Latest posts tagged with #cliodynamics on Bluesky
Document I (axioms) + Document II (operations) = theoretical foundation complete.
Next: Document III — empirical validation on the Arab Spring (2010-2012).
All open access, CC-BY 4.0.
#Cliodynamics #QuantitativeHistory #OpenScience
The history of these #cliodynamics secular cycles rarely seem to end well. This time, considering the intersection of wealth inequality + nuclear weapons + climate change + artificial intelligence, the potential is there for it to be much, much worse than the last reset — WWII. We'll see...
Unfortunately, given what #cliodynamics seems to suggest from a study of secular cycles, the circumstances we currently find ourselves in rarely turn out well. Two differences with the '30s: climate change & the power of global, real-time communications in the hands of billionaires.
Check out the new article.
#history #physics #cliodynamics #socialphysics #sociology #society #disinformation
socialrelativity.substack.com/p/the-disson...
Surprised but still pessimistic. I think we have to fight each other some more to get it out of our systems. #Cliodynamics
news.gallup.com/poll/696494/...
The Music of Mayhem | When Power Preserves Itself Through Violence
#cliodynamics #socialphysics #history #economics #socialrelativity #genocide
open.substack.com/pub/socialre...
Where do I want to be when the next pandemic strikes? 🤔
#cliodynamics @csh.ac.at @complexly.bsky.social #socialphysics #hospitals #pandemic #socialrelativity
socialrelativity.substack.com/p/on-hospitals
Peter Turchin's End Times: Elites, counter-elites, & the path to political disintegration.
#Cliodynamics
Viewing history and its political cycles through the statistical lens & the data analysis.
The Rhythm of Ruin - why history repeats itself.
#cliodynamics #socialphysics #complexity #history #socialthermodynamics #psychohistory
socialrelativity.substack.com/p/the-rhythm...
With early morning chores completed ✔️ it is back to #reading & another #CaféAuLait.
#Booksky
#History #Cliodynamics
#Education
And Hutch 🐾 well, she's being her usual snoozy #Siberian self 🥰
#DogsOfBluesky
#HuskyLife
Bon matin à tous ☕️
In between loads of laundry, there's new pages 📖
#Booksky #NonFiction
#PeterTurchin #History
#Science #Cliodynamics
And there's #coffee ☕️ there's always coffee.
Russian-American #cliodynamics founder Peter Turchin believes the USA is in the grips of a political violent era, one that won't end until both sides are sick of it.
Hard to disagree...
www.motherjones.com/politics/202...
A Chronicle of Revolution open.substack.com/pub/petertur...
Peter Turchin now on Substack, always curious to learn what he and #Cliodynamics make of *all this*.
A helpful preface at his blog: peterturchin.com/my-blog-has-...
If you want to understand what the hell is going on in the US (and the world in general tbh)…
And you want to have some idea of how this could potentially play out, for better, or for worse…
This is a must listen 🎧 #TGS episode with #PeterTurchin
#cliodynamics
Hey #auspol
Listen to this!
My sister sent me this book and I can't wait to start it. I am curious to delve into his methodology. #cliodynamics Historians like to say we aren't fortunate tellers...🤔
#history #booksky 📚 #EndTimes
Nearly ten years on from it's publication in 2016, the parallels between the unsettling accuracy Turchin's Cliodyanmics and the fictional Seldon's Psychohistory are eerie to say the least. #cliodynamics #agesofdiscord #psychohistory (4/4)
Rage at the unaccountability of the corporate elite has been brewing for decades, and on December 4th, 2024, it found a new point of focus #BreachEvent #CounterElite #Manifesto #Cliodynamics #Technofeudalism #RageAgainstTheMachine #HumanBeings open.substack.com/pub/beiner/p...
My conversation with Ada Palmer on Viking #ethics, the laws of #history, partial victories, and her #TerraIgnota series. We delve into #theodicy, #mythology, #cliodynamics, and more.
"Almost all victories are partial, but partial victories are victories."
snglrty.co/4eJifUK
