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The letter "p" is repeated multiple times on a blank background. All but one of the letters are gray; one "p" in the center is distinctive because it is red.

The letter "p" is repeated multiple times on a blank background. All but one of the letters are gray; one "p" in the center is distinctive because it is red.

In our latest blog post, we outline two approaches to reporting significant p values in tables and figures.

๐Ÿ”— apastyle.apa.org/blog/methods...

#Statistics #BehavioralStatistics #AcWri #APAStyleTables #APAStyleFigures #pValues

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#statstab #455 False Discovery Rate (FDR) and q-values

Thoughts: The q-value of a test is the expected proportion of false positives among all hypotheses with p-values as small or smaller than that test.

#pvalues #qvalues #FDR #FWER #error

www.nonlinear.com/support/prog...

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#FactCheck Friday! P values depend on the effect size, not the sample size. FALSE! They depend on both, and it's not unusual for studies with large sample sizes to yield small #Pvalues even when the #EffectSize is so small it's clinically irrelevant. institutionalrepository.aah.org/jpcrr/vol10/...

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YES! #stat #statsky #research #researchsky #statistics #pvalues #science #sciencesky

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Permutation Tests for Regression, (Repeated Measures) ANOVA/ANCOVA and Comparison of Signals Functions to compute p-values based on permutation tests. Regression, ANOVA and ANCOVA, omnibus F-tests, marginal unilateral and bilateral t-tests are available. Several methods to handle nuisance var...

#statstab #460 {permuco} permutation tests in linear models with nuisances variables

Thoughts: Supports ANOVA, ANCOVA, t-tests and more.

#permutation #randomization #ANOVA #rstats #r #pvalues #ancova #ttest

jaromilfrossard.github.io/permuco/inde...

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Significance tests, p-values, and falsificationism This thread takes its inspiration from the recent discussions in social science and statistics about significance tests, what theyโ€™re good for, whether p-values should be banned, and what all of that ...

#statstab #449 Significance tests, p-values, and falsificationism

Thoughts: A statistician and a philosopher debate p-values (not the setup to a joke). Good thread.

#pvalues #significance #nhst #fisher #greenland #epistemology #statistics

discourse.datamethods.org/t/significan...

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Enlightened monks. Crying babies. Data scientists

๐Ÿ‘€ All bound by the same trauma: p-values

The too-high one
The model that made no sense
The sketchy dataset you used anyway
Bayes wonโ€™t absolve youโ€”but it will help you understand

๐Ÿ‘‡ Step into the Bayesian Booth. Confess.

#BayesianMethods #pvalues

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When to use Fisher versus Neyman-Pearson framework? I've been reading a lot lately about the differences between Fisher's method of hypothesis testing and the Neyman-Pearson school of thought. My question is, ignoring philosophical objections, when ...

#statstab #384 When to use Fisher versus Neyman-Pearson framework?

Thoughts: 13y old post, still a good read today. Uni season is almost upon us, so it's good to learn this stuff.

#NHST #pvalues #RAFisher #NeymanPearson #Fisher #forum
#statsexchange

stats.stackexchange.com/questions/23...

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#FactCheck Friday! P values depend on the effect size, not the sample size. FALSE! They depend on both, and it's not unusual for studies with large sample sizes to yield small #Pvalues even when the #EffectSize is so small it's clinically irrelevant. institutionalrepository.aah.org/jpcrr/vol10/...

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โ€˜A big winโ€™: Dubious statistical results are becoming less common in psychology Fewer papers are reporting findings on the border of statistical significance, a potential marker of dodgy research practices

โ€˜A big winโ€™: Dubious statistical results are becoming less common in psychology: www.science.org/content/arti...

#Science #Psychology #ScholarlyPublishing #AcademicPublishing #AcademicSky #AcademicPublishing #AcademicChatter #Data #PValues

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CPH Focus: Evidence-Based Approaches to Public Health: Biostatistics โ€“ Inferential Statistics: p-Values and Statistical Significance ALT: Abstract print featuring vibrant blocks of red, blue, yellow, and green colors, arranged in organic shapes and loose silhouettes, suggesting figures and landscapes in a lively, expressive style.

