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#YINXING, November 2024, was predicted to top at 90 kn. Later, it made landfall with 120 kn. #KONGREY, November 2024, was predicted to top at 105 kn. In its peak it got to 135 kn. #HELENE (TC NINE), September 2024, was predicted to top at 100 kn. 36 hours later it made landfall with 120 kn.

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Monochrome blue drawing of Dan Feng un emperor-esque clothing passing by in a celebratory parade. His face is severe but serene, and his hair blows in the wind

Monochrome blue drawing of Dan Feng un emperor-esque clothing passing by in a celebratory parade. His face is severe but serene, and his hair blows in the wind

Young teens Jing Yuan and Yingxing look on in flushed amazement from the crowd, in warm colors. No other faces in the crowd appear or matter.

Young teens Jing Yuan and Yingxing look on in flushed amazement from the crowd, in warm colors. No other faces in the crowd appear or matter.

Local Xianzhou boys have a dragon-related awakening at the same time

#fanart #hsr #Danfeng #Jingyuan #Yinxing #Jingfeng #Yingyue

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Worth recapping how remarkable last two weeks have been in the WPAC with #TC activity.

4️⃣ #Typhoons ( #Yinxing, #Toraji, #Usagi, #Man-Yi ) hit the #Philippeans in just *9️⃣* days!!!!

Unprecedented in modern records. 3 of the typhoons were Cat 4 or stronger! The full two week animation is below 👇

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Bridge over a mud filled river channel following flooding [Reuters]

Bridge over a mud filled river channel following flooding [Reuters]

Global climate hazards UK Health Security Agency bulletin 15 Nov 2024 - Tropical cyclone #yinxing affects Philippines, Vietnam & Cambodia; volcano in Colombia; #smog over India & Pakistan; landslides hit Madagascar; #floods in Spain, Pakistan: www.met.reading.ac.uk/~sgs02rpa/ex...

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This Year's November Season is Crazy...☠️💀☠️

#JustJaidenThings #Typhoons #Meme
#MarcePH #NikaPH #OfelPH #PepitoPH
#Yinxing #Toraji #Usagi #ManYi

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An unusually active November in the Western Pacific. #Yinxing / #Marce just dissipated over Vietnam. But there are still three more to track. #Toraji / #Nika, #Usagi / #Ofel, and #Man-yi / soon to be #Pepito.

Ingat!

(Screenshot from JMA website and Deelan Jariwala/CyclonicWx)

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Unofficial #HCCTWO
(1) #Usagi ( #OfelPH) becomes a #typhoon
(2,5) #Toraji and #Yinxing weakening
(3) #ManYi expected to be another #Philippines typhoon threat
(4) #95S unofficially develops

#wx #WxSky #tropicswx #PepitoPH

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4 active as of November 12, 2024 at 17:00 PHT (UTC+8)
Imagery by CSU/CIRA and the JMA. Information about Yinxing from us, Toraji, Usagi from PAGASA, Man-yi from JTWC.

- Toraji / Nika: tropical storm, winds 85 km/h, gusts 105 km/h, pressure 992 hPa
- Usagi / Ofel: Severe tropical storm, winds 95 km/h, gusts 115 km/h, pressure 990 hPa
- Man-yi: Tropical storm, winds 75 km/h, gusts 95 km/h, pressure 995 hPa
- Yinxing (fmr. Marce): Tropical depression, winds 55 km/h, gusts 80 km/h, pressure 1004 hPa

Estimates use 10-min sustained winds, rounded to the nearest 5. The Enhanced Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (ESSWS) is an unofficial refinement of the original scale. Estimates are unofficial, with approximately 70% confidence. Use with caution.

