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Posts tagged #PolicyInsight

Tariffs, the dollar, and the US economy: A discussion of the ‘Mar-a-Lago accord’ Proponents of the ‘Mar-a-Lago Accord’ share an ambition to revitalise US industry and redress the country’s current account through the aggressive use of tariffs and, specifically, a reduction in the US dollar’s status as the dominant global reserve currency. This column argues that this strategy is based on a biased appreciation of the US situation and the costs and benefits for the US of the current regime. The strategy may prove extremely self-defeating for the US in the long run.

8/11 Jean-Pierre Landau argues in a CEPR #PolicyInsight and accompanying VoxEU column that a reduction in the US dollar's status as the dominant reserve currency may prove extremely self-defeating for the US in the long run. cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky #2025inReview

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BasisPointInsight.com - Base-Year Syndrome in India’s Real GDP Growth by Barendra Kumar Bhoi High real GDP and low inflation reflect more statistical noise than economic strength. Outdated base years distort India’s growth picture and complicate policy choices. by Barendra Kumar Bhoi, BasisPo...

3/3 As India prepares to update the base year for CPI, IIP and GDP, the real picture may shift.

Read Barendra Kumar Bhoi’s analysis for BasisPoint: Base-Year Syndrome in India’s Real GDP Growth 👇

#PolicyInsight #BasisPointInsight

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To accompany the publication of their #PolicyInsight, VoxEU is re-promoting Rabah Arezki & Frederick van der Ploeg's column from earlier this year that summarises what they refer to as 'a new curse of critical minerals' and how to avert it.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

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New CEPR #PolicyInsight by Rabah Arezki & Frederick van der Ploeg highlights the dualism of institutions required for developing countries to navigate the global race for natural resources.
Policy Insight: cepr.org/publications...
VoxEU Column: cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

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The Conflict of the South China Sea and Great Power Politics - Stratheia An overview of the South China Sea dispute, historic claims, resource rivalry, and its geopolitical significance in Asia-Pacific security.

China’s expanding “10-dash line” and militarized islands reveal how resource competition and strategic control shape Asia’s most volatile maritime zone. Understanding this dispute is key to regional peace.
#ChinaSea #IndoPacific #PolicyInsight
stratheia.com/the-conflict...

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Stephen Cecchetti and Kermit L. Schoenholtz argued in a recent CEPR #PolicyInsight that tokenisation is the truly transformative innovation in finance today.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

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Policy Insight 137: Europe: Back to Domestic Growth On 15 December 2024, Mario Draghi spoke at a dinner hosted by CEPR, in association with its 3rd Paris Symposium, about his recently published report on the future of European competitiveness. Domestic growth in Europe has been well below what could have been achieved in recent years, due to factors such as lack of progress in removing barriers within the single market and restrictive fiscal policy. This depressed growth rate has in turn lowered innovation, which then further lowered the growth rate. Maintaining the current EU social model will be costly and such low growth rates cannot support this. Draghi speaks eloquently about the structural reforms and large scale investments needed within Europe to improve the situation.

Mario Draghi spoke at a CEPR-hosted dinner last year to discuss his report on EU #competitiveness. Structural reforms and large scale investments are needed to bring back European domestic #growth. His full speech can be found in this #PolicyInsight.
cepr.org/publications...
#EconSky #SOTEU 🧵2/6

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🪙Read the VoxEU summary of the new CEPR #PolicyInsight on #Crypto, tokenisation, and the future of payments here: cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

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New CEPR #PolicyInsight 146 - Crypto, tokenisation, and the future of payments
Stephen Cecchetti & Kermit L. Schoenholtz review the current state of the #crypto ecosystem and analyse the US' efforts to promote a 'payments #stablecoin'.
Free download: cepr.org/publications...
#EconSky

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In this Policy Insight, drawn from the 2025 Paris Report, the authors argue for a new approach to finance nature-based provision of carbon and biodiversity benefits: one that takes shares in projects as the main asset to be traded, rather than credits. In our mechanism, jurisdictions propose nature-positive large-scale projects. Investors buy shares in these projects. Shares do not affect land ownership but produce carbon and biodiversity dividends. Prices in the primary market are used to pin down investor preferences over project attributes and generate conversion rates for different projects in the secondary market, thereby fostering liquidity for investors. Compared to existing credit-based approaches, our mechanism accounts for the unavoidable non-permanence of forests and fosters long-term thinking for market participants. Additionally, our mechanism lowers transaction costs, encourages additionality, and reduces leakage. The Insight proposes several venues to support demand for this new market and discuss options available to adapt the mechanism to pure conservation projects, which are essential but less amenable to be turned into dividend-producing assets because they generate lower climate and biodiversity flow benefits.

