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From general research questions to specific answers: Underspecificity as a source of uncertainty in biological conservation Species distribution modelling may support ecologists in conservation decision-making. However, the applicability of management recommendations depend…

When research questions are too vague, conservation models start to disagree, uncertainty explodes 💥 and decisions get shaky.
👉 Be specific. Be explicit. 📊🌍 #SDMs #LessVagueMoreUseful
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

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🐻 How much space do #brownbears still have in Europe?

🌍 #SDMs show that ~37% of the continent remains suitable #habitat, but #connectivity is fragmented by #agriculture and human development, highlighting the need for transboundary #conservation.

🔗 doi.org/10.1111/ddi....

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Seasonal and Multidecadal Changes in the Distribution of Small Cetaceans Inhabiting the Western North Pacific Under a Changing Ocean Environment, Inferred From Species Distribution Models Aim For several decades, substantial efforts have monitored cetacean distribution and abundance in the western North Pacific. Large-scale visual-based line transect surveys have been conducted since...

🐬Cetacean data in the North Pacific are mostly summer-biased, yet #dolphinfisheries occur in winter.
Using long-term sightings and #SDMs, this study reveals seasonal distribution shifts and climate-driven changes critical for #cetacean conservation.

🔗 doi.org/10.1111/ddi....

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🌱 How far can plants really shift their future range under #climatechange? Using #SDMs for 1318 European species, this study shows that most #plants can’t track shifting climates.

⚠️ Authors suggest caution in assuming #dispersal capability in SDMs.

🔗 doi.org/10.1111/ddi....

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🌱 Managing #invasivespecies requires balance: too much regulation fuels conflict, too little fuels spread. Using guava as a model in South Africa, this study shows how spatially tuned #SDMs can guide proportional regulation, reducing unnecessary restrictions. 🌐

🔗 doi.org/10.1111/ddi....

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🐟 Using #SDMs, researchers mapped how #bulltrout in Northern Canada might respond to #climatewarming. If they can’t adapt, suitable habitat may shrink by up to 46% — but with niche expansion, driven by local #adaptation, it could grow instead. 🗺️

🔗 doi.org/10.1111/ddi....

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Mountain #biodiversity is highly threatened by #ClimateChange. ⛰️ Using #SDMs for 272 #lichens across the Alps, this new study reveals major habitat losses and unexpected refugia in deep valleys, urging targeted conservation.

🔗 doi.org/10.1111/ddi....

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🗺️ Mapping #prey availability is key to improving #SDMs, refine habitat estimates for listed #predators and identify priority regions for #Conservation.

👉 doi.org/10.1111/ddi....

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New paper published! 📰

🐸 Modelling Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis presence and intensity using high spatial and temporal resolution weather data

👉 doi.org/10.1111/ddi.70…

#SDMs #amphibianconservation #climaterefugia #Batrachochytrium

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Yesterday, we had a webinar organised by the #PEPR #FORESTT on the use of species distribution models #SDMs with application in forestry 🌳🌲 You can watch 📹 16 talks on this topic, including one on the impacts of microclimatic processes for species (re)distribution ⬇️

tinyurl.com/4yerk68n

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📊 Using Boosted Regression Trees, we project habitat suitability under two climate scenarios:

🌱 SSP1-2.6 (low forcing)
🔥 SSP5-8.5 (high forcing)

We then assess predator–prey spatial overlap.

#SDMs #SpeciesDistributionModels

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Big thanks to everyone who attended my talk at the Iberian Ecological Society Conference and shared your feedback—and to Pontevedra (Galicia) for the non-rainy days! ☀️

We presented our first results on aquatic species distribution models designed for freshwater systems!

More soon #Ecology #SDMs

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Multi-taxon predictions of deep-sea #corals and #sponges from stacked species distribution models #SDMs in the United States West Coast and relation to #trawl closure zones

doi.org/10.1111/ddi....

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Nuevo puesto vacante en Tragsa para modelización de la distribución de especies en R #SDMs. En Madrid con 50% teletrabajo, 6 meses con posibilidad de prórroga. Aplicación hasta el 8 de Junio, date prisa! #modelos #nicho #distribucion
www.tragsa.es/_layouts/15/...