4 active as of November 12, 2024 at 17:00 PHT (UTC+8) Imagery by CSU/CIRA and the JMA. Information about Yinxing from us, Toraji, Usagi from PAGASA, Man-yi from JTWC. - Toraji / Nika: tropical storm, winds 85 km/h, gusts 105 km/h, pressure 992 hPa - Usagi / Ofel: Severe tropical storm, winds 95 km/h, gusts 115 km/h, pressure 990 hPa - Man-yi: Tropical storm, winds 75 km/h, gusts 95 km/h, pressure 995 hPa - Yinxing (fmr. Marce): Tropical depression, winds 55 km/h, gusts 80 km/h, pressure 1004 hPa Estimates use 10-min sustained winds, rounded to the nearest 5. The Enhanced Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (ESSWS) is an unofficial refinement of the original scale. Estimates are unofficial, with approximately 70% confidence. Use with caution.

- #Usagi / #OfelPH is now a severe tropical storm and continues to move west towards the Philippines
- #Toraji (fmr. #NikaPH) weakens and exits PAR
- #Manyi nears the Mariana Islands
- #Yinxing is now a tropical depression and will no longer be featured in subsequent advisories

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4 active as of November 12, 2024 at 11:00 PHT (UTC+8)
Imagery by CSU/CIRA and the JMA. Information about Yinxing, Man-yi from JTWC, Toraji, Usagi from PAGASA.

- Toraji / Nika: Severe tropical storm, winds 95 km/h, gusts 115 km/h, pressure 990 hPa
- Usagi / Ofel: Tropical storm, winds 85 km/h, gusts 105 km/h, pressure 996 hPa
- Man-yi: Tropical storm, winds 75 km/h, gusts 95 km/h, pressure 994 hPa
- Yinxing (fmr. Marce): Tropical storm, winds 65 km/h, gusts 95 km/h, pressure 1002 hPa

Estimates use 10-min sustained winds, rounded to the nearest 5. The Enhanced Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (ESSWS) is an unofficial refinement of the original scale. Estimates are unofficial, with approximately 70% confidence. Use with caution.

4 active as of November 12, 2024 at 11:00 PHT (UTC+8) Imagery by CSU/CIRA and the JMA. Information about Yinxing, Man-yi from JTWC, Toraji, Usagi from PAGASA. - Toraji / Nika: Severe tropical storm, winds 95 km/h, gusts 115 km/h, pressure 990 hPa - Usagi / Ofel: Tropical storm, winds 85 km/h, gusts 105 km/h, pressure 996 hPa - Man-yi: Tropical storm, winds 75 km/h, gusts 95 km/h, pressure 994 hPa - Yinxing (fmr. Marce): Tropical storm, winds 65 km/h, gusts 95 km/h, pressure 1002 hPa Estimates use 10-min sustained winds, rounded to the nearest 5. The Enhanced Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (ESSWS) is an unofficial refinement of the original scale. Estimates are unofficial, with approximately 70% confidence. Use with caution.

- #Toraji / #NikaPH maintains its intensity and is about to exit PAR
- #Usagi / #OfelPH was recently named and may soon be an intense typhoon as it approaches the Philippines
- #ManYi could also be a severe tropical storm as it approaches the same country
- #Yinxing still exists

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The sun has risen over Tropical Storm #Yinxing ( #MarcePH) which is about to make landfall in #Vietnam

#wx #WxSky #tropicswx #typhoon

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Unofficial #HCCTWO
(1,5) #Toraji ( #NikaPH) and #Rafael weakening
(2,3) #Usagi ( #OfelPH) and #ManYi threatening the #Philippines as potential major #typhoon s
(4) #Yinxing ( #MarcePH) making landfall in #Vietnam

#wx #WxSky #tropicswx #TyphoonToraji

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Covering 4 tropical storms / typhoons in the West Pac today, all of which have or will hit Philippines. #Yinxing hit over the weekend, #Toraji/#Nika is leaving Philippines today, #Usagi/#Ofel just formed, may hit them, as may #Manyi.
www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane...

