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#fl01
Latest posts tagged with #fl01 on Bluesky
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Posts tagged #fl01
The Alex Isenstadt article about Republicans being worried about special elections came earlier than usual this time!
#PA18: 6 days before
#AZ08: 28 days before
#OH12: 7 days before
#FL01: 5 days before
#TN07: 18 days before
www.axios.com/2025/11/14/t...
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#FL01 Jimmy Patronis (R): Trump won by 37.2% ~95,000 ACA exchange enrollees WILL either lose coverage or face MASSIVE premium hikes
Since the clock is ticking & every Dem is already opposed to the bill, I'm only posting the REPUBLICAN-HELD districts below (as well as skipping CT, DE & DC for now).
#FL01 Jimmy Patronis (R): Trump won by 37.2%
~95,000 ACA exchange enrollees WILL either lose coverage or face MASSIVE premium hikes
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US House Special Elections, 1957-present:
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Updated with official results of #FL01 #FL06
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Florida Republicans Jimmy Patronis #FL01 and Randy Fine #FL06 sworn to US House by Speaker Mike Johnson, boosting House Republican majority to 220-213
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Now do #FL01!
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Because we've carefully collected data since forever, we're able to assemble this chart showing every D vs. R House special election compared to the most recent prior presidential election since Trump first won office.
Last night's race in #FL01 saw the biggest Dem overperformance in 35 races.
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Then, talk turns to FL Special Election. Guest @reidwilson.bsky.social says "Political money is finite", which made me spit my coffee. No mention that Randy Fine doesn't live in that district. No mention of how #Signalgate may affect heavily-military #FL01. (It didn't. Tribalism>Patriotism won.)
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US House Special Elections, 1957-present: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Updated with #FL01 and #FL06
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#FL01 is Floribama
The reddest district in the state
Great turnaround for the Democrats 👏🏼😃💙
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Wepaaaa!!! Los hijoeputas ganaron — #FL01 por un 15%. Trump el hijoeputa lo ganó con un 37% en noviembre. Los hijoeputas tambien ganaron #FL06 por un 14%. Trump el hijoeputa con un 30% en noviembre. Y a pesar de todos el $ que Lola Musk le puso a la campaña en Wisconsin, no la pudo comprar.
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And Dems flipped Escambia County in #FL01, in which we should take that as a win. First time since 1992.
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Republicans Win Both Florida Special House Elections, Expanding Majority to 220-213
ainewsbrew.com/article/3765
#FL06 #FL01 #FlaPol #Congress #HouseGOP #SpecialElection #Politics2025 #FloridaPolitics #HouseOfReps #ElectionResults
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We didn't win either of Florida's special elections, but look at these numbers (via @taniel.bsky.social) -
—GOP wins #FL01 by 15%.
(Trump won here by 37% in November.)
—GOP wins #FL06 by 14%.
(Trump won here by 30% in November.)
These are massive gains in DEEP red areas. Hope springs eternal!
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Los hijoeputas ganaron — #FL01 por un 15%. Trump el hijoeputa lo ganó con un 37% en noviembre. Los hijoeputas tambien ganaron #FL06 por un 14%. Trump el hijoeputa con un 30% en noviembre.
Si, ganaron hoy, pero los numeros hablan por si solos. Estos lugares su MAGA nivel dios. 👏🏾👏🏾👏🏾
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Can't think of a better night:
*Cory Booker ending Strom Thurmond's record and inspiring our movement.
*Democrats over-performing by 22 points in #FL01 and 16 points in #FL06.
*Susan Crawford winning Wisconsin handily.
*Elon Musk learning that he is NOT all-powerful.
Celebrate the wins, folks!
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Uniter
These Congressional Districts were deep, deep RED
Democrats halved 2024 margins of victory in Special Elections (Fine’s -16% in #FL06 & -22% in #FL01) & with 41% of WI in, Crawford’s up +9%.
This is NOT FINE for Republicans facing 2026 Midterms.
Stefanik, Blake Gendebien’s coming for you!
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Results according to Taniel:
—GOP wins #FL01 by 15%.
(Trump won here by 37% in November.)
—GOP wins #FL06 by 15%.
(Trump won here by 30% in November
Big shift in red FL.
Also, why Elise ain't going to NYC. Because Dems might have won NY-21 in a Special Election.
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Trending tags used in English posts in the past 60 minutes:
1) #resist
2) #art
3) #corybooker
4) #goodtrouble
5) #rhobh
6) #momsky
7) #photography
8) #filibuster
9) #fl06
10) #fl01
#trendingtags #trends
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A 23 point over-performance for Democrats in #FL01.
A 16 point over-performance for Democrats in #FL06.
If this keeps up...or becomes more pronounced...any Republican in a seat that Donald Trump won by less than 12 points will be squarely on the map in 2026.
That's *dozens* of seats.
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The #FL01 result is the one that really scares them.
Valimont had less money than Weil and faced a stronger candidate than he did.
Every Republican in a district that's less than Trump +20 district is in deep trouble. And the tariffs haven't even hit yet.
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Quasi-final margin in the two Florida specials:
—GOP wins #FL01 by 15%.
(Trump won here by 37% in November.)
—GOP wins #FL06 by 14%.
(Trump won here by 30% in November.)
The swings are in line with what we saw in the IA & PA upsets earlier this year.
Thanks for the stats,
@taniel.bsky.social
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Semi-final numbers:
#FL01: Valimont loses by 14.8 points (Trump won by 37!)
#FL06: Weil loses by 14.0 points (Trump won by 30!)
That's overperformances of 22 & 16 points respectively.
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GOP wins #FL01 by 15%.
(Trump won here by 37% in November.)
GOP wins #FL06 by 14%.
(Trump won here by 30% in November.)
Consistent 15 point swings against GOP if you include IA & PA upsets
feeling good about #Wisconsin and 2026.
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As expected, former state CFO Jimmy Patronis (R) wins the special election to replace Matt Gaetz in #FL01.
Along with their victory tonight in #FL06, Republicans will finally reach full strength in the House. The GOP is set to hold 220 seats to Democrats’ 213.
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MAGA celebrates a pathetic 5 point win a gerrymandered Trump 35+ districts #FL06 #FL01 that was meant to be a blowout! Barely scraping by in Trump country with a ‘landslide’ that’s less than 5 points.😂 Underperformance at its finest. Who needs a real majority when you’ve got this kind of ‘victory’?
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