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🛠️ A new tool for biodiversity conservation! @daviser95.bsky.social et al., developed a framework combining #SDMs, #connectivity, and individual-based models to support #reintroductions planning, demonstrating its use on the Eurasian #lynx in the Apennines. 🌍🧬

doi.org/10.1111/ddi.70…

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Genial la edición del #tallerModelizaciónGBIF2025. Jornadas muy interesantes y compartidas con un equipo estupendo. ¡Gracias a todos! #SDMs #curso @gbif.es

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Our new review article shows how hierarchical models (N-SDMs) allow combining spatial scales to avoid errors and improve predictions under climate change. #SDMS #ClimateChange besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

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Spatially nested species distribution models (N‐SDM): An effective tool to overcome niche truncation for more robust inference and projections N-SDMs are key tools to develop untruncated regional climate change forecasts of species distributions at fine resolution over restricted extents. While several N-SDM approaches were proposed, there ....

Nuestro nuevo artículo de revisión muestra cómo los modelos jerárquicos (N-SDMs) permiten combinar escalas para evitar errores y mejorar las predicciones bajo cambio climático.
🔗 doi.org/10.1111/1365...
#SDMs #ClimateChange #Ecology

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Ya tenemos la lista de los alumnos de esta edición! Si te has quedado sin plaza, atento a la edición del año que viene @gbif.es. Nos vemos el próximo Martes! 💻🐻🌳🌐 #tallerModelizaciónGBIF2025 #SDMs #Madrid #Curso

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How do island endemics fare in a rapidly changing 🌎?

We focused on Evvia, a Mediterranean biodiversity hotspot, using #SDMs and a variety of other macroecological analyses.

Check it out here:

www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/13...

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Multiple Threshold‐Selection Methods Are Needed to Binarise Species Distribution Model Predictions Aim Probabilities of occurrence predicted by species distribution models (SDMs) are routinely binarised based on a threshold that maximises the true skill statistic. Recently, the true skill statist...

Binarising probability values from species distribution models #SDMs can be very tricky when tracking #species #range #shifts in response to #climate #change ➡️ We need to use multiple threshold-selection methods beyond just TSS which tend to underestimate range contractions 🌐🌍🌡📈💧📉

shorturl.at/R0uOx

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La lotta contro le piante invasive in Italia: un approccio innovativo per salvaguardare la biodiversità Una ricerca italiana rivoluziona il metodo di gestione delle specie aliene invasive, unendo scienza, tecnologia e impegno istituzionale di Redazione
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La lotta contro le piante invasive in Italia: un approccio innovativo per salvaguardare la biodiversità Una ricerca italiana rivoluziona il metodo di gestione delle specie aliene invasive, unendo scienza, tecnologia e impegno istituzionale di Redazione
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La lotta contro le piante invasive in Italia: un approccio innovativo per salvaguardare la biodiversità Una ricerca italiana rivoluziona il metodo di gestione delle specie aliene invasive, unendo scienza, tecnologia e impegno istituzionale di Redazione
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Quantitative assessment of past variations in Sphagnum bog community structure using paleo‐species distribution modeling A common approach to investigating species' niches is to examine relationships between spatial variation in environmental conditions and contemporary species occurrences, using species distribution m...

🚨NEW PAPER 🚨
Nice to see this collaboration on paleo-species distribution modeling out in Ecology @esajournals.bsky.social @stockholm-uni.bsky.social #peatlands #SDMs
esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

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Hope you will find it useful & that you will consider relaxing the equilibrium assumption when fitting #SDMs 😊

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Let me guide you through what we did to test time lag dynamics in species distribution models #SDMs of 🌲🌳 birds in 🇪🇺 A 🧵

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Which #Populationdynamics driver mainly promote the formation of regional #biodiversityhotspot among #Sphingidae?

doi.org/10.1111/ddi....

📸 © Chien C. Lee
#dispersal #diversificationrates #hawkmoth #Lepidotterae #SDMs

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🎊🎉New paper is out in Frontiers in #Ecology and #Evolution 🎊🎉

We used #SDMs and landscape connectivity to find Himalayan brown #bears’ suitable habitats and corridors in the Deosai National #Park and surrounding areas 🐻

Download the paper here: shorturl.at/PvmDm

#Pakistan #ecology #ursus

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Como el modelización de la distribución de especies #SDMs (20-23 de Mayo) o el de @cristinaronquillo.bsky.social sobre la calidad, adecuación y filtrado de los datos de distribución (31 Marzo - 4 Abril). Si os interesa, ¡estad atentos a la apertura de inscripciones! #Curso @gbifes.bsky.social

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