The report, completed about a week before the United States and Israel initiated the war on Feb. 28, outlined succession scenarios stemming from either a narrowly tailored campaign against Iranβs leaders or a broader assault against its leadership and government institutions, the people familiar with its findings said. In both cases, the intelligence concluded that Iranβs clerical and military establishment would respond to the killing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei by following protocols designed to preserve continuity of power, these people said.
The prospect of Iranβs fragmented opposition taking control of the country was described as βunlikely,β said the people, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss a classified report.
Intel report warns large-scale war 'unlikely' to oust Iranβs regime
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