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CIMSS storm map showing global TC activity

CIMSS storm map showing global TC activity

Tropical Tidbits 200 mb velocity potential anomaly, showing areas of upward and downward vertical motion over the globe.

Tropical Tidbits 200 mb velocity potential anomaly, showing areas of upward and downward vertical motion over the globe.

RMM phase space from the Climate Prediction Center with ECMWF and ensemble forecast guidance for the MJO evolution.

RMM phase space from the Climate Prediction Center with ECMWF and ensemble forecast guidance for the MJO evolution.

Carl Screck's VP anomalies analysis and forecast over the next few days over the Pacific Basin.

Carl Screck's VP anomalies analysis and forecast over the next few days over the Pacific Basin.

With an unprecedented 4 simultaneous #TCs ( #Yinxing, #Toraji, #Man-Yi, #27W) in the WPAC in November, you would think there must be some large intraseasonal oscillation driving recent activity.

But alas no, in fact the MJO's active phase is on the other side of the globe by most common metrics. 🤔

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4 active as of November 11, 2024 at 23:00 PHT (UTC+8)
Imagery by CSU/CIRA and the JMA. Information about Yinxing, Man-yi from JTWC, Toraji from us, 27W from PAGASA.

- Toraji / Nika: Severe tropical storm, winds 95 km/h, gusts 130 km/h, pressure 990 hPa
- 27W: Tropical storm, winds 65 km/h, gusts 80 km/h, pressure 1000 hPa
- Man-yi: Tropical storm, winds 75 km/h, gusts 95 km/h, pressure 997 hPa
- Yinxing (fmr. Marce): Tropical storm, winds 65 km/h, gusts 85 km/h, pressure 998 hPa

Estimates use 10-min sustained winds, rounded to the nearest 5. The Enhanced Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (ESSWS) is an unofficial refinement of the original scale. Estimates are unofficial, with approximately 70% confidence. Use with caution.

4 active as of November 11, 2024 at 23:00 PHT (UTC+8) Imagery by CSU/CIRA and the JMA. Information about Yinxing, Man-yi from JTWC, Toraji from us, 27W from PAGASA. - Toraji / Nika: Severe tropical storm, winds 95 km/h, gusts 130 km/h, pressure 990 hPa - 27W: Tropical storm, winds 65 km/h, gusts 80 km/h, pressure 1000 hPa - Man-yi: Tropical storm, winds 75 km/h, gusts 95 km/h, pressure 997 hPa - Yinxing (fmr. Marce): Tropical storm, winds 65 km/h, gusts 85 km/h, pressure 998 hPa Estimates use 10-min sustained winds, rounded to the nearest 5. The Enhanced Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (ESSWS) is an unofficial refinement of the original scale. Estimates are unofficial, with approximately 70% confidence. Use with caution.

- #Toraji / #Nika back out to sea and moves away from the Philippines
- 27W is now a tropical storm, it attaining the name #Usagi is likely imminent. It may also attain the name #OfelPH once it enters PAR
- #ManYI slightly intensifies
- #Yinxing is on its last leg

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4 active as of November 11, 2024 at 17:00 PHT (UTC+8)
Imagery by CSU/CIRA and the JMA. Information about Yinxing, Man-yi from JTWC, Toraji from us, 27W from PAGASA.

- Toraji / Nika: Moderate typhoon (Cat 1), winds 120 km/h, gusts 180 km/h, pressure 980 hPa
- 27W: Tropical depression, winds 55 km/h, gusts 70 km/h, pressure 1002 hPa
- Yinxing (fmr. Marce): Tropical storm, winds 65 km/h, gusts 85 km/h, pressure 998 hPa
- Man-yi: Tropical storm, winds 65 km/h, gusts 85 km/h, pressure 997 hPa

Estimates use 10-min sustained winds, rounded to the nearest 5. The Enhanced Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (ESSWS) is an unofficial refinement of the original scale. Estimates are unofficial, with approximately 70% confidence. Use with caution.