In this Policy Insight, drawn from the 2025 Paris Report, the authors argue for a new approach to finance nature-based provision of carbon and biodiversity benefits: one that takes shares in projects as the main asset to be traded, rather than credits. In our mechanism, jurisdictions propose nature-positive large-scale projects. Investors buy shares in these projects. Shares do not affect land ownership but produce carbon and biodiversity dividends. Prices in the primary market are used to pin down investor preferences over project attributes and generate conversion rates for different projects in the secondary market, thereby fostering liquidity for investors. Compared to existing credit-based approaches, our mechanism accounts for the unavoidable non-permanence of forests and fosters long-term thinking for market participants. Additionally, our mechanism lowers transaction costs, encourages additionality, and reduces leakage. The Insight proposes several venues to support demand for this new market and discuss options available to adapt the mechanism to pure conservation projects, which are essential but less amenable to be turned into dividend-producing assets because they generate lower climate and biodiversity flow benefits.

New CEPR #PolicyInsight 145 Designing and scaling up nature-based markets
@estellecantillon.bsky.social, E Lambin & @wederdim.bsky.social describe a new approach to finance nature-based provision of carbon and biodiversity benefits through shares instead of credits.
cepr.org/publications...
#EconSky

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The global effort to combat climate change and biodiversity loss increasingly hinges on the choices made by emerging and developing economies. While advanced economies retain influence through emissions, trade, and technology, their relative share in global greenhouse gas emissions is declining. Rapid, inclusive, and low-carbon development pathways in countries like India, Indonesia, Brazil, South Africa, and especially China, are now pivotal. However, geopolitical tensions and waning leadership - particularly from the United States - threaten progress toward the goals set out in the Paris Agreement. To maintain momentum, this Policy Brief advocates for pragmatic “coalitions of the willing” that align climate, biodiversity, trade, and finance objectives. The European Union, with its leadership on climate policy and credibility in international negotiations, must spearhead these alliances, working closely with emerging markets to deliver systemic, cooperative solutions for a sustainable future.

The global effort to combat climate change and biodiversity loss increasingly hinges on the choices made by emerging and developing economies. While advanced economies retain influence through emissions, trade, and technology, their relative share in global greenhouse gas emissions is declining. Rapid, inclusive, and low-carbon development pathways in countries like India, Indonesia, Brazil, South Africa, and especially China, are now pivotal. However, geopolitical tensions and waning leadership - particularly from the United States - threaten progress toward the goals set out in the Paris Agreement. To maintain momentum, this Policy Brief advocates for pragmatic “coalitions of the willing” that align climate, biodiversity, trade, and finance objectives. The European Union, with its leadership on climate policy and credibility in international negotiations, must spearhead these alliances, working closely with emerging markets to deliver systemic, cooperative solutions for a sustainable future.

New CEPR #PolicyInsight 144 Building coalitions for climate transition & nature restoration
@pisaniferry.bsky.social @wederdim.bsky.social & @jzettelmeyer.bsky.social advocate for pragmatic coalitions of the willing to align climate, biodiversity, trade & finance objectives.
cepr.org/publications...

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As Europe becomes a "longevity society" with longer life expectancies and low birth rates, many regions are starting to face population decline.

How can cities stay vibrant and attractive?

Explore our latest #PolicyInsight by @jpheisig.bsky.social for the #Mapineq project!

🔗 tinyurl.com/bxx9zeez

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⭐Every CEPR #PolicyInsight also has an accompanying summary on VoxEU written by the author!

Read the latest column here: cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

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Government spending on defence, particularly defence R&D, can have significant economic spillovers. This column argues that the forthcoming European defence build-up must include a long-term strategy to develop high-quality human capital. Military human capital development serves a dual-purpose role: it is crucial for the modern (largely non-combat) battlefield, and also valuable for long-run productivity growth. Israel provides a good example of how military service can become a driver of innovation, by giving recruits intensive technical training and providing an open intellectual property environment. Economists can contribute by designing effective procurement systems and helping address collective action problems.

