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Invest #93P may be a tropical cyclone at this time, it's just hard to tell without a recent ASCAT pass. Fortunately the system will stall away from land as it starts to disorganize! Next Name = #Bakung

#wx #wxsky #cyclone

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Unofficial #HCCTWO
(1) #93P could be a tropical cyclone, but it is running out of time
(2) #94P unlikely to develop near the Solomon Islands
(3) #95P not expected to develop

#wx #wxsky #cyclone

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Invest #93P is continuing to get better organized near Papau #Indonesia. Doesn't have a lot of time to get organized (~60 hours) but it could dump a large amount of rain. Next Name = #Bakung

#wx #wxsky #cyclone

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Unofficial #HCCTWO
(1) #93P beginning to run out of time to develop
(2) #94P could develop south of the Soloman Islands

#wx #wxsky #cyclone

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In this infrared satellite imagery loop, Invest #93P churns over the northern Arafura Sea. This system has a medium potential to develop into a tropical cyclone as it lingers off the western coast of New Guinea over the next couple of days.

Invest 93P is not likely to directly impact #Australia.

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Invest #93P is getting better organized as it begins to emerge over the waters west of Papua, #Indonesia. The system could rapidly organize over the next 3 days as it stalls. Next Name = #Bakung

#wx #wxsky #cyclone

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Unofficial #HCCTWO
(1) #93P could become a tropical cyclone near #Indonesia
(2) Another system is unlikely to develop out to sea

#wx #wxsky #cyclone

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#93P is trying to develop very near the coast of New Guinea. May have the chance to develop in an area of low shear north of Australia. Shear increases even north of 10N by next week. Very late in the season so favorable windows becoming quite small

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Unofficial #HCCTWO
(1) #93P could develop near Indonesia
(2) Another system could form out to sea

#wx #wxsky #cyclone

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The sun has risen over the 4 current Invests in the world (From left to right: #99S #93P #94P #92P), all of which have at least a moderate chance of developing over the next few days.

#wx #wxsky #cyclone

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Unofficial #HCCTWO
(1,2) #99S and #93P likely to develop
(3) #92P beginning to run out of time
(4) #94P could develop near 92P
(5) A system could threaten the Mascarene Islands next week

#wx #wxsky #cyclone

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Unofficial #HCCTWO
(1) #Taliah still lingering out to sea
(2,3,4,5) #99S, #93P, #92P, and another signal all looking more likely to form

#wx #wxsky #cyclone

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