4 active as of November 11, 2024 at 17:00 PHT (UTC+8) Imagery by CSU/CIRA and the JMA. Information about Yinxing, Man-yi from JTWC, Toraji from us, 27W from PAGASA. - Toraji / Nika: Moderate typhoon (Cat 1), winds 120 km/h, gusts 180 km/h, pressure 980 hPa - 27W: Tropical depression, winds 55 km/h, gusts 70 km/h, pressure 1002 hPa - Yinxing (fmr. Marce): Tropical storm, winds 65 km/h, gusts 85 km/h, pressure 998 hPa - Man-yi: Tropical storm, winds 65 km/h, gusts 85 km/h, pressure 997 hPa Estimates use 10-min sustained winds, rounded to the nearest 5. The Enhanced Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (ESSWS) is an unofficial refinement of the original scale. Estimates are unofficial, with approximately 70% confidence. Use with caution.

- #Toraji / #NikaPH weakens into a severe tropical storm as it continues to pour rain and produce gusty winds over Luzon of the Philippines
- 27W remains as a tropical depression
- Tropical storms #Manyi and #Yinxing (fmr. #MarcePH) maintain their intensities

Stay safe.

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- Tropical depression 27W recently developed. It may also attain the name #Usagi
- #Yinxing (fmr. #MarcePH) and #ManYi weaken, both now only tropical storms

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Unofficial #HCCTWO
(1) #TyphoonToraji ( #NikaPH) slamming the #Philippines
(2,3) #Yinxing and #Manyi both weakening
(4) #02M forms, impacting #Algeria
(5) #94W threatening the Philippines

#wx #WxSky #tropicswx #typhoon #toraji #typhoonnika

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While I've been mostly paying attention to TC activity in the NATL basin, worth checking out just how active the WPAC is currently.

Currently 3 simultaneous TCs 🌀 ( #Yinxing, #Man-Yi, #Toraji), with Invest #94W likely to join shortly. Remarkable activity for November 10th!

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- #Yinxing (fmr. #MarcePH) gets decimated by dry air and wind shear as it rapidly weakens to a severe tropical storm
- #ManYi maintains its intensity
- 94W/11c remains with a high chance of formation, though the JMA already recognizes it as a tropical depression

Stay safe.

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- #Yinxing (fmr. #MarcePH) weakens, likely for the final time, as it struggles to fend off wind shear and dry air
- #ManYi becomes a severe tropical storm as it approaches the Northern Mariana Islands
- 94W still has a high chance of forming and may soon become #Usagi

Stay safe.

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3 active as of November 10, 2024 at 12:00 PHT (UTC+8)
Imagery by CSU/CIRA and the JMA. Information about Yinxing and Man-yi from the JMA, Toraji from us, 94W from PAGASA.

- Yinxing (formerly Marce): Intense typhoon (Category 2), winds 150 km/h, gusts 185 km/h, pressure 960 hPa
- Toraji / Nika: Intense typhoon (Category 2), winds 140 km/h, gusts 175 km/h, pressure 975 hPa
- Man-yi: Tropical storm, winds 85 km/h, gusts 120 km/h, pressure 1000 hPa
- 94W (JTWC label) / 11c (PAGASA label): Low pressure area, high formation chance over the next 24 hours

Estimates use 10-min sustained winds, rounded to the nearest 5. The Enhanced Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (ESSWS) is an unofficial refinement of the original scale. Estimates are unofficial, with approximately 70% confidence. Use with caution.

