropicalStorm #Humberto to peak at =>110mph C2 or even Major #Hurricane it heads NW over the next 5 days
#Bermuda interests to watch closely!
#Wxx #Wxtwitter #TropicsWx #BlueSkyWx #AL93 #93L #hurricaneseason #Hurricaneseason2025 #TropicalStormHumberto #HurricaneHumberto

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Wednesday September 24, 2025 5PM EDT: Via @noaa.gov @nhc-atlantic.extwitter.link: disturbance 1 or invest #93L is now Tropical Storm #Humberto. Please follow ➡️ nhc.noaa.gov for updates. #Hurricane #J1WX #TropicsWX #TropicalWX #Tropics #TropicalWX #TwitterWX #WXTwitter #WX #Humberto

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GFS shows a fairly strong 93L south of Bermuda and a weak and disorganized 94L near the Bahamas on Monday

GFS shows a fairly strong 93L south of Bermuda and a weak and disorganized 94L near the Bahamas on Monday

Euro shows a strong 93L south of Bermuda and a decently well organized 94L north of the Bahamas.

Euro shows a strong 93L south of Bermuda and a decently well organized 94L north of the Bahamas.

CMC shows a strong 93L south of Bermuda and a decently well organized 94L near the Bahamas.

CMC shows a strong 93L south of Bermuda and a decently well organized 94L near the Bahamas.

What's more fun than trying to predict the track/intensity of one tropical storm?
Trying to predict two of them that are close to one another.
I'm fairly confident #93L will become a strong system and follow #GABRIELLE out to sea, but #94L? I have no idea where that'll go or its intensity.

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Latest spaghetti models as of 18z for #93L and #94L

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No changes in development chances on the 2 PM outlook. Expect to see advisories initiated on #93L later today.

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12z ICON, everyone’s favorite model, with #94L being pulled eastward by #93L

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Looking at the two disturbances in the western Atlantic (Invests #94L and #93L), there is plenty of model support showing some sort of interaction between the two in the coming week...
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12z spaghetti models for #93L and #94L

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D116 ATL #HurricaneSeason2025 8am EDT
#Invest93L has 90% chance to become a TC in 2 and 7 days
#Bermuda interests to watch closely!
#AL93 #93L
#Humberto
#Wxx #Wxtwitter #TropicsWx #BlueSkyWx #HurricaneSeason #Hurricane #Tropicalstormhumberto #Tropcialstorm #HurricaneHumberto #08L #TD8

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NEW: the 8 AM outlook from the NHC indicates that "a tropical depression is likely to form later today or Thursday" from #93L. Development chances remain 90% for it, and 80% for #94L.

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#93L steals the show on the 6z Euro, developing into a major hurricane. #94L is over the northwest Bahamas.

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Here are the 6z spaghetti models for #93L and #94L

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The 6z ICON, everyone’s favorite model, has #93L explosively deepening by next Monday. #94L is much weaker in comparison over The Bahamas.

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The 0z Euro has #94L just off the SC coast while #93L goes out to sea as a major hurricane.

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The 0z Euro AIFS has #94L just off the Florida coast next week while #93L is off the Carolina coast.

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Good morning! The overnight NHC outlook raised development chances for #94L to 80% and kept chances for #93L at 90%. It’s likely to be another busy day so check back often!

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D116 ATL #HurricaneSeason2025 2am EDT
#Invest93L has 80% chance to become a TC in 2 days, 90% in 7 days
#Bermuda interests to watch closely!
#AL93/ #93L
#Humberto/ #Imelda
#Wxx #Wxtwitter #TropicsWx #BlueSkyWx #HurricaneSeason #Hurricane

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18z Euro ensembles for #93L and #94L are below. A general westward shift with #93L and more of a spread with #94L.

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Latest spaghetti models for #93L are below.

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D115 ATL #HurricaneSeason2025 8pm EDT
#Invest93L has 70% chance to become a TC in 2 days, 90% in 7 days
#Bermuda interests to watch closely!
#AL93/ #93L
#Humberto/ #Imelda
#Wxx #Wxtwitter #TropicsWx #BlueSkyWx #HurricaneSeason #Hurricane

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18z Euro with dueling #94L on the left and #93L on the right.

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The 8 PM outlook from NHC has raised development chances for #94L to 70%. Chances for #93L remain at 90%.

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Ragasa Bringing Typhoon-Force Winds to Hong Kong; Watching 93L and 94L in the Atlantic
Ragasa Bringing Typhoon-Force Winds to Hong Kong; Watching 93L and 94L in the Atlantic YouTube video by WeatherNova

Tuesday video (Wednesday in Asia) on:

- #Typhoon #Ragasa as it impacts South #China, including #HongKong
- Tropical Storm #26W ( #OpongPH ) as it intensifies in the #Philippines Sea
- Invests #93L and #94L and their uncertain future in the Atlantic

youtu.be/OYS8yyVYxzU?...

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18z Euro AIFS continues to have #94L close to the coast while #93L is offshore.

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18z ICON at 120 hours has #93L and #94L developing nicely. #94L is impacting The Bahamas at this point.

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12z Google Deep Mind ensembles are below. It shows #93L and #94L both getting quite strong. On this run, SE Florida would be the main area under a potential threat.

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The 12z Euro ensembles through Sunday have #94L coming close to the SE coast. Landfalls anywhere from the Florida Keys to Outer Banks. #93L also shown further to the east.

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First spaghetti models out for #93L and #94L.

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The 12z Euro has #93L and #94L both developing into major hurricanes. No direct impact to the US on this run.

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