๐Ÿ›Ÿ ๐Ÿงช CPH Focus: Decode the meaning of p-values & statistical significance, key to interpreting study results in public health research. Clarify your knowledge with clear explanations and practice questions here: buff.ly/KS5xH11 #EpiSky #MedSky #Biostatistics #pValues #CPH #PublicHealth

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A Pragmatic Approach to Statistical Testing and Estimation (PASTE) The p-value has dominated research in education and related fields and a statistically non-significant p-value is quite commonly interpreted as โ€˜confirmingโ€™ the null hypothesis (H0) of โ€˜equivalenceโ€™. ...

#statstab #359 A Pragmatic Approach to Statistical Testing and Estimation (PASTE)

Thought: A (basic) guide to some alternatives to p-values: bayesian posterior intervals, Bayes Factors, and AIC.

#NHST #pvalues #TOST #BayesFactor #AIC #modelcomparison

doi.org/10.1016/j.hp...

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Frontiers | Confidence intervals and tests are two sides of the same research question A commentary on The new statistics: why and how by Cumming, G. (2014). The new statistics: why and how. Psychol. Sci. 25(1), 7-29. doi: 10.1177/0956797613504...

#statstab #337 Confidence intervals and tests are two sides of the same research question

Thoughts: Comment describing the connection between NHST p-values/test and Confidence Intervals (CI).

#NHST #ConfidenceIntervals #pvalues #frequentist #estimation

doi.org/10.3389/fpsy...

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Redirecting

#statstab #309 The statistical significance filter leads to overoptimistic expectations of replicability

Thoughts: Not sure how many researchers interpret p-values are indexes of replicability, but they shouldn't.

#replication #pvalues #TypeMerror #meta

doi.org/10.1016/j.jm...

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This #editorial offers guidance for medical researchers on the proper use & interpretation of #Pvalues and provides a broader discussion about effect size estimates, confidence intervals, & clinical implications when interpreting #quantitative results. institutionalrepository.aah.org/jpcrr/vol10/...

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#statstab #300 (!!!) ๐Ÿฅณ๐ŸŽ‰
Beyond the forest plot: The drapery plot

Thoughts: I can't believe they didn't call these 'tepee plots'.
I think they are cluttered, but can be useful.

#metaanalysis #pvalues #consonancecurve #pvaluefunction #dataviz #prediction #plots #figures #R

doi.org/10.1002/jrsm...

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#statstab #298 Replication: Do not trust your p-value, be it small or large

Thoughts: Even under exact replications, a p-values is not very good at predicting the p-value in a future study. p=.05 ~ 50% rep
#pvalues #replication #estimation #metascience
physoc.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1113/...

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Frontiers | The meaning of significance in data testing Recent developments in psychology (e.g., Woolston, 2015a; Trafimow, 2014; Nuzzo, 2014) are showing apparently reasonable but inherently flawed positions agai...

#statstab #289 The meaning of significance in data testing

Thoughts: Fisherian significance testing =/= Neyman-Pearson statistical hypothesis testing. Many debates on p-values and frequentist stats are due to this confusion.

#pvalues #NHST #frequentist

doi.org/10.3389/fpsy...

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Intro Statistics 9 Dance of the p Values
Intro Statistics 9 Dance of the p Values YouTube video by Geoff Cumming

#statstab #287 Dance of the p Values

Thoughts: One of my go-to demonstrations for the variability of p-values, and why they say so little about a study.

#pvalues #NHST #education #estimation #frequentist #replication #error #visualization #teaching

youtu.be/5OL1RqHrZQ8

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4 different meanings of p-value (and how my thinking has changed) | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

#statstab #272 Different meanings of p-values

Thoughts: A riveting (& confusing) discussion on the definitions & properties of p-values. W/ guest appearance from some big names in stats, from all camps

#NHST #pvalues #divergence #bayes #compatibility

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2023/04/14/4...

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The p-value and model specification in statistics The p value has been widely used as a way to summarise the significance in data analysis. However, misuse and misinterpretation of the p value is common in practice. Our result shows that if the model...

#statstab #255 The p-value and model specification in statistics

Thoughts: Little thought is given to the appropriateness of the test and its assumptions.

#pvalues #nhst #nullhypothesis #testing #ttest #fisher

gpsych.bmj.com/content/32/3...

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If you are teaching an introduction to statistics course this spring and are looking for a fun way to illustrate p-values to your students, I've found this to be effective for undergrad crowds. #statistics #education #pvalues

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DESeq2 P-Value Histogram

DESeq2 P-Value Histogram

The p-value histogram shows a strong peak near zero, confirming that many genes are significantly differentially expressed in response to HOCl treatment.

#Bioinformatics #RNAseq #PValues

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OSF

#statstab #234 Not all alphas can be justified

Thoughts: When using discrete distributions, with few outcomes, your alpha cannot always take the values you want. Same with the distribution of p-values under the null.

#pvalues #nhst #errorcontrol #alpha

osf.io/preprints/ps...

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Ha! The infamous p < 0.05? Fisher picked it as a simple, flexible thresholdโ€”not a universal rule. Journals turned it into dogma, ignoring context & effect sizes. Fisher even warned against this; he viewed p-values as a continuum of evidence. So โœ… #StatsSky #pvalues

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Large samples can make trivial effects look significant (e.g., p=0.001 for a tiny 0.01% blood pressure change). Small samples can miss meaningful effects due to low power. P-values โ‰  importanceโ€”context and effect size matter! #Statssky #pvalues ๐Ÿ“‰

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#statstab #217 The distribution of p-values obtained in replications depends only on the original p-value. How can it be true?

Thoughts: A great discussion where the author chimes in to explain the issue.

#replication #pvalues #confidenceinvervals #bayes

stats.stackexchange.com/questions/25...

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An awareness of the history of p-values might elp deflate their swollen stature and encourage more judicious use. We were surprised to learn, in the course of writing this article, that the p < 0.05 cutoff was established as a competitive response to a disagreement over book royalties between two foundational statisticians. In the early 1920s, Kendall Pearson, whose income depended on the sale of extensive statistical tables, was unwilling to allow Ronald A. Fisher to use them in his new book. To work around this barrier, Fisher created a method of inference based on only two values: p-values of 0.05 and 0.01 (Hurlbert and Lombardi,
2009). Fisher himself later admitted that Pearson's more continuous method of inference was better than his binary approach: "no scientific worker has a fixed level of significance at which from year to year, and in all circumstances, he rejects [null] hypotheses; he rather gives his mind to each particular case in the light of his evidence and ideas (Hurlbert and Lombardi, 2009: 316). A fair interpretation of this history is that we use p-values at east in part because a statistician from the 1920s was afraid that sharing his work would undermine his income

An awareness of the history of p-values might elp deflate their swollen stature and encourage more judicious use. We were surprised to learn, in the course of writing this article, that the p < 0.05 cutoff was established as a competitive response to a disagreement over book royalties between two foundational statisticians. In the early 1920s, Kendall Pearson, whose income depended on the sale of extensive statistical tables, was unwilling to allow Ronald A. Fisher to use them in his new book. To work around this barrier, Fisher created a method of inference based on only two values: p-values of 0.05 and 0.01 (Hurlbert and Lombardi, 2009). Fisher himself later admitted that Pearson's more continuous method of inference was better than his binary approach: "no scientific worker has a fixed level of significance at which from year to year, and in all circumstances, he rejects [null] hypotheses; he rather gives his mind to each particular case in the light of his evidence and ideas (Hurlbert and Lombardi, 2009: 316). A fair interpretation of this history is that we use p-values at east in part because a statistician from the 1920s was afraid that sharing his work would undermine his income

#statistics #pvalues #math #analytics

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Limitations of empirical calibration of p-values using observational data Controversy over non-reproducible published research reporting a statistically significant result has produced substantial discussion in the literature. P-value calibration is a recently proposed proc...

#statstab #209 Limitations of empirical calibration of p-values using observational data

Thoughts: Obs research doesn't need p-values but ppl keep tryin to make'em happen

#pvalues #observational #empirical #causal
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC...
rebuttal
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/27592566/

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Are Multiple Contrast Tests Superior to the ANOVA? Multiple contrast tests can be used to test arbitrary linear hypotheses by providing local and global test decisions as well as simultaneous confidence intervals. The ANOVA- F -test on the contrary ca...

#statstab #186 Are Multiple Contrast Tests Superior to the ANOVA?

Thoughts: Focuses more on the statistical aspects of the comparison than the theoretical ones. But insightful for newbies.

#nhst #anova #ttest #errorcontrol
#typeI #pvalues

www.degruyter.com/document/doi...

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