3 active as of November 10, 2024 at 12:00 PHT (UTC+8) Imagery by CSU/CIRA and the JMA. Information about Yinxing and Man-yi from the JMA, Toraji from us, 94W from PAGASA. - Yinxing (formerly Marce): Intense typhoon (Category 2), winds 150 km/h, gusts 185 km/h, pressure 960 hPa - Toraji / Nika: Intense typhoon (Category 2), winds 140 km/h, gusts 175 km/h, pressure 975 hPa - Man-yi: Tropical storm, winds 85 km/h, gusts 120 km/h, pressure 1000 hPa - 94W (JTWC label) / 11c (PAGASA label): Low pressure area, high formation chance over the next 24 hours Estimates use 10-min sustained winds, rounded to the nearest 5. The Enhanced Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (ESSWS) is an unofficial refinement of the original scale. Estimates are unofficial, with approximately 70% confidence. Use with caution.

- #Toraji / #NikaPH now an intense typhoon as official agencies lag horribly with their estimates. Yikes. Please prepare
- #Yinxing (fmr. #MarcePH) maintains its intensity
- #ManYi slightly intensifies
- 94W now has a high chance of forming

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#Typhoon #Yinxing has pretty much stalled east of Hainan as it maneuverered itself into a bit of a col. A pronounced wobble indicates ongoing eyewall replacement. This should kickstart a weakening process soon exacerbated by increased shear and dry air intrusion.

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After Super #Typhoon #Yinxing, there is more typhoon trouble coming for the Philippines. Within light shear and over the warm waters of the Philippine Sea, a disturbance was able to form into Tropical #Storm #Toraji, forecast to impact Luzon as a typhoon on Tuesday.

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3 active as of November 10, 2024 at 00:00 PHT (UTC+8)
Imagery by CSU/CIRA and the JMA. Information about Yinxing and Toraji from us, Man-yi from the JTWC, and 94W from PAGASA.

- Yinxing (formerly Marce): Intense typhoon (Category 2), winds 150 km/h, gusts 185 km/h, pressure 960 hPa
- Toraji / Nika: Moderate typhoon (Category 1), winds 130 km/h, gusts 160 km/h, pressure 980 hPa
- Man-yi: Tropical storm, winds 75 km/h, gusts 95 km/h, pressure 1001 hPa
- 94W (JTWC label) / 11c (PAGASA label): Low pressure area, medium formation chance over the next 24 hours

Estimates use 10-min sustained winds, rounded to the nearest 5. The Enhanced Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (ESSWS) is an unofficial refinement of the original scale. Estimates are unofficial, with approximately 70% confidence. Use with caution.

3 active as of November 10, 2024 at 00:00 PHT (UTC+8) Imagery by CSU/CIRA and the JMA. Information about Yinxing and Toraji from us, Man-yi from the JTWC, and 94W from PAGASA. - Yinxing (formerly Marce): Intense typhoon (Category 2), winds 150 km/h, gusts 185 km/h, pressure 960 hPa - Toraji / Nika: Moderate typhoon (Category 1), winds 130 km/h, gusts 160 km/h, pressure 980 hPa - Man-yi: Tropical storm, winds 75 km/h, gusts 95 km/h, pressure 1001 hPa - 94W (JTWC label) / 11c (PAGASA label): Low pressure area, medium formation chance over the next 24 hours Estimates use 10-min sustained winds, rounded to the nearest 5. The Enhanced Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (ESSWS) is an unofficial refinement of the original scale. Estimates are unofficial, with approximately 70% confidence. Use with caution.

- #Yinxing (fmr. #MarcePH) weakens as it slows down
- #Toraji / #NikaPH continues to rapidly intensify and could be a vicious typhoon (C4 Low) in the next 3 days
- #ManYi slightly intensifies
- 94W (11c as per PAGASA) still has a medium chance, though it is organizing

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3 active as of November 9, 2024 at 18:00 PHT (UTC+8)
Imagery by CSU/CIRA and the JMA. Information about Yinxing and Man-yi from the JMA, Toraji and 94W from PAGASA.