Government spending on defence, particularly defence R&D, can have significant economic spillovers. This column argues that the forthcoming European defence build-up must include a long-term strategy to develop high-quality human capital. Military human capital development serves a dual-purpose role: it is crucial for the modern (largely non-combat) battlefield, and also valuable for long-run productivity growth. Israel provides a good example of how military service can become a driver of innovation, by giving recruits intensive technical training and providing an open intellectual property environment. Economists can contribute by designing effective procurement systems and helping address collective action problems.

Manuel Trajtenberg argues in a new CEPR #PolicyInsight that the forthcoming European #defence build-up must include a long-term strategy to develop high-quality human capital as defence spending can have significant economic spillovers.
Download for free: cepr.org/publications...
#EconSky

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This Policy Insight examines a set of proposals gaining traction among economists and policymakers aligned with the new US administration, who seek to overhaul the global trading and financial system to better serve US economic interests. Departing from traditional protectionism, this emerging approach embraces tariffs as tools for revenue generation and burden sharing, while framing persistent trade deficits as symptoms of broader macroeconomic imbalances - particularly a chronically overvalued dollar driven by global capital inflows. These inflows, the authors argue, result from both domestic distortions in surplus economies like China and the dollar’s role as the world’s dominant reserve currency. The proposed remedies include unconventional measures, such as penalising foreign reserve accumulation in dollars, accepting a reduced international role for the currency as a necessary trade-off for revitalising US industry and correcting current account imbalances. Drawing primarily on recent work by Miran (2024) and Pettis and Hogan (2024), the Insight explores the technical underpinnings of the ‘new arrangement’ and assesses its implications for the long-term health of the US economy.

This Policy Insight examines a set of proposals gaining traction among economists and policymakers aligned with the new US administration, who seek to overhaul the global trading and financial system to better serve US economic interests. Departing from traditional protectionism, this emerging approach embraces tariffs as tools for revenue generation and burden sharing, while framing persistent trade deficits as symptoms of broader macroeconomic imbalances - particularly a chronically overvalued dollar driven by global capital inflows. These inflows, the authors argue, result from both domestic distortions in surplus economies like China and the dollar’s role as the world’s dominant reserve currency. The proposed remedies include unconventional measures, such as penalising foreign reserve accumulation in dollars, accepting a reduced international role for the currency as a necessary trade-off for revitalising US industry and correcting current account imbalances. Drawing primarily on recent work by Miran (2024) and Pettis and Hogan (2024), the Insight explores the technical underpinnings of the ‘new arrangement’ and assesses its implications for the long-term health of the US economy.

A new CEPR #PolicyInsight by Jean-Pierre Landau explores the technical underpinnings of the #tariff policy gaining traction among those aligned with the #US administration as well as the implications for the long-term health of the US economy.
cepr.org/publications...
#EconSky

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New CEPR Policy Insight titled: "How large is the investment gap in the EU and how to close it?"
By: Marco Buti, Marcello Messori, Debora Revoltella, and Diego Vila Martin

Boosting investment in innovation is essential if the European economy is to avoid drifting away from the technology frontier. This column argues, however, that it is illusory to immediately replace traditional with innovative investments. It follows that, as recommended by Mario Draghi in his report on European competitiveness, substantial public and private resources need to be mobilised in the next several years. The depth of financial markets and targeted public incentives will be key in speeding up the substitution between traditional and innovative technologies.

New CEPR Policy Insight titled: "How large is the investment gap in the EU and how to close it?" By: Marco Buti, Marcello Messori, Debora Revoltella, and Diego Vila Martin Boosting investment in innovation is essential if the European economy is to avoid drifting away from the technology frontier. This column argues, however, that it is illusory to immediately replace traditional with innovative investments. It follows that, as recommended by Mario Draghi in his report on European competitiveness, substantial public and private resources need to be mobilised in the next several years. The depth of financial markets and targeted public incentives will be key in speeding up the substitution between traditional and innovative technologies.

