#DeepUncertainty

SSRN

@ssrn.bsky.social

1 month ago

Rethinking Uncertainty: Why Disaster and Climate Risk Models Must Move Beyond Logic Trees

This paper by Velasco-Reyes & Pui calls for adopting Bayesian inference and causal hypergraphs to improve climate and disaster risk models, capturing complex feedbacks and deep uncertainties. spkl.io/63322Asggw #ClimateRisk #RiskModeling #DeepUncertainty

Julien Haye

@hayejulien.bsky.social

1 year ago

CPD Interview with Roger Spitz on RiskMasters In this CPD episode of RiskMasters, host Julien Haye welcomes Roger Spitz, a futurist, author, and foresight specialist.

Listen to our latest interview on RiskMasters with Roger Spitz,
a futurist, author, and foresight specialist.

www.aevitium.com/post/roger-s...

@wucker.bsky.social #RiskMasters #PodcastEpisode #RiskManagement #Foresight #Complexity #ScenarioPlanning #DeepUncertainty #resilience #Adaptability

RolfGroeneveld.bsky.social

@rolfgroeneveld.bsky.social

1 year ago

Stakeholders are more than opponents who might throw sand in the gears; they might actually spot considerations you hadn’t thought of. This also raises questions on how we do #CostBenefitAnalysis under #DeepUncertainty #WickedProblems #PostNormalScience (9/9)

Anna Nagurney

@annanagurney.bsky.social

5 years ago

Embracing the Uncertainties https://nyti.ms/2UOWJXR I am certain that my #orms colleagues will enjoy this article, with even #uncertainty #quantification noted. #risk #modeling #statistics #deepuncertainty #coronavirus #pandemic

Valérie Masson-Delmotte

@valmasdel.bsky.social

5 years ago

#deepuncertainty was introduced in #SROCC glossary:
http://ipcc.ch/report/SROCC

#SROCC cases:
- permafrost & GHG emissions
- Antarctica & sea level rise
- compound risk & cascading impacts

+ on decision making under deep uncertainty:...