- Yinxing (formerly Marce): Severe typhoon (Category 3), winds 165 km/h, gusts 240 km/h, pressure 950 hPa
- Toraji / Nika: Tropical storm, winds 65 km/h, gusts 80 km/h, pressure 1000 hPa
- Man-yi: Tropical storm, winds 65 km/h, gusts 95 km/h, pressure 1004 hPa
- 94W (JTWC label) / 11c (PAGASA label): Low pressure area, medium formation chance over the next 24 hours

Estimates use 10-min sustained winds, rounded to the nearest 5. The Enhanced Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (ESSWS) is an unofficial refinement of the original scale. Estimates are unofficial, with approximately 70% confidence. Use with caution.

3 active as of November 9, 2024 at 18:00 PHT (UTC+8) Imagery by CSU/CIRA and the JMA. Information about Yinxing and Man-yi from the JMA, Toraji and 94W from PAGASA. - Yinxing (formerly Marce): Severe typhoon (Category 3), winds 165 km/h, gusts 240 km/h, pressure 950 hPa - Toraji / Nika: Tropical storm, winds 65 km/h, gusts 80 km/h, pressure 1000 hPa - Man-yi: Tropical storm, winds 65 km/h, gusts 95 km/h, pressure 1004 hPa - 94W (JTWC label) / 11c (PAGASA label): Low pressure area, medium formation chance over the next 24 hours Estimates use 10-min sustained winds, rounded to the nearest 5. The Enhanced Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (ESSWS) is an unofficial refinement of the original scale. Estimates are unofficial, with approximately 70% confidence. Use with caution.

- #Yinxing (fmr. #MarcePH) continues to reintensify near China
- #NikaPH now a tropical storm, attaining the name #Torahi
- 25W is now also a tropical storm with the name #ManYi
- 94W (11c as per PAGASA) now has a medium chance of forming

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x.com

Clear 'eye' of Typhoon #Yinxing / #MarcePH
#Phillipines

x.com/StasisChasin...

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3 active as of November 9, 2024 at 11:00 PHT (UTC+8)
Imagery by CSU/CIRA and the JMA. Information about Yinxing / Marce are from us, Nika from PAGASA, 25W from the JMA, and 94W / 11c from the JTWC.

- Yinxing (formerly Marce): Intense typhoon with rating of Category 2, winds of 150 km/h, gusts up to 185 km/h, pressure of 965 hPa
- Nika: Tropical depression, winds of 55 km/h, gusts up to 70 km/h, pressure of 1004 hPa
- 25W: Tropical depression, winds of 55 km/h, gusts up to 85 km/h, pressure of 1008 hPa
- 94W (JTWC classification) / 11c (PAGASA classification): Low pressure area, low formation chance over the next 24 hours

Estimates use 10-min sustained winds, rounded to the nearest 5. The Enhanced Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (ESSWS) is an unofficial refinement of the original scale. Estimates are unofficial, with approximately 70% confidence. Use with caution.

3 active as of November 9, 2024 at 11:00 PHT (UTC+8) Imagery by CSU/CIRA and the JMA. Information about Yinxing / Marce are from us, Nika from PAGASA, 25W from the JMA, and 94W / 11c from the JTWC. - Yinxing (formerly Marce): Intense typhoon with rating of Category 2, winds of 150 km/h, gusts up to 185 km/h, pressure of 965 hPa - Nika: Tropical depression, winds of 55 km/h, gusts up to 70 km/h, pressure of 1004 hPa - 25W: Tropical depression, winds of 55 km/h, gusts up to 85 km/h, pressure of 1008 hPa - 94W (JTWC classification) / 11c (PAGASA classification): Low pressure area, low formation chance over the next 24 hours Estimates use 10-min sustained winds, rounded to the nearest 5. The Enhanced Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale (ESSWS) is an unofficial refinement of the original scale. Estimates are unofficial, with approximately 70% confidence. Use with caution.

So many!

- #Yinxing (fmr. #MarcePH) reintensifies into a severe typhoon (C3)
- #NikaPH has recently formed
- 25W is now also a tropical depression
- 94W (11c as per PAGASA) remains with a low chance of formation.

Read alt text for more information.

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