Substantial public & private resources need to be mobilised in the #EU in the next several years to work toward closing the #investment gap between member states and between the EU and US.
M Buti, M Messori, D Revoltella, D Vila Martin
Free download: cepr.org/publications...
#EconSky #PolicyInsight

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📢New CEPR #PolicyInsight
Replacing foreign aid: A macroeconomic plan B for #Ukraine (and Europe)

Read the accompanying VoxEU column here: cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

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New CEPR #PolicyInsight by T Becker, B Eichengreen, @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social, S Guriev, @simonhrjohnson.bsky.social, T Mylovanov, M Obstfeld, K Rogoff, I Sologoub, & @wederdim.bsky.social.

How can #Ukraine sustain the war effort with reduced aid?

Free Download: cepr.org/publications...
#EconSky

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This Vox column is a summary of the longer CEPR #PolicyInsight 139: Contracts in the reform of the EU electricity market.
Read the full Policy Insight here: cepr.org/publications...

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Expanding household electricity access Access to electricity is a critical ingredient in improving human well-being and raising living standards, but the existing evidence suggests that it is just one component of poverty reduction rather ...

🔌 At least 680 million people live without electricity. While access to electricity is critical to improving well-being, our latest #PolicyInsight reviews 17 #RCTs studies and finds that electricity access is not a standalone solution to poverty. www.povertyactionlab.org/policy-insig...

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Ukraine’s science and innovation sector has suffered significant setbacks since the full-scale Russian invasion in 2022, yet it remains an essential pillar for the country’s future economic resilience. This column discusses several priority areas for policies to support the sector in Ukraine, with a key focus on the development of human capital, international collaboration, and regional innovation, so that it can be a driver of economic recovery.

Ukraine’s science and innovation sector has suffered significant setbacks since the full-scale Russian invasion in 2022, yet it remains an essential pillar for the country’s future economic resilience. This column discusses several priority areas for policies to support the sector in Ukraine, with a key focus on the development of human capital, international collaboration, and regional innovation, so that it can be a driver of economic recovery.

New #PolicyInsight! There are several priority areas to support science and #innovation in #Ukraine - development of human capital, international collaboration, and regional innovation.
Y Bezvershenko, @inaganguli.bsky.social, O Talavera, @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

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On 15 December 2024, Mario Draghi spoke at a dinner hosted by CEPR, in association with its 3rd Paris Symposium, about his recently published report on the future of European competitiveness. Domestic growth in Europe has been well below what could have been achieved in recent years, due to factors such as lack of progress in removing barriers within the single market and restrictive fiscal policy. This depressed growth rate has in turn lowered innovation, which then further lowered the growth rate.
Maintaining the current EU social model will be costly and such low growth rates cannot support this. Draghi speaks eloquently about the structural reforms and large scale investments needed within Europe to improve the situation.

On 15 December 2024, Mario Draghi spoke at a dinner hosted by CEPR, in association with its 3rd Paris Symposium, about his recently published report on the future of European competitiveness. Domestic growth in Europe has been well below what could have been achieved in recent years, due to factors such as lack of progress in removing barriers within the single market and restrictive fiscal policy. This depressed growth rate has in turn lowered innovation, which then further lowered the growth rate. Maintaining the current EU social model will be costly and such low growth rates cannot support this. Draghi speaks eloquently about the structural reforms and large scale investments needed within Europe to improve the situation.

Mario #Draghi provides additional insight into his report on European #competitiveness.

3 key areas of improvement for #Europe going forward: revitilising domestic demand, completing the single market, & integrating capital markets.

Read the #PolicyInsight here: cepr.org/publications...
#EconSky

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"Work-life balance" oversimplifies modern parenthood.

Time scarcity, intensive parenting, and competing goals are reshaping fertility decisions. Let’s rethink balance and explore “lifestyle equilibrium”

Check out our #PolicyInsight by Ewa Jarosz @labfam.bsky.social 🌍👶

🔗 tinyurl.com/233dj5y7

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How do local resources influence individuals' and households’ ability to meet their basic needs across regions in the European Union?

Check out the newest #PolicyInsight we have written showcasing results from the Mapineq project, led by @janierola.net !

🔗 tinyurl.com/55e5kwr5

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Trump’s energy agenda in the next administration: A closer look - Washington Examiner The Washington Examiner has taken a closer look at what exactly Trump’s energy agenda might look like in practice.

🌿🔍 With Trump's energy agenda spotlighting deregulation and fossil fuels, the debate on sustainable energy solutions intensifies. What path should the U.S. take? #SustainableEnergy #PolicyInsight www